Senate News & Analysis

Senate Report Shorts (Jan. 11, 2024)

January 11, 2024 · 2:28 PM EST

California Senate. Less than two months before the March 5 primary, the TV ad war is heating up. Democratic Rep. Katie Porter has spent or reserved $2 million on ads compared to $1.77 million for Democratic Rep. Adam Schiff and $89,000 from Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee, according to AdImpact. But…

Podcast Episode 13: New York 3 Special, Iowa Caucus w/ Marianne LeVine

January 5, 2024 · 9:17 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post discuss the special election to replace George Santos in New York’s 3rd District and the upcoming Republican caucuses in Iowa, with a side of movie reviews. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts…

Podcast Episode 12: Baseline, Evenly-Divided Districts, Memorable Holiday Gifts

December 21, 2023 · 11:01 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bradley Wascher discuss Inside Elections’ Baseline metric, which measures the partisan performance of every district and every state. They also dive into some of the most evenly-divided districts in the country and talk about their favorite holiday gift memories.

Listen to the podcast…

Podcast Episode 11: Santos Special Election, Nepo Babies Running in the House, GOP Presidential

December 7, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the upcoming special election in New York’s 3rd District after George Santos was expelled, talk about a the crop of Nepo Baby candidates running for the House with family connections, and look ahead to the GOP presidential primary with the Iowa caucuses…

Report Shorts (Dec. 1, 2023)

by Erin Covey December 1, 2023 · 2:26 PM EST

Alaska’s At-Large District. Republican Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom announced her campaign against Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola. Republicans are optimistic that Dahlstrom can pull together various wings of the state Republican Party, but the race is complicated by Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and 2022 GOP candidate Nick Begich’s campaign. Lean Democratic. 

Podcast Episode 10: Manchin’s Exit, House Exodus, and GOP Presidential Primary

November 17, 2023 · 10:26 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covery look at the fight for the Senate in the wake of Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin's decision not to see re-election in West Virginia, discuss the recent exodus from the House with multiple members not running again, talk about the latest in the GOP…

Podcast Episode 9: 2023 Elections, North Carolina Redistricting, GOP Presidential Primary

November 2, 2023 · 1:00 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin look ahead to the key 2023 races, talk about the impact of the new maps in North Carolina and Alabama after redistricting, and discuss the GOP presidential primary without Mike Pence in the race.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

2024 Senate Overview: Democrats Hoping for Rerun

October 27, 2023 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey & Jacob Rubashkin

When it comes to the fight for the Senate majority in 2024, Democrats are hoping they’ve seen this movie before. 

In 2022, Democrats expanded the majority against long odds. With strong incumbents, flawed Republican candidates and the Dobbs decision motivating pro-choice…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Arizona - Maine

October 27, 2023 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Kyrsten Sinema (I) elected 2018 as a Democrat (50%). Filing deadline April 8. Primary Aug. 6. The contours of this race are finally beginning to take shape, though Sinema has yet to announce her 2024 plans. 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake announced her Senate campaign in August, and is…

2024 Senate Overview (Oct. 27, 2023): Maryland - Ohio

October 27, 2023 · 2:28 PM EDT

Maryland. Open; Ben Cardin (D) not seeking re-election. Filing deadline Jan. 19. Primary April 23.  The Democratic primary — the most important contest in this deep-blue state — is down to two major contenders after Montgomery County Councilman Will Jawando dropped his bid. Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks is…