Year Archive: 2020
- Georgia Senate Runoffs: Both Sides Getting Outspent?
December 30, 2020 - Why Our 2022 Ratings Aren’t Imminent
December 23, 2020 - Georgia Senate Runoffs: Policy Agendas, Outside Spending, and Polls
December 18, 2020 Premium - Statewide Baseline Updates After the 2020 Election
December 18, 2020 Premium - Lessons and Challenges: Assessing the Performance of Polls in the 2020 Election
December 18, 2020 Premium - Report Shorts (December 18, 2020)
December 18, 2020 Premium - 2020 Elections and Beyond: Results vs. Reactions
December 18, 2020 Premium - 31,751 Votes: How Close Races Decide the Battle for the House
December 17, 2020 - What Makes a Race Competitive?
December 16, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (December 14, 2020)
December 14, 2020 - Georgia Senate Runoffs: Beagles and Stock Trades and Police, Oh My!
December 3, 2020 Premium - Louisiana 2 Special: Brawl on the Blue Bayou
December 3, 2020 Premium - How Biden Rebuilt the Blue Wall
December 3, 2020 Premium - How Trump’s 2024 Candidacy Could Complicate GOP Chances in 2022
December 2, 2020 - 2020 Elections Recap: Great Expectations
November 19, 2020 Premium - Georgia Senate Runoffs: Double Overtime
November 19, 2020 Premium - Trump’s Surprising Gains with Minority Voters
November 19, 2020 Premium - At Long Last, Senate Results
November 19, 2020 Premium - Georgia Runoff History: Why the Past May Not Be Prologue
November 19, 2020 - The Fight for the Senate Continues into 2022
November 19, 2020 - 2020 Elections Enter New Stage
November 6, 2020 - A Brief History of Georgia Runoffs, and Why This Time May Be Different
November 4, 2020 - Where Do We Go From Here?
November 4, 2020 - What to Watch for on Election Night
November 3, 2020 - The 2020 Battle for Congress: A Story Through Two Years of Rating Changes
November 2, 2020 - How Blue is North Carolina? District Baseline Analysis
November 2, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 30, 2020)
October 30, 2020 - 2020 Election Preview: Bracing for History
October 28, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): Alaska - New Mexico
October 28, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (October 28, 2020): New York - Wisconsin
October 28, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Ratings (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 28, 2020)
October 28, 2020 - All Eyes on the Hawkeye State: Iowa Baseline by District
October 23, 2020 - 2020 Elections: Democrats Poised for a Sweep
October 16, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 Premium - Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor
October 16, 2020 Premium - Virginia Baseline by District Highlights Democratic Strength in the House
October 16, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 16, 2020)
October 16, 2020 - Breaking Down Texas Districts With Baseline Metric
October 12, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (October 2, 2020)
October 2, 2020 - Journey to the End of the 2020 Elections
October 1, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Hillary Scholten (D)
October 1, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Christina Hagan (R)
October 1, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Rich McCormick (R)
October 1, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Ratings (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 1, 2020)
October 1, 2020 - The Next Congress Will Be Filled With Losers
September 28, 2020 - Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer
September 20, 2020 - The Senate Deserves Your Attention
September 18, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 Premium - Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: Texas
September 18, 2020 - Candidate Conversation: Cameron Webb (D)
September 18, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Ratings (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 18, 2020)
September 18, 2020 - Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent
September 10, 2020 - Wait for It: The Anthem of the 2020 Elections
September 4, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia
September 4, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 4, 2020)
September 4, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (September 1, 2020)
September 1, 2020 - Trump Needs a Convention Bounce
September 1, 2020 - Mississippi Senate: Espy’s 1988 convention speech offers clues to 2020 optimism
August 26, 2020 - The Election in the Mirror Is Closer Than It Appears
August 21, 2020 Premium - Senate Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Ashley Hinson (R)
August 21, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Victoria Spartz (R)
August 21, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Julie Oliver (D)
August 21, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Ratings (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 21, 2020)
August 21, 2020 - Inauguration Planning Confronts Reality of Pandemic
August 17, 2020 - Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts
August 11, 2020 - Future is Bright for House Democrats
August 7, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Alaska - Iowa
August 7, 2020 Premium - House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): Kansas - New York
August 7, 2020 Premium - House Races to Watch
August 7, 2020 - House Report Shorts (August 7, 2020): North Carolina - Virginia
August 7, 2020 Premium - Parties Choose Nominees in Lower-Tier Senate Races
August 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Pat Timmons-Goodson (D)
August 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Joyce Elliott (D)
August 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Al Gross (I)
August 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Josh Hicks (D)
August 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Tyler Kistner (R)
August 7, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Ratings (August 7, 2020)
August 7, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 7, 2020)
August 7, 2020 - Young GOP Veteran Faces Tough Road in the Suburbs
August 5, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (July 27, 2020)
July 27, 2020 - New Jersey 2: The Van Drew Two-Step
July 24, 2020 Premium - Massachusetts Senate: Bay State Brawl
July 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Sri Preston Kulkarni (D)
July 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Brynne Kennedy (D)
July 24, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Ratings (July 24, 2020)
July 24, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (July 24, 2020)
July 24, 2020 - TV Ads Shape Presidential Battleground
July 20, 2020 - Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge
July 17, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (July 17, 2020)
July 17, 2020 - 2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Democrats Poised to Control the Senate
July 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Alabama - Kansas
July 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): Kentucky - New Mexico
July 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (July 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming
July 10, 2020 Premium - Presidential Snapshot in Time: July 10, 2020
July 10, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (July 10, 2020)
July 10, 2020 - Should Down-Ballot Republicans Ready a ‘No Blank Check’ Strategy?
July 10, 2020 - No, DC Statehood Won’t Lead to Permanent Senate Majority for Democrats
July 6, 2020 - The Russian Bounty Story is Not the Reset the Trump Campaign Needs
July 1, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 26, 2020)
June 26, 2020 - How One Senate Class Shows a National Realignment
June 25, 2020 - Georgia Senate: The Road to Redemption
June 19, 2020 Premium - Elections Reach Key Moment
June 19, 2020 Premium - Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)
June 19, 2020 Premium - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (June 19, 2020)
June 19, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (June 12, 2020)
June 12, 2020 - Nationwide Protests Move Into Campaign Ads
June 11, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (June 8, 2020)
June 8, 2020 - Florida 26: Can Local Politics Trump Partisanship?
June 5, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: North Carolina
June 5, 2020 Premium - Report Shorts (June 5, 2020)
June 5, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Charles Booker (D)
June 5, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Mike Broihier (D)
June 5, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Brigid Callahan Harrison (D)
June 5, 2020 Premium - Rating Change: Iowa’s 4th Moves to Solid Republican
June 2, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (June 2, 2020)
June 2, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 29, 2020)
May 29, 2020 - 2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Democrats Could Expand Majority
May 22, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Alabama - Iowa
May 22, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): Kansas - New York
May 22, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (May 22, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming
May 22, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Adair Boroughs (D)
May 22, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Ratings (May 22, 2020)
May 22, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (May 20, 2020)
May 20, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 15, 2020)
May 15, 2020 - California 25: Can Garcia Win the Battle and the War?
May 8, 2020 Premium - Maine 2: Good as Golden
May 8, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation: Jim Marchant (R)
May 8, 2020 Premium - The Senate is in Play, You Know
May 8, 2020 Premium - Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected
May 7, 2020 - Presidential Snapshot in Time (May 1, 2020)
May 1, 2020 - Michigan 3: Amash Exit Makes Seat Less Vulnerable
April 29, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (April 29, 2020)
April 29, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 29, 2020)
April 29, 2020 - COVID-19 Just Latest Challenge for Health Care Polling
April 27, 2020 - 2020 Gubernatorial Overview (April 23, 2020): Finally in the Spotlight
April 23, 2020 Premium - Illinois 14: The Underwood Overview
April 23, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: Florida
April 23, 2020 Premium - 2020 Gubernatorial Ratings (April 23, 2020)
April 23, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (April 23, 2020)
April 23, 2020 - Five Key Takeaways from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election
April 22, 2020 - The Battle for the House, As Told Through Super PAC Ad Reservations
April 17, 2020 - Fewer Political Ads Now, Doesn’t Mean Less Advertising Later
April 15, 2020 - Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020
April 13, 2020 - Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 10, 2020)
April 10, 2020 - Will There be More Republican Women in the House Next Year?
April 9, 2020 - Coronavirus and Campaign Ads: How the Pandemic Is Playing on TV
April 8, 2020 - Be Careful When Explaining House Retirements
April 7, 2020 - 2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play
April 3, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama - Kansas
April 3, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky - New Mexico
April 3, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming
April 3, 2020 Premium - Amidst Coronavirus Crisis, Presidential Race Takes Shape
April 3, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Jason Atkinson (R)
April 3, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Ratings (April 3, 2020)
April 3, 2020 - 2020 Presidential Ratings (April 3, 2020)
April 3, 2020 - Lesson Learned? The State of Statewide Polling
March 25, 2020 - Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country
March 20, 2020 Premium - California House Races Shift to General Election
March 20, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Lisa Song Sutton (R)
March 20, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Sarah Riggs Amico (D)
March 20, 2020 Premium - Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions
March 17, 2020 - Rating Change: Montana Senate Shifts Toward Democrats
March 9, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (March 9, 2020)
March 9, 2020 - Georgia Senate: How to Blow a Lead
March 6, 2020 Premium - Key Senate Races Start to Take Shape
March 6, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona
March 6, 2020 Premium - House Primary Results: Alabama, North Carolina, Texas
March 6, 2020 Premium - Super Tuesday Senate Primary Update (March 3, 2020)
March 4, 2020 - Eight Thoughts After Charleston Debate
February 26, 2020 - 2020 House Overview: The Bernie Factor
February 21, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Alabama - Iowa
February 21, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): Kansas - New York
February 21, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Overview (February 21, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming
February 21, 2020 Premium - Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?
February 21, 2020 Premium - 2020 House Ratings (February 21, 2020)
February 21, 2020 - RIP, Election Night
February 21, 2020 - Five Thoughts After the Las Vegas Democratic Debate
February 20, 2020 - Indiana 5: Ready to Run
February 7, 2020 - Presidential Battlegrounds: Pennsylvania
February 7, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Chris Bubser (D)
February 7, 2020 Premium - Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority
February 5, 2020 - Was Hillary Clinton a Terrible Candidate?
February 3, 2020 - Virginia 7: No Such Thing as an Easy Race for Republicans
January 24, 2020 Premium - Presidential Battlegrounds: Michigan
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Cynthia Lummis (R)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Robert Emmons Jr. (D)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Jason Church (R)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Cal Cunningham (D)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Bob Elliott (R)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Candidate Conversation - Kendall Qualls (R)
January 24, 2020 Premium - Is Trump really the MVP of the GOP?
January 23, 2020 - The Steyer Boomlet
January 21, 2020 - California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence
January 16, 2020 - 2020 House Ratings (January 16, 2020)
January 16, 2020 - 2020 Senate Overview: GOP Women Hold Keys to GOP Majority
January 10, 2020 Premium - Important Redistricting Process Begins with Reapportionment
January 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama - Kansas
January 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico
January 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming
January 10, 2020 Premium - 2020 Senate Ratings (January 10, 2020)
January 10, 2020 - Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable
January 8, 2020 - 2020 Senate Ratings (January 8, 2020)
January 8, 2020 - 2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019
January 7, 2020