House News & Analysis

New Congressional Maps Deliver Presents for Some, Coal for Others

by Jessica Taylor January 5, 2012 · 11:33 AM EST

While most of the news was focused on Iowa and the presidential race during the holidays, several states were rushing to meet year-end deadlines to redraw their congressional lines. In New Jersey, losing a congressional seat now guaranteed a Democrat will be on the chopping block, while in Washington…

Cornilles Goes on Offense in Oregon 1 Special

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 2, 2012 · 11:21 PM EST

With a Rose Bowl victory in the books, voters in Oregon’s 1st Congressional District have more time to turn from the University of Oregon Ducks’ explosive offense to a different kind of attack.

Republican nominee Rob Cornilles is going up with an ad on Tuesday that criticizes his…

Time for Rothenberg Annual Year-End Awards

by Stuart Rothenberg December 21, 2011 · 8:15 AM EST

Each year I try to give my own awards for the best and the worst, the silliest and the oddest. There were plenty of strange developments this year — heck, the entire Republican race for president has bordered on the bizarre — so there is more than enough material.…

Illinois 12: A Tall Order

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2011 · 2:58 PM EST

Democrats used their redistricting power to slice up Republican districts and incumbents across the state of Illinois. But Cong. Jerry Costello’s (D) surprising retirement gives Republicans an opportunity to swipe a seat in President Obama’s home state.

Before his announcement, Republicans talked about putting a scare into Costello,…

Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs

by Stuart Rothenberg December 14, 2011 · 11:37 AM EST

“Regrets, I’ve had a few,” Frank Sinatra sings in one of his signature songs, “My Way,” and that should be a sentiment that every political analyst, handicapper and forecaster feels as he or she looks back on a body of work from the previous 12 months.

Few people…

New Texas Map Yet Another Win for Democrats

by Stuart Rothenberg December 2, 2011 · 1:59 PM EST

A three-judge federal district court has presented a Texas congressional district map that will be used for the 2012 elections, and it is another win for state and national Democrats. Court-drawn and independent commission or agency-drawn maps in Arizona, Colorado, California, Iowa and Texas have all benefited Democrats.

Colorado Map: Two Democratic Targets Might Net One Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 2, 2011 · 1:58 PM EST

It’s no surprise that Colorado will feature a pair of competitive congressional races next year, but the new map radically changed one GOP incumbent’s prospects by turning his safe seat into one of the most competitive districts in the country.

Republicans hold a 4-3 advantage in the congressional…

Federal Court to Draw Texas Map

November 18, 2011 · 4:26 PM EST

The Department of Justice failed to pre-clear the Legislature’s new Congressional map, meaning a three-judge federal panel in San Antonio will draw the new district lines for the 2012 elections. Many observers now speculate that Democrats could secure three of the four new districts due to growth in the…

Olver Retirement Makes Massachusetts Map Easier

November 18, 2011 · 4:25 PM EST

Cong. John Olver (D) announced his retirement, making it easier to fit ten Democratic Members into nine seats, a necessity since the Bay State lost a district during reapportionment. Congs. Stephen Lynch and Bill Keating were drawn into the same district, but Keating quickly announced he’d run for the…

New Colorado Map Puts Coffman in Peril

November 18, 2011 · 4:24 PM EST

 A judge chose a Democratic map that suddenly puts GOP Cong. Mike Coffman (R) in electoral jeopardy. His 6th District dipped about eight points in GOP performance -- turning from a 61% Bush district in 2004 to a 53% Bush district. McCain received nearly 45% in the newly drawn…