President News & Analysis

How Divided Parties Survive and Thrive

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Nathan L. Gonzales June 23, 2017 · 3:00 PM EDT

Democrats were divided before the special election in Georgia, and Jon Ossoff’s loss certainly didn’t help heal any internal wounds. The party went “all in” to win the suburban Atlanta seat and came up short in the type of district the party needs to win to get to a majority…

The GOP’s Political Gamble on the Environment

Stuart Rothenberg June 4, 2017 · 8:00 AM EDT

While activists on both sides of the aisle and both ends of the ideological spectrum argue about whether President Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the Paris accord is a good idea, the political risks of that decision are undeniable.

The president’s announcement is likely to elevate the salience of “the environment”…

Lessons for Trump Detractors, Members of Congress From a Loyalty Expert

Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2017 · 11:40 AM EDT

You’ve probably never heard of James Kane, but elected officials, party strategists, and even some reporters could learn from his perspective as a behavioral scientist (instead of a partisan hack) about how to fracture President Donald Trump’s base and the future of the two parties. 

I rarely have time…

Don’t Trust Politicians Who Say They Aren’t Running for President

Nathan L. Gonzales May 5, 2017 · 8:30 AM EDT

Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand told a group of local reporters in New York that she is not running for president in 2020. But, of course, that means you shouldn’t take her off any list of potential presidential candidates.

The Empire State’s junior senator is among the dozen or so…

Why Republicans Don’t Fear a Shutdown, But Should

Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

For many Republicans, it’s a fairly simple calculation: There was a supposedly catastrophic government shutdown in 2013 and the GOP gained 13 House seats a year later. So what’s the big deal if the government shuts down again?

With another funding deadline on the horizon, selective memory loss could have…

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania Changing Color?

Stuart Rothenberg April 25, 2017 · 8:55 AM EDT

Are Wisconsin and Pennsylvania realigning with the GOP, or were Donald Trump’s victories in both states – and the accompanying Republican Senate wins last year – merely aberrations?

The answer will likely impact the fate of the country’s two major parties over the next decade.

Partisan realignments follow from significant…

Reason for Democratic Optimism, But Health Care Won’t be Enough

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Nathan L. Gonzales April 7, 2017 · 2:55 PM EDT

From the women’s marches to town hall protests, Democrats were feeling emboldened about the next elections even before Republicans fumbled their attempt to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Democratic optimism grew (as well as media comparisons to a certain previous midterm election involving health care) as polling revealed that the…

So Much for Deal Making

Stuart Rothenberg April 5, 2017 · 9:20 AM EDT

It seemed logical. But so far it hasn’t happened.

Last year, many political observers were suggesting that new political leadership in the nation’s capital could well usher in a wave of political negotiation and compromise. No, the legislative process wouldn’t suddenly become easy, but the unadulterated partisanship that had paralyzed…

Everything is Great. Just Great.

Stuart Rothenberg March 9, 2017 · 9:00 AM EST

To listen to White House spokesman Sean Spicer, everything is going great.  Because of President Donald Trump, new jobs are being created, restrictive and burdensome regulations are being eliminated, and the U.S. military will get the additional money it needs to keep the country safe. There will be tax cuts,…

Jason Kander May Have Made a Big Mistake

Nathan L. Gonzales February 22, 2017 · 9:16 AM EST

Missouri Democrat Jason Kander came close to getting elected to the Senate after he burst onto the scene last year with a memorable campaign ad and a strong challenge to GOP incumbent Roy Blunt. Now Kander is widely viewed as a rising star in the Democratic Party, but his postelection…