Senate News & Analysis

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. The anti-tax Club for Growth will spend $12 million to boost GOP nominee Kari Lake, even as other national Republicans keep their distance from the controversial former newscaster. The Club and Lake’s own campaign publicized polls in August showing the race against Rep.…

Podcast Episode 30: Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press with Chuck Todd

September 4, 2024 · 12:10 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Senate Report Shorts (August 29, 2024)

August 29, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) not seeking re-election. Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego scored an endorsement from the Arizona Police Association just days after the group’s president spoke at a Trump rally. The APA had previously endorsed Gallego’s GOP opponent, Kari Lake, in her 2022 gubernatorial bid. While endorsements don’t win or…

Podcast Episode 29: Democratic National Convention from Chicago

August 22, 2024 · 4:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin discuss and analyze the first three days of the Democratic National Convention on location in Chicago, including the biggest themes, speeches and highlights, and the impact Vice President Kamala Harris is having on the presidential races and the fight for the House and Senate. 

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Senate Report Shorts (August 16, 2024)

August 16, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona Senate. A bipartisan poll for the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter conducted July 26 - Aug. 2 showed Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leading Republican Kari Lake 51-42 percent and Vice President Kamala Harris leading former President Donald Trump 46-42 percent. Tilt Democratic.

Michigan Senate. Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin…

Podcast Episode 28: Biden Drops Out, Harris VP Pick, Ohio 9 Poll w/ Leah Askarinam

August 1, 2024 · 10:55 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press analyze the impact of President Joe Biden’s departure from the race and Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, talk about the various potential vice presidential picks for Harris, and release the latest exclusive…

Presidential: Biden’s Exit Steers Election Into Uncharted Waters

July 21, 2024 · 4:47 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Unthinkable even a month ago, President Joe Biden’s decision to decline the Democratic nomination upends the 2024 election 106 days before Election Day.

Biden’s exit comes after an agonizing three weeks following his dismal debate performance against former President Donald Trump, and at…

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina, and Ohio 6 Special

by Jacob Rubashkin June 12, 2024 · 12:46 PM EDT

Two more House Republicans survived spirited primary challenges this week. Elsewhere, Republicans picked their nominees in takeover targets in Maine and Nevada, and nearly got a shock in GOP territory in Appalachian Ohio.

Voters in four states – Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina – cast primary ballots on…

New Mexico Senate: Domenici Digs Deep

by Jacob Rubashkin June 7, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

New Mexico isn’t on the Senate battlefield — yet. In a cycle dominated by Trump-state Democrats in Montana and Ohio and presidential battleground mainstays such as Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, the Land of Enchantment has flown under the radar.

For much of the cycle, Sen. Martin Heinrich appeared on a…

House: Key Primary Results from Iowa, Montana, New Jersey and New Mexico

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2024 · 11:06 AM EDT

Earlier in the cycle, June 4 looked like a must-watch primary night with marquee Senate primaries in New Jersey and Montana. But most of the drama dissipated long before voters went to the polls on Tuesday, and the remaining notable races played out as expected. 

Voters in five states cast…