House News & Analysis

Nebraska 2: Omaha Tiebreaker

by Jacob Rubashkin July 11, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

No one congressional district may have more political importance than Nebraska’s 2nd.

Anchored by Omaha, the 2nd District is the most evenly divided district in the entire country (according to Inside Elections’ Baseline). And it’s also one of just five congressional districts to cast its own electoral vote, not including…

Podcast Episode 26: Post-Debate Analysis + New York Races w/ Emily Ngo of Politico

June 28, 2024 · 4:22 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin look at the potential fallout from the CNN debate between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump and analyze a handful of key House races in New York with Emily Ngo of Politico. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or…

2024 House Overview: Holding Pattern

June 20, 2024 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

A presidential year and presidential-level turnout was supposed to boost Democratic chances down the ballot. But that’s not how the cycle is playing out. Instead of President Joe Biden’s re-election carrying Democrats to a House majority, Democratic House candidates are trying to defy…

2024 House Overview (June 20, 2024): Alaska - Iowa

June 20, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska. Primary Aug. 20.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%. This race got a major shakeup when Trump endorsed Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom, who is the preferred candidate of national Republicans, over entrepreneur Nick Begich III, who is also in the race. Republican consolidation will be…

2024 House Overview (June 20, 2024): North Carolina - Wisconsin

June 20, 2024 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, elected 52%. Biden 50.4%.
The race between Davis and Republican Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel, could be one of the most expensive in the country. While neither candidate is a particularly strong fundraiser — Davis reported $1.8…

Virginia, Oklahoma, Georgia Runoff Primary Results

by Jacob Rubashkin June 18, 2024 · 11:30 PM EDT

One House Republican survived a spirited primary challenge this week, while another is locked in an expensive battle that is still too close to call. Elsewhere, Democrats and Republicans in Virginia selected their nominees for a handful of competitive general election races.

Voters in two states – Oklahoma and Virginia…

Podcast Episode 25: Virginia Races + Women’s Softball Game w/ Laura Vozzella + Atalie Ebersole

June 13, 2024 · 2:01 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin analyze the upcoming Virginia primaries and general election with Laura Vozzella of The Washington Post and talk about the upcoming annual congressional women’s softball game for breast cancer research with Atalie Ebersole of the Pet Food Institute. 

Listen to the podcast on…

Primary Results in Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina, and Ohio 6 Special

by Jacob Rubashkin June 12, 2024 · 12:46 PM EDT

Two more House Republicans survived spirited primary challenges this week. Elsewhere, Republicans picked their nominees in takeover targets in Maine and Nevada, and nearly got a shock in GOP territory in Appalachian Ohio.

Voters in four states – Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, and South Carolina – cast primary ballots on…

New York 19: Riley vs. Molinaro Rematch

by Jacob Rubashkin June 7, 2024 · 2:29 PM EDT

At the confluence of New York’s Hudson Valley, Southern Tier, and Capital Region, Democrats are hoping a rematch of one of 2022’s closest House races is not just a replay of last cycle’s outcome.

Armed with better fundraising and unburdened by the lack of a gubernatorial slugfest at the top…

House: Key Primary Results from Iowa, Montana, New Jersey and New Mexico

by Jacob Rubashkin June 5, 2024 · 11:06 AM EDT

Earlier in the cycle, June 4 looked like a must-watch primary night with marquee Senate primaries in New Jersey and Montana. But most of the drama dissipated long before voters went to the polls on Tuesday, and the remaining notable races played out as expected. 

Voters in five states cast…