Senate News & Analysis

Senate Report Shorts (October 10, 2024)

by Jacob Rubashkin October 10, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remain locked in a close fight in the presidential race, but GOP former local news anchor/2022 gubernatorial Kari Lake is consistently running behind Trump. Since it’s unlikely Trump wins Arizona by a wide…

Podcast Episode 32: North Carolina Poll, VP Debate, Election Models w/ Nathaniel Rakich of 538

October 3, 2024 · 3:13 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.

Listen to the…

Senate Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Open; Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Whether it’s statewide surveys or snapshots in competitive House districts, it’s clear that Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego has the edge over GOP former local news anchor/2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake. It looked like Lake had a better chance early this summer when…

Podcast Episode 31: Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut’s 5th w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

September 19, 2024 · 1:18 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. The anti-tax Club for Growth will spend $12 million to boost GOP nominee Kari Lake, even as other national Republicans keep their distance from the controversial former newscaster. The Club and Lake’s own campaign publicized polls in August showing the race against Rep.…

Podcast Episode 30: Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press with Chuck Todd

September 4, 2024 · 12:10 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Senate Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)

August 29, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego scored an endorsement from the Arizona Police Association just days after the group’s president spoke at a Trump rally. The APA had previously endorsed Gallego’s GOP opponent, Kari Lake, in her 2022 gubernatorial bid. While endorsements don’t win or…

Podcast Episode 29: Democratic National Convention from Chicago

August 22, 2024 · 4:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin discuss and analyze the first three days of the Democratic National Convention on location in Chicago, including the biggest themes, speeches and highlights, and the impact Vice President Kamala Harris is having on the presidential races and the fight for the House and Senate. 

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Senate Report Shorts (August 16, 2024)

August 16, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. A bipartisan poll for the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter conducted July 26 - Aug. 2 showed Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leading Republican Kari Lake 51-42 percent and Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 46-42 percent. Tilt Democratic.

Michigan Senate. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin…

Podcast Episode 28: Biden Drops Out, Harris VP Pick, Ohio 9 Poll w/ Leah Askarinam

August 1, 2024 · 10:55 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press analyze the impact of President Joe Biden’s departure from the race and Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, talk about the various potential vice presidential picks for Harris, and release the latest exclusive…