House News & Analysis

Candidate Conversation: Tom Toomey (R)

October 22, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting

Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)

Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)

Education: Iona College (2015)

Elected Office: None. First run for office.

Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping to take on two-term…

Ad Watch: Building Back Together Stays the Course

by Christopher Sebastian October 15, 2021 · 1:15 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG.

Early last week, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer set a new October 31st deadline for the passage of the remainder of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better plan, composed of the administration’s proposed infrastructure policies not found in the earlier “American Rescue…

Maine Redistricting: Same As It Ever Was

by Jacob Rubashkin October 11, 2021 · 11:25 AM EDT

On Sept. 29, Maine became the second state to finalize its congressional districts for the next decade, capping a six-week process more notable for what it wasn’t: contentious, protracted, or extensive.

With just two districts to draw, minimal population shifts, and a redistricting scheme that encouraged compromise, the whole ordeal…

Colorado Redistricting: New District, Fortunate Incumbents

by Bradley Wascher October 4, 2021 · 9:19 AM EDT

In the late hours of Sept. 28, Colorado’s independent redistricting commission approved a new congressional map. The Centennial State was allocated an additional representative in Congress during this year’s decennial reapportionment, and (pending final approval from the state Supreme Court) we now know what the new 8th District…

Maine 2: Survivor Series

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Three years later, Republicans still aren’t convinced Rep. Bruce Poliquin lost re-election in 2018. But the former GOP congressman from Maine is running again and is a key piece of the GOP path to retake the House.

Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to win back the…

The One Thing Biden Can’t Afford to Lose

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 17, 2021 · 11:48 AM EDT

The next presidential election is more than three years away, and even the midterms won’t happen for another 14 months. Yet President Joe Biden could be on the brink of losing something costly: the benefit of the doubt. 

While I’m on the record as skeptical that Afghanistan will be…

Minnesota 2: Twin Billing

by Jacob Rubashkin September 10, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

With history, redistricting, and the current national political environment on their side, Republicans are on the march to the House majority. And if they make big gains in 2022, Minnesota’s 2nd District is likely to be in that batch of takeovers.

Democrats are facing the worst national environment since the…

RIP, Rally ’Round the Flag

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 9, 2021 · 8:45 AM EDT

Less than 12 hours after Flight 175 crashed into the South Tower of the World Trade Center on Sept. 11, 2001, close to 150 members of Congress, Republicans and Democrats, stood together on the steps of the U.S. Capitol to sing “God Bless America.” Unfortunately, that act of bipartisanship…

How Afghanistan Will (and Won’t) Matter in 2022 Midterms

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 2, 2021 · 12:00 PM EDT

No, the 2022 midterm elections will not be about Afghanistan, but that doesn’t mean the situation won’t matter. 

While Presidents George W. Bush, Barack Obama and Donald Trump contributed to the military morass, and there was close to bipartisan consensus that leaving Afghanistan was the right thing to do, there…

House Majority Forward Enters the Early Fight

by Christopher Sebastian August 31, 2021 · 2:23 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG

House Majority PAC  has never been afraid to spend money.

Still, the Democratic stalwart of Super PAC spending has, for the past decade, limited its involvement in off-cycle and pre-primary activity. Even as other outside PACs have grown more willing to broadcast…