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Here are our latest Senate ratings. We are increasing our estimate to a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats, up from 6-9 seats.
# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
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Sununu (R-NH)
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CO Open (Allard, R)
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NM Open (Domenici, R)
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VA…
“Emergency Funds Needed for Rep. David Scott,” blared the subject line of the Oct. 21 e-mail about Georgia’s 13th district race.
It’s a strange juxtaposition in a national environment that strongly favors the Democrats and a Democratic Congressman who represents a district that Sen. John Kerry…
While major media outlets are hesitant to pronounce the presidential race over for fear of being harassed by Republicans and conservatives, there isn’t much doubt at this late date that it is over. Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) will be elected president in less than two weeks.
Previously…
The October 24, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…
The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican…
The only good news for the GOP is that Alaska Senator Ted Stevens continues to show life in state polls, but everything hangs on a jury’s decision. Elsewhere, the landscape looks like utter destruction for Republicans, as Democrats are poised to make gains of at least six seats. The size of the…
Within the broad scope of presidential elections, party defections aren’t all that uncommon. But this cycle, across-the-aisle endorsements have become quite the fad in Congressional contests, with three Republicans supporting Democratic candidates in a trio of high-profile races.
In each case,…
WASHINGTON (CNN) — Every election cycle, a handful of races not taken very seriously early on become truly competitive contests, and this year is no exception.
Every candidate, of course, has a scenario. But most of those scenarios — and most of those candidates — evaporate well before October.…
Embedded video from CNN Video
Like just about everyone else, I’m more than a little confused about the Louisiana Senate race.
According to OnMessage Inc., which conducts polling for Republican challenger John Kennedy in the Louisiana race, the two-term Democrat-turned-Republican state treasurer trails incumbent Sen. Mary…