Senate News & Analysis

Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 13, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

As the presidential primary and House special elections consume most of the recent media attention, there’s been significant developments in key Senate races. Democrats need to gain three seats for control of the Senate, if they win the White House, or four seats to give them an outright majority. Republicans…

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s not a question of if more House Members will retire; it’s a question of when and where.

On Wednesday, Bill Flores became the fifth Texas Republican to announce he will not seek re-election or another office in 2020. Of the 13 total members retiring in 2020, 11 are…

Isakson’s Decision Adds Competitive Seat to 2020 Senate Battleground

August 28, 2019 · 11:27 AM EDT

Georgia Republican Johnny Isakson’s resignation adds another seat to the 2020 Senate battleground and gives Democrats another takeover opportunity in their road to the majority. 

According to state law, GOP Gov. Brian Kemp will appoint a senator, who will then stand for election in Nov. 2020 to fill the…

Maine Senate: Democrats Try to Crack Collins’ Code

by Leah Askarinam August 16, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Motivated by Donald Trump’s 2016 victory, Democratic activists throughout the country have targeted dozens of congressional Republicans for defeat, 32 of whom lost their jobs in the 2018 midterms. But heading into 2020, nobody has caught Democrats’ attention quite like Sen. Susan Collins of Maine. 

When Collins announced that she…

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2019 · 8:55 AM EDT

President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.

We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…

Michigan Senate: Renovating The Blue Wall

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

When the so-called “Blue Wall” came tumbling down in 2016, it seemed like a new era of American politics had arrived. But the 2018 midterm results muddied the waters, leaving politicos with more questions than answers about how Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan will perform in 2020.

All three states, which…

Kentucky Senate: Seriously, Are We Doing This Again?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 18, 2019 · 2:06 PM EDT

I understand Democrats’ frustration with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, as well as their desire to send him into retirement in the 2020 elections. But once again Democrats have gotten ahead of themselves in their optimism that they can defeat the Kentucky Republican.

Six years ago, Democrats and many in…

How Many Ways is Michigan in Play in 2020?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2019 · 1:31 PM EDT

Michigan is surprisingly relevant in 2020.

The Democratic presidential nominee almost certainly has to carry the state next year to have any chance of denying President Donald Trump a second term. And Republicans are eyeing the seat of first-term Democratic Sen. Gary Peters.

Democrats must net three Senate seats next…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Dual of the Fates

June 28, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With the growing correlation between presidential results and Senate results, the GOP majority should be fine if President Donald Trump replicates his 2016 Electoral College map, even if Republicans lose a seat or two. But if Trump slips, Senate Republicans could feel the…

2020 Senate Overview (June 28, 2019): Alabama - Kansas

June 28, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Doug Jones (D), elected 2017 special (50%). Nov. 8 filing deadline. March 3 primary. March 31 runoff. There might be only one way Jones is elected to a full term, but that scenario could come true. Republicans in Washington are working to make sure Roy Moore, who lost the…