In 2016, Wisconsin was the state that arguably won President Donald Trump the election. Ranking all the states Trump carried from highest margin of victory to lowest margin of victory, Wisconsin was the “tipping-point state” that gave Trump his 270th electoral vote. As the 2020 presidential election looms on…
Eye-popping total advertising spending numbers draw the headlines, but the distribution of that spending — looking beyond geographic targeting, and party advantage — can also reveal important insights into the campaign. In particular, where political ad buyers are putting their money can tell us a lot about not only their…
After weeks of public hearings and the eve of a vote, I’m ready to take a stand on impeachment. Well, not quite. Actually, there are more than a few pieces of the impeachment coverage, arguments, and narrative that are driving me crazy. And writing a few hundred words seems like…
Arizona has voted Democratic in only one of the last 17 presidential elections going back to 1952. That was in 1996, when President Bill Clinton won re-election in a three-way race. Minnesota, on the other hand, has been a Democratic bedrock, with Democratic presidential nominees carrying the state in each…
Republicans are publicly celebrating impeachment as a political boon and trying to hold House Democrats’ feet to the fire with television ads and protests. But without credible challengers, it’s little more than expensive hot air.
Last week, President Donald Trump’s campaign manager bragged about turning up the heat on a…
As House Democrats move closer to impeaching President Donald Trump, I’m amazed by the collective certainty about how the storyline will play out. It’s assumed that history will repeat itself. But I can’t help but think of Luke Skywalker’s words of caution.
Up to this point, everyone is assuming that…
Former South Carolina Rep. Mark Sanford is seriously considering challenging President Donald Trump in the primary, even though he called the idea “preposterous” on many levels. It’s a rare moment when you should take a politician at his word.
Even if you look past the huge hurdles of the president’s…
President Donald Trump has forgotten who holds the power within the Republican Party.
There’s a perception that the National Rifle Association has an impenetrable lock on base Republican voters and thus is holding GOP members of Congress captive. But Trump is the one person who has the capital with the…
For all the talk about why Donald Trump was elected president while losing the popular vote and how he could win again, one of the least discussed results of the 2016 election offers valuable lessons for Democrats.
An astounding 7.8 million voters cast their presidential ballots for someone other than…
President Donald Trump’s attacks on the four Democratic congresswomen, known collectively as “the squad,” appear to be a strange way to try to win reelection.
There is no doubt that Trump needs to motivate his base to win a second term, and his tweets and comments about immigrants and “socialism”…
