House News & Analysis

Louisiana 4: Fight to the Finish

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 2:01 PM EST

It’s a good thing that Louisiana voters are used to going to the polls in December. Even though the state junked the jungle primary for more traditional primaries, Hurricane Gustav pushed the races back a month. Now, voters will go to the polls in Northwest Louisiana’s 4th Congressional District…

2008 House Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:29 AM EDT

As Election Day nears, we see no reason to veer from the view that we have held for months – that the 2008 House elections will give Democrats another big victory. Some Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls already are over 50% in polling, but many are still in…

2008 House Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:16 PM EDT

The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican open seats…

Michigan 9: State Democrats Try to Use Palin as Wedge

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

For the last three years, the predominant Democratic strategy has been to tie every breathing Republican to unpopular President Bush. Now, Michigan Democrats believe coupling the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, with Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) will help them win his seat.

“Knollenberg and Palin…

California 3: Democratic Poll in California Shows Lungren Is Soft

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2008 · 8:42 PM EDT

Maybe it’s the crummy national environment or maybe it was the topless attack ad, but a new Democratic poll in California’s 3rd district shows that Rep. Dan Lungren (R) may not be safe.

An Oct. 4-6 survey by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (D) for physician Bill Durston…

2008 House Overview (October 10, 2008)

October 10, 2008 · 12:47 PM EDT

The last week to 10 days has been disastrous for GOP House candidates, with voters taking out their anger and fear of the future on Republicans.

While we may be seeing the low point for Republicans, the ongoing economic mess is likely to keep the economy on the…

Wild Cards Create Wild Scenarios in Congressional Races

by Stuart Rothenberg October 6, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

While third-party and Independent candidates for president remain largely irrelevant to the battle between Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Republican Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), three nontraditional candidates in other races are proving to be more important.

In Minnesota, former Sen. Dean Barkley, running as the Independence Party’s…

Two Democrats Earn Top Score From Conservative Group

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 3, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Two socially conservative groups unveiled their vote ratings this week, and a couple of Democrats made the list of House Members with perfect scores during the 110th Congress.

FRC Action and Focus on the Family Action released their Vote Scorecard, rating Members on 17 votes deemed critical to…

New Print Edition: 2008 House Overview

July 25, 2008 · 9:55 PM EDT
The July 25, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House…

Minnesota 3: Toss-Up

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 13, 2008 · 3:00 PM EDT

If you’re looking for a truly toss-up race in a swing district, look no further than Minnesota’s 3rd District.

The suburban Minneapolis district is precisely the type of territory and district that Democrats have experienced recent electoral success. And moderate Cong. Jim Ramstad’s (R) retirement left this seat…