Senate News & Analysis

Missouri Senate: Show Me the Nominee

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republicans need to gain just a single seat to regain the Senate majority, but they have limited takeover opportunities and can’t afford to lose any of their own seats because of self-inflicted problems. Missouri has the potential to become a flashpoint for the GOP next year, with major implications for…

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 17, 2021 · 11:48 AM EDT

The next presidential election is more than three years away, and even the midterms won’t happen for another 14 months. Yet President Joe Biden could be on the brink of losing something costly: the benefit of the doubt. 

While I’m on the record as skeptical that Afghanistan will be…

Nevada Senate: It Matters

by Jacob Rubashkin September 10, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

With the Senate divided 50-50 between Democrats and Republicans, every seat up is a potential majority-maker in 2022, including Nevada

Both parties have four major targets on the Senate battlefield. For Democrats, those are Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, North Carolina and Florida. For Republicans, those are Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire and Nevada.

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2021 · 8:45 AM EDT

Less than 12 hours after Flight 175 crashed into the South Tower of the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001, close to 150 members of Congress, Republicans and Democrats, stood together on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to sing “God Bless America.” Unfortunately, that act of bipartisanship…

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2021 · 12:00 PM EDT

No, the 2022 midterm elections will not be about Afghanistan, but that doesn’t mean the situation won’t matter. 

While Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump contributed to the military morass, and there was close to bipartisan consensus that leaving Afghanistan was the right thing to do, there…

Stop Attacking Losing Candidates

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2021 · 9:02 AM EDT

It’s time to stop attacking candidates for losing a previous race. It’s just silly and ignores history. The partisan and glib attacks aren’t predictive of anything and ignore dozens of examples of candidates who lost before winning.

The latest example is in Iowa, where former Rep. Abby Finkenauer announced her…

North Carolina Senate: Tar Heel Hullabaloo

by Jacob Rubashkin August 6, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

Republican Sen. Richard Burr’s decision to retire rather than seek a fourth term gives Democrats a much-needed opportunity to offset potential losses elsewhere, during a midterm cycle in which literally every Senate seat is a majority-maker.

Though Democrats have not won a Senate race in North Carolina in 13 years,…

Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 6, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

John Boozman’s greatest sin is that he’s too nice. 

As a member of a Republican Party that rewards the provocative and sensational, the two-term senator from Arkansas has drawn three primary challengers, in part because he’s not a staple of the Fox News prime-time lineup. The fact that Boozman is…

Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve

by Jacob Rubashkin July 29, 2021 · 2:00 PM EDT

When fundraising reports trickle out quarter by quarter, it’s easy to lose sight of the big picture: candidate fundraising over the last couple cycles has soared.

In 2014, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes and Republican Mitch McConnell raised a combined $49.8 million in their battle for one of Kentucky’s Senate seats.…

Alabama Senate: Brooks Battles Back

by Jacob Rubashkin July 16, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

There are a couple of states where long-shot Democratic takeover opportunities could turn into full-blown Senate headaches for the GOP. But Alabama isn’t one of them.

Sen. Richard Shelby has represented Alabama in Washington, DC for 42 years, first in the House and since 1987 in the Senate, and as…