House News & Analysis

California 4: Brown’s Poll Signals Tough Road Ahead

June 5, 2008 · 3:45 PM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

As California state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) was on his way to a primary win over former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) in the Golden State’s 4th district, a new poll released by the likely Democratic nominee, Charlie Brown, showed him leading both Republicans in hypothetical…

Florida 24: Race to November

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Tom Feeney knows his congressional district. Heck, he drew it for himself.

By the numbers, Florida’s 24th District doesn’t look particularly vulnerable, but the Republican congressman’s connection to incarcerated former lobbyist Jack Abramoff have plenty of GOP strategists uneasy.

Feeney’s profile appears similar to some of his…

Mississippi 1: Something Special

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

It won’t be easy for Republicans to explain away a loss in Mississippi’s 1st District. But they might want to start working on their excuses now.

Two months ago, Republicans lost former House Speaker Dennis Hastert’s seat in Illinois, but blamed the special election loss on a flawed…

New York 13: Fosella’s DUI

May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Cong. Vito Fosella, the only Republican left from the five boroughs of New York City, was cited by police in Northern Virginia for driving under the influence of alcohol. Democrats have been targeting the Staten Island GOPer, with attorney Steve Harrison and Brooklyn Councilman Domenic Recchia running on the…

Nevada 3: Daskas Out

May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democratic Congressional hopeful/Clark County prosecutor Robert Daskas, who was promoted by Democratic strategists as a highly recruited challenger to Cong. Jon Porter (R), has dropped his bid for Congress. Democrats immediately turned to former state Senate majority leader Dina Titus, who lost her bid for governor by five points…

New York 26: Lewis’ Exit Leaves Lee and Bellavia for GOP

May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Talking Phone Book president Rick Lewis (R) dropped out of the race on Thursday, leaving businessman Chris Lee and Iraq War veteran David Bellavia in the GOP field. It’s still unclear whether the Erie County establishment is ready to get behind Lee, but either way, the seat being left…

Illinois 11: Baldermann out, Ozinga In

May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Local Republicans selected wealthy businessman Martin Ozinga III to replace Tim Baldermann on the ballot in the district left open by the retirement of Cong. Jerry Weller (R). The action was necessary after nominee Tim Baldermann dropped out of the race. Ozinga, who raised $446,035 in April, faces State…

Pennsylvania 3: Dahlkemper Wins Primary

May 2, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

Political neophyte Kathy Dahlkemper won the Democratic primary in Pennsylvania’s 3rd District, which includes Erie County and much of northwest Pennsylvania. The pro-life/anti-death penalty Democrat is the director of the Lake Erie Arboretum. The presence of Independent candidate Steve Porter in the race could complicate Dahlkemper’s effort to oust…

New Print Edition: 2008 House Outlook

April 18, 2008 · 4:00 PM EDT
The April 18, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House…

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

April 10, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House…