President News & Analysis

Five Key Takeaways from the Wisconsin Supreme Court Election

by Ryan Matsumoto April 22, 2020 · 10:34 AM EDT

A week ago, challenger Jill Karofsky won a hotly contested Wisconsin Supreme Court election, defeating incumbent Daniel Kelly. Even though it was a state race, the results were the latest evidence that the Badger State will be a presidential battleground in November. 

Although Wisconsin judicial elections are technically nonpartisan, Karofsky…

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 13, 2020 · 8:13 AM EDT

Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.

I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…

Coronavirus and Campaign Ads: How the Pandemic Is Playing on TV

by Jacob Rubashkin April 8, 2020 · 9:15 AM EDT

The attack ad began as many do:…

Amidst Coronavirus Crisis, Presidential Race Takes Shape

April 3, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Even though the coronavirus is a historic global event, the most important political event over the last couple months was the near end of the Democratic primary and the likely nomination of former Vice President Joe Biden.

Biden isn’t a perfect candidate,…

Lesson Learned? The State of Statewide Polling

by Bradley Wascher March 25, 2020 · 8:15 AM EDT

The 2016 Democratic primary in Michigan was a wakeup call. With every recent survey of the state showing Hillary Clinton ahead by double digits, many deemed a Bernie Sanders victory out of the question — until results came in. The Vermont senator’s 23 percentage point overperformance is now considered one…

Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 17, 2020 · 8:45 AM EDT

Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Arizona

by Ryan Matsumoto March 6, 2020 · 2:28 PM EST

If the Democratic nominee won all three of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania this November, he would win back the White House (assuming no other changes to the 2016 electoral map). But if President Donald Trump were to win just one of those states, Democrats would need to make up ground…

Eight Thoughts After Charleston Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 26, 2020 · 8:54 AM EST

With South Carolina and Super Tuesday looming, and the potential of a second term for President Donald Trump staring the party in the face, seven Democratic candidates didn’t miss an opportunity to attack each other during the debate in Charleston, South Carolina, on Tuesday night. But will any of it…

RIP, Election Night

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 21, 2020 · 9:40 AM EST

It’s time to retire the term “election night.”

The semi-annual national tradition of staying up a few hours past bedtime to know who will control our government is over. From close races to voting by mail to human error, it’s becoming clear that counting votes no longer fits neatly into…

Five Thoughts After the Las Vegas Democratic Debate

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 20, 2020 · 10:35 AM EST

I don’t have a bad Las Vegas-themed pun, just a few thoughts after Wednesday night’s Democratic tussle.

The sharp tone of the debate matched the high stakes. Candidacies are on the line. Aspirations are hanging in the balance. And a second term for President Donald Trump is staring the Democratic…