Inside Elections

Six Months from Election Day, Expect the Expected

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 7, 2020 · 2:56 PM EDT

Anything can happen in November. At least that’s what we’re supposed to say. But is it really true?

Even in the middle of a global pandemic and after a historic impeachment process, the political environment hasn’t changed dramatically over the last year and a half. The coronavirus has crippled the…

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 13, 2020 · 8:13 AM EDT

Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.

I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Senate is (Still) In Play

April 3, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

The spread of coronavirus has thrown even the most mundane tasks into uncertainty, yet the fight for the Senate remains the same. Control of the Senate was on the line before the health crisis and continues to be at stake in November.

Over…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Alabama - Kansas

April 3, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). July 14 GOP Runoff (new, rescheduled date). Due to the coronavirus response, Republicans won’t have a nominee until mid-summer. Former Auburn head football coach Tommy Tuberville ($1.1 million in the bank on Feb. 12) finished first in the primary with 33 percent.…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): Kentucky - New Mexico

April 3, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). May 19 primary. The same reasons Democrats nationally love to hate the majority leader, make him difficult to defeat for re-election. McConnell’s effort to help President Trump shape the courts for a…

2020 Senate Overview (April 3, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

April 3, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). In the face of a multi-million dollar GOP effort to influence the Democratic primary, Iraq War veteran/former state Sen. Cal Cunningham won the nomination 57-35 percent over state Sen. Erica Smith. Republicans reveled in watching outside Democratic groups spend $11.7 million to…

Montana Senate: Brawl in Big Sky Country

by Jacob Rubashkin March 20, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

Less than two weeks ago, the Montana Senate race was nearly as big of a national…

Candidate Conversation - Sarah Riggs Amico (D)

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Georgia Senate — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: Oct. 16, 2019

Date of Birth: June 21, 1979; St. Louis, Missouri

Education: Washington & Lee Univ. (2001); Harvard (MBA, 2003)

Elected Office: None; 2018 candidate for lieutenant governor.

Current Outlook: Amico is locked in a competitive Democratic primary with 6th District…

Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 17, 2020 · 8:45 AM EDT

Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…