Senate News & Analysis

Report Shorts (Sept. 15, 2023)

September 15, 2023 · 2:26 PM EDT

Montana Senate. A new group calling itself Last Best Place PAC has begun a six-figure ad campaign against GOP Senate candidate Tim Sheehy, the former Navy SEAL and aerial firefighting CEO who is currently the only Republican in the race. Politico points out that, while the PAC’s donors won’t be…

Report Shorts (September 1, 2023)

September 1, 2023 · 10:26 AM EDT

Arizona Senate. 2022 Senate candidate Blake Masters plans to run again, according to the Wall Street Journal. He joins Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb in the GOP primary — and 2022 gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake is still mulling a Senate campaign too. Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has yet to announce…

Nevada Senate: Silver State Slugfest

by Erin Covey August 18, 2023 · 2:00 PM EDT

In 2018, then-Rep. Jacky Rosen defeated Republican Sen. Dean Heller by 5 points — a landslide victory by Nevada standards that was propelled by a nationwide “Blue Wave.” 

Her 2024 re-election campaign is likely to be closer.

Republicans have struggled to win federal races in Nevada over the past decade.…

Report Shorts (August 18, 2023)

August 18, 2023 · 1:57 PM EDT

California’s 13th District. Former state Assemblyman Adam Gray is running against freshman Republican John Duarte in this Central Valley district Democrats need to win to retake the majority. In 2022, Duarte beat Gray by 564 votes in the second-closest House race in the country. Toss-up.

Iowa’s 1st District. Former state…

2024 Senate Overview: A Wreck of an Election

July 28, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey, & Jacob Rubashkin

Be prepared. With Senate candidates delaying their entry into competitive races and key senators withholding their re-election decisions, and the parties set to nominate two unpopular presidential nominees in a rematch no one is excited about, it feels like we’re in…

2024 Senate Overview (July 28, 2023): Arizona - Maine

July 28, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. The state of the Arizona Senate race has remained static for the past several months. This is largely due to the indecision of two potential candidates: Sinema, and 2022 GOP gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake. 

The senator…

2024 Senate Overview (July 28, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

July 28, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. The picture in Maryland got a little clearer when progressive hero Rep. Jamie Raskin opted out of running to succeed Cardin. That leaves 6th District Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks as the top…

2024 Senate Overview (July 28, 2023): Pennsylvania - Wyoming

July 28, 2023 · 2:27 PM EDT

Pennsylvania. Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%), 2018 (56%). Filing deadline Feb. 2024. Republicans dodged a massive bullet when state Sen. Doug Mastriano announced that he wouldn’t run for Senate after all. Mastriano’s 15-point loss to Josh Shapiro in last November’s gubernatorial race proved he can’t win…

Montana Senate: Ultimate Test(er)

by Jacob Rubashkin July 14, 2023 · 1:30 PM EDT

As Montana has become increasingly Republican, the GOP has failed to dislodge Democratic Sen. Jon Tester from his perch in Washington. 

Tester is one of three Democratic senators up for re-election in a state Donald Trump carried in 2020, along with Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (who is running for re-election)…

Report Shorts (July 14, 2023)

July 14, 2023 · 1:28 PM EDT

Alaska’s At-Large District. Nick Begich, the Republican candidate who came in third place in the top-four primary for Alaska’s open House seat last cycle, announced his campaign on Thursday. Considering President Donald Trump won Alaska by 10 points in 2020, Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is vulnerable for re-election. But Alaska’s…