President News & Analysis

Tim Scott’s Iowa Play Is Working

by Jacob Rubashkin June 26, 2023 · 10:35 AM EDT

A little over a month into his presidential campaign, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott has managed to do something no other hopeful has yet accomplished: show some momentum.

Seven months before the Iowa caucuses, the 2024 Republican presidential primary field is largely set, and the dynamics of the race feel…

Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2023 · 12:29 PM EDT

It’s not just the candidates who could look the same next fall.

With President Joe Biden’s re-election announcement this week and former President Donald Trump’s announcement last year, it looks like the old cast from the 2020 presidential race is back for a 2024 sequel. And the battleground of…

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2023 · 1:39 PM EDT

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024. 

Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican…

No One Knows for Sure How Trump’s Legal Problems Will Play Out

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 30, 2023 · 7:17 PM EDT

Political candidates getting arrested is no laughing matter, but one comedian’s perspective could help stave off the temptation to predict the fallout from former President Donald Trump’s legal problems.

Back in 2018, former “Saturday Night Live” writer/comedian John Mulaney tried to describe what it was like to follow the Trump…

12 Dates that Define the 2022 Midterm Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2022 · 1:25 PM EST

The votes haven't been counted yet and the results aren't yet known, but it’s not too early to take a look back at the key dates that have defined the 2022 midterm cycle. 

Some historic moments, such as the confirmation of the first Black woman to the Supreme Court, aren’t…

Midterm Elections Could Set Another Turnout Record This Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2022 · 12:06 PM EDT

In a rare moment of unity, Republicans and Democrats are poised to come together to set yet another turnout record in the 2022 elections.

Remember that the country set a modern record for turnout in a midterm election in 2018 with 50.1 percent and a modern record for turnout in…

Biden’s Approval Rating Struggles Continue

by Ryan Matsumoto April 14, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

In December, Inside Elections took a look at President Joe Biden’s job approval rating and noted how much it had declined since the start of his term. While Biden enjoyed a positive approval rating during his first few months in office, his standing quickly deteriorated throughout…

If History’s a Guide, Biden Ain’t Getting Any Stronger

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 2, 2022 · 11:52 AM EST

President Joe Biden’s weak political standing looks like cement around the feet of the Democratic majorities in Congress. And even though the 2022 midterm elections are still more than 9 months away, history tells us Biden’s job rating isn’t likely to improve and more likely will deteriorate before Election Day.

The Problem with our Politics is not Partisanship

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 8, 2021 · 9:02 AM EST

Our political system is broken. Partisanship, however, is not to blame. It’s the personalization. 

In the current political environment, it’s not enough to disagree with a political foe about policy. You have to discredit, demonize and destroy that person as a human being. 

Arizona Republican Paul Gosar’s anime on Twitter…

Biden’s Job Rating Tumbles from Stable

by Ryan Matsumoto December 3, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

Earlier this year, Inside Elections took a look at Joe Biden’s presidential approval rating and noted its remarkable stability. As of June 1, Biden’s approval rating was at 54 percent approval and 40 percent disapproval in the FiveThirtyEight polling average. Biden’s approval rating had hovered at…