Senate News & Analysis

Maine Senate: Is Susan Collins Already Behind?

by Stuart Rothenberg February 21, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

A February 10-13 SocialSphere survey for Colby College (my alma mater) about the Maine Senate race certainly generated plenty of buzz on Tuesday. My own reaction was less than enthusiastic.

I tweeted that “The ballot test is not consistent with other (unreleased) numbers, and it conveys a misimpression of where…

RIP, Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2020 · 9:40 AM EST

It’s time to retire the term “election night.”

The semi-annual national tradition of staying up a few hours past bedtime to know who will control our government is over. From close races to voting by mail to human error, it’s becoming clear that counting votes no longer fits neatly into…

Candidate Conversation - Cal Cunningham (D)

January 24, 2020 · 2:25 PM EST

North Carolina Senate - Rating: Toss-up

Interview Date: Dec. 6, 2019

Date of Birth: Aug. 6, 1973; Winston-Salem, N.C.

Education: Univ. of North Carolina Chapel Hill (1999); Vanderbilt Univ. (attended), American Univ. (attended); London School of Economics (attended). 

Elected Office: State Senate (former); 2014 Senate candidate

Current Outlook: Cunningham is…

2020 Senate Overview: GOP Women Hold Keys to GOP Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 10, 2020 · 2:30 PM EST

There are just eight Republican women in the U.S. Senate, but they are critical in the GOP effort to maintain the majority. 

Of those eight female Republican senators, six will be on the ballot this November and four of them are in competitive races. Martha McSally of Arizona and Susan…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Alabama - Kansas

January 10, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. In November, former Sen. Jeff Sessions entered the race for his old seat and is the GOP frontrunner. He served as Trump’s attorney general for a tumultuous nine months, but Sessions is all-but-guaranteed to make the…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico

January 10, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Just looking at the fundraising, you’d think control of the Senate hinged on the outcome in Kentucky. But that’s not the case. Because of his…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

January 10, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). March 3 primary. Tillis received some good news when his wealthy primary opponent, Garland Tucker, dropped out of the race, and Rep Mark Walker, who was left without a winnable district, declined to run. But Tillis (who had $4.9 million in the…

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2020 · 3:30 PM EST

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s decision not to run for Senate in Kansas creates a legitimate scenario for Democrats to win a seat in a Republican state and increases the chances Democrats win control in November.

Pompeo has long been viewed as the Republicans’ easiest path to keeping retiring Sen.…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not…

Candidate Conversation - Theresa Greenfield (D)

December 19, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Iowa Senate — Rating: Lean Republican 

Interview Date: Nov. 5, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 20, 1963; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: Minnesota State Univ. (1987); Iowa Lakes Community College (attended); College of Saint Benedict (attended); Iowa State Univ. (attended).

Elected Office: None; 2018 3rd District candidate

Current Outlook: Greenfield is…