Missouri. Mike Parson (R) ascended to governorship June 2018. This race remains Democrats’ one legitimate pickup opportunity of the cycle. State Auditor Nicole Galloway has continued her streak of strong fundraising, matching or outraising Parson for the last several filing periods, though the outside PAC supporting Parson, backed by the…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
While the race for the White House dominates the news, the fight for the Senate is closer.
The easiest thing to do after 2016 would be to declare every race with President Donald Trump on the ballot as a toss-up. But that would…
Delaware. John Carney (D), elected 2016 (58%). Georgetown, Del. attorney Julianne Murray won the GOP primary against 2016 nominee Colin Bonini and several other candidates, but she won’t win the general election against the incumbent. In 2016, Carney won by 19 points — between a better national environment and Delaware…
The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve…
Colorado Senate, Cory Gardner, R, elected 48%. It’s been a rough couple of weeks for former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the likely Democratic nominee. He was forced to pay a $2,750 fine after the state’s Independent Ethics Commission found him guilty of accepting two illegal gifts on trips he took as…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin
Hawaii’s 2nd District (Northern Oahu and all other islands) Open; Tulsi Gabbard, D, ran for president. The primary isn’t until August but pilot/state Sen. Kai Kahele is the likely Democratic nominee and likely new Member of Congress in this Democratic district…
Coronavirus has governors across America adjusting to a role unfamiliar to most of them: national prominence. With the White House sending delayed, hands-off, and often contradictory messages on how to respond to the coronavirus, governors have become the leading players in politics and the media, wielding state power in ways…
Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.
I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…
Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…
It’s time to retire the term “election night.”
The semi-annual national tradition of staying up a few hours past bedtime to know who will control our government is over. From close races to voting by mail to human error, it’s becoming clear that counting votes no longer fits neatly into…
