House News & Analysis

Illinois House Primaries: Don’t Take This Personally

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2012 · 1:56 PM EST

Democrats maximized their opportunity to draw the new congressional map, but they couldn’t avoid a couple competitive primaries.

In the 2nd District, Cong. Jesse Jackson Jr. faces a former colleague, Debbie Halvorson, in the March 20 Democratic primary in a redrawn district that stretches well outside of his…

Alabama House Primaries: Please Forgive Me

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2012 · 1:56 PM EST

Spencer Bachus (R) has been in Congress for ten terms. Mo Brooks (R) hasn’t been there much longer than ten months. But both men could face serious challenges as Republican voters in Alabama gear up for the March 13 primary.

Neither Bachus’ 6th District nor Brooks’ 5th District…

Mississippi House Primaries: No Pardon for Nunnelee

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2012 · 1:55 PM EST

Mississippi hosted two competitive House races last cycle when Republicans Alan Nunnelee and Steven Palazzo knocked off incumbents. This cycle, the best action in the Magnolia State will likely be in the March primaries instead of November.

At one point, Nunnelee, Palazzo, and Bennie Thompson (D) looked like…

Toxic Congress: Dose of Electoral Uncertainty

by Stuart Rothenberg January 24, 2012 · 11:37 AM EST

Earlier this year, a CBS News poll showed Congress’ job approval at 12 percent, while CNN had it at 16 percent in mid-December and Gallup had it at 11 percent at the same time.

Given those stunningly low numbers, it isn’t surprising that Democratic strategists figure that running…

Giffords Resignation Sets Up Likely Competitive Special Election

by Jessica Taylor January 22, 2012 · 3:48 PM EST

Cong. Gabrielle Giffords announced in a video message Sunday she would resign from Congress this week to focus on her ongoing recovery after an assassination attempt on her life last January.

Giffords has been ever the picture of inspiration and poise, to both Republicans and Democrats,…

Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 3:10 PM EST

Virginia’s new congressional districts don’t dramatically alter the partisanship of many districts, but the lines do solidify incumbents from both parties.

Democrat Gerry Connolly’s 11th District becomes about five points more Democratic, making his already Democratic-leaning district safe for him and for his party. Republican presidential candidate John…

A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field

by Stuart Rothenberg January 20, 2012 · 2:12 PM EST

Contrary to what you see on television and cable news, there are other elections besides the presidential race this year. And for those who care about control of Congress, the picture there is starting to come into better focus.

Because of substantial redistricting gains in three large states…

2012 House Overview (January 13, 2012)

by Stuart Rothenberg January 13, 2012 · 10:58 AM EST

Redistricting looks to become a small net plus for Democrats, but Republicans succeeded in shoring up a number of districts that they won unexpectedly in 2010. So while Democrats may well pick up a few extra seats because of the new lines, they may have fewer other seats to…

Cong. Fortenberry Poised to Enter Nebraska Senate Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2012 · 5:24 PM EST

Cong. Jeff Fortenberry (R) is actively considering a bid for the U.S. Senate in Nebraska and is likely to enter the race, according to multiple sources in the state and in Washington.

Given Sen. Ben Nelson’s (D) retirement announcement over the holidays and questions about the current GOP…

Time Running Out for GOP to Play in Oregon Special

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 6, 2012 · 10:59 AM EST

BEAVERTON, Ore. — Several thousand miles away from Des Moines, Iowa, and 3,000 from Manchester, N.H., Democrats and Republicans are battling for attention in the first general election contest of 2012.

Ballots go out in Oregon’s 1st district at the end of next week, yet a volunteer at…