House News & Analysis

Indiana Districts: Who’s Your Member?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 20, 2011 · 3:58 PM EDT

Republicans won the bulk of the redistricting war in Indiana in 2010, but they are hoping to finish the job next year.

Like in many places across the country, Republican congressional victories last year turned potential redistricting opportunities into seats the GOP already holds. Last year, Republicans took…

Republicans Face No-Win Situation in New York 26

by Stuart Rothenberg May 20, 2011 · 12:19 PM EDT

Republican strategists are now praying that they never, ever have another special election in New York state.

First they failed to win a 2009 special election to take back Democrat Kirsten’s Gillibrand’s open seat (which they won back last year). Then, later that year, they lost the open…

New York 26: Move to Toss-Up/Tilt Democratic

May 16, 2011 · 11:11 AM EDT

With a week to go until the May 24 special election in New York’s open 26th C.D., Democrat Kathy Hochul now looks well-positioned to pull off a significant upset.

Both parties agree that the race remains close – “within the margin of error” is the phrase most often…

Debt Limit Vote: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

by Stuart Rothenberg May 13, 2011 · 10:17 AM EDT

Forget the fights over health care reform, the extension of the Bush tax cuts and any other controversy previously billed by the media as The Big One. The vote on raising the debt limit is so politically significant that any other Capitol Hill fight we have witnessed of late…

House Ratings: New Iowa, Louisiana, Arkansas districts added

May 12, 2011 · 12:15 PM EDT

The entire election cycle on the House side is delayed due to redistricting. Without the new congressional maps, potential candidates remain on the sidelines and it’s very difficult to handicap races.

Over the last couple of weeks, Iowa, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Oklahoma completed new maps. But the end…

Arkansas Districts: Delayed Gratification

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 9, 2011 · 3:28 PM EDT

The new congressional map in Arkansas is just a few weeks old but the parties already disagree on who will win the battle.

The Razorback State was a rare opportunity for Democrats to take advantage of the redistricting process, since they control both houses of the state Legislature…

New York 26: Moved to More Vulnerable Category

April 29, 2011 · 4:25 PM EDT

With less than a month to go before Election Day, the special election in New York’s 26th District is not a foregone conclusion.

GOP insiders acknowledge (and a new public poll shows) that state Assemblywoman Jane Corwin (R) has a small lead over Erie County Clerk Kathy Hochul…

Iowa Districts: Out with the Old, In with the New

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 22, 2011 · 2:58 PM EDT

Iowa’s redistricting process is a political handicapper’s dream and incumbent’s nightmare.

Instead of letting partisan legislators draw the new congressional lines, that task is left to a nonpartisan commission, the Legislative Services Bureau. By aiming to keep counties intact and districts compact, the group came

up with…

Iowa 4: Christie Vilsack Likely to Challenge King

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 15, 2011 · 11:39 PM EDT

Former Iowa First Lady Christie Vilsack (D) is likely to take on Cong. Steve King (R) in Iowa’s new 4th Congressional District, according to a Democratic source in the Hawkeye State. Vilsack, however, has not yet made a final decision.

There’s been a lot of movement in the…

The New Norm: Last-Minute Political Deals

by Stuart Rothenberg April 13, 2011 · 11:32 AM EDT

One of the byproducts of the highly partisan environment that we find ourselves in is the last-minute political deal. That means that the Friday budget agreement isn’t likely to be the final last-minute political deal on the horizon.

Congress often waits until the clock is running out before…