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2008 Senate Ratings (October 24, 2008)

October 28, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. We are increasing our estimate to a Democratic gain of 7-9 seats, up from 6-9 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans



Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
  • Sununu (R-NH)
  • CO Open (Allard, R)
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA…

Georgia 13: Democrats Sound the Alarm

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 28, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

“Emergency Funds Needed for Rep. David Scott,” blared the subject line of the Oct. 21 e-mail about Georgia’s 13th district race.

It’s a strange juxtaposition in a national environment that strongly favors the Democrats and a Democratic Congressman who represents a district that Sen. John Kerry…

It’s Getting Bleaker for McCain, Worse for Hill Republicans

by Stuart Rothenberg October 27, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

While major media outlets are hesitant to pronounce the presidential race over for fear of being harassed by Republicans and conservatives, there isn’t much doubt at this late date that it is over. Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) will be elected president in less than two weeks.

Previously…

New Print Edition: Senate and House Outlook

October 25, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The October 24, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly…

2008 House Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:16 PM EDT

The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican…

2010 Senate Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:10 PM EDT

The only good news for the GOP is that Alaska Senator Ted Stevens continues to show life in state polls, but everything hangs on a jury’s decision. Elsewhere, the landscape looks like utter destruction for Republicans, as Democrats are poised to make gains of at least six seats. The size of the…

Bitter Primaries Lead to Cross-Party Endorsements

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2008 · 11:00 AM EDT

Within the broad scope of presidential elections, party defections aren’t all that uncommon. But this cycle, across-the-aisle endorsements have become quite the fad in Congressional contests, with three Republicans supporting Democratic candidates in a trio of high-profile races.

In each case,…

Late-breaking House races shift political playing field

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2008 · 4:41 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Every election cycle, a handful of races not taken very seriously early on become truly competitive contests, and this year is no exception.

Every candidate, of course, has a scenario. But most of those scenarios — and most of those candidates — evaporate well before October.…

Nathan Talks Politics on CNN.com

October 23, 2008 · 2:16 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

Louisiana Senate: Worth Watching or Over and Done?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Like just about everyone else, I’m more than a little confused about the Louisiana Senate race.

According to OnMessage Inc., which conducts polling for Republican challenger John Kennedy in the Louisiana race, the two-term Democrat-turned-Republican state treasurer trails incumbent Sen. Mary…