Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin look ahead to the key 2023 races, talk about the impact of the new maps in North Carolina and Alabama after redistricting, and discuss the GOP presidential primary without Mike Pence in the race.
By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey & Jacob Rubashkin
When it comes to the fight for the Senate majority in 2024, Democrats are hoping they’ve seen this movie before.
In 2022, Democrats expanded the majority against long odds. With strong incumbents, flawed Republican candidates and the Dobbs decision motivating pro-choice…
Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. The contours of this race are finally beginning to take shape, though Sinema has yet to announce her 2024 plans. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake announced her Senate campaign in August, and is…
Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. Primary April 23. The Democratic primary — the most important contest in this deep-blue state — is down to two major contenders after Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando dropped his bid. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is…
Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline February. Primary April 23. Former hedge fund CEO and Bush administration official David McCormick has launched his long-awaited Senate campaign and quickly locked up Republican support, picking up endorsements from the NRSC and the state GOP.
…Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the big takeaways from the third quarter Senate fundraising numbers, the dearth of House open seats, including Michigan’s 7th District, and how Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure is connected to two House races.
Alabama Redistricting. Federal judges have decided on a new congressional map after the Republican-controlled state legislature failed to draw a map that complied with the court’s order. Democrats are poised to flip the new 2nd District, which Joe Biden would have won by 12 points. Current 2nd District GOP Rep. Barry…
Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss how the search for a new Speaker could affect the fight for the House, how the California Senate is shaping up after the appointment of Laphonza Butler, and what’s going to happen in the New Jersey Senate race after Sen. Bob Menendez…
Arizona Senate. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake plans to launch her campaign on Oct. 10. Lake, a Trump acolyte, is the clear frontrunner in the GOP primary, but her path to victory in the general election is more complicated. Rep. Ruben Gallego is the likely Democratic nominee. Independent Sen. Kyrsten…
Montana Senate. A new group calling itself Last Best Place PAC has begun a six-figure ad campaign against GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, the former Navy SEAL and aerial firefighting CEO who is currently the only Republican in the race. Politico points out that, while the PAC’s donors won’t be…
