Governor News & Analysis

Montana At-Large: Does Open Seat Help or Hurt Democrats’ Pickup Opportunity?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 11, 2019 · 2:52 PM EDT

Parties crave open seats, considering the vast majority of incumbents win re-election. But in the case of Montana’s at-large district, Democrats may have lost their preferred opponent when Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte filed to run for governor.

While it might have been daunting for Democrats to face Gianforte’s personal wealth…

Why a GOP Super PAC is Bothering to Attack Steve Bullock’s Bid for President

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 7, 2019 · 3:44 PM EDT

Montana Gov. Steve Bullock isn’t one of the leading Democratic contenders for the 2020 presidential nomination, but he’s learning how to turn a Republican attack into an asset for his campaign.

On May 29, the GOP-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund started a television ad campaign in the Missoula media market, according…

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Pennsylvania Special, Kentucky Governor, and the Trail Blazers

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 23, 2019 · 10:49 AM EDT

California’s 48th District: The Orange County Republican Party endorsed County Supervisor Michelle Steel on Monday in the race against freshman Democratic Rep. Harley Rouda, which could give pause to potential candidates such as former state Sen. Janet Nguyen.

Colorado Senate: Former District Attorney John Walsh, a Democrat, came by the…

2020 House Overview (May 17, 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 17, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper puts them over the edge in the Raleigh suburbs, but Sarah Crawford, who lost an expensive 2014 state Senate race against a GOP incumbent, could run too. Former state Rep.…

2019 Gubernatorial Update: Primary Questions

by Leah Askarinam May 3, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Just eleven states will elect a governor in 2020, but three states will choose a chief executive this year, including two with primaries in the weeks and months ahead. Considering the 2020 elections are more than a year away, this year’s gubernatorial races will give everyone the opportunity to try…

Fewer Members Taking the Leap to Governor

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 1, 2019 · 1:17 PM EST

Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years.…

2019-20 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 1, 2019): Lean Opportunities

by Leah Askarinam February 1, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

The final round of gubernatorial races before the new decade is starting to take shape, giving both political parties a handful of opportunities to shape policy and influence redistricting after the 2020 Census. 

Fourteen states are holding gubernatorial elections over the next two years — three in 2019 and eleven…

2019-20 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 1, 2019)

February 1, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

DELAWARE. John Carney (D), elected 2016 (58%). John Carney first ran for governor in 2008, but lost the Democratic primary to Jack Markell. Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, son of Vice President Joe Biden, was expected to win Markell’s open seat in 2016, but he died of cancer in 2015.…

Why We’re Not Releasing 2020 Race Ratings Yet

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 21, 2018 · 8:30 AM EST

I love elections, particularly congressional races, but I’m just not in a hurry to jump to 2020. And I’m completely fine with holding off on releasing our race ratings until next year.

If I didn’t like elections, I would probably need to take a long look at doing something else…

North Carolina: Blue Wave Steered Clear of ‘Blue Moon’ Election

by Leah Askarinam December 14, 2018 · 2:30 PM EST

Democrats gained at least 40 House seats in races across the country, but the wave’s course veered from two key states: Ohio and North Carolina.

Looking at top-of-the-ballot results, it’s no surprise that Democrats failed to chip into Ohio’s House delegation. Democratic performance statewide indicated a fundamental problem for the…