House News & Analysis

North Carolina 9: Back to the Future

by Leah Askarinam August 16, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

It might be August of the off-year, and presidential candidates are getting virtually all of the attention, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to ignore House elections.

North Carolina’s 9th District is holding a unique “redo” election Sept. 10, after the state Board of Elections found irregularities in Republican Mark…

House Open Seat Overview

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 16, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

After a flurry of House retirement announcements over the last few weeks, it’s tough to keep them all straight. So here’s a brief rundown of the current slate of open seats including our current race rating. 

Don’t forget, we’re still well below the average number of retirements for a cycle.…

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2019 · 12:04 PM EDT

Another day, another Republican retirement. 

It might seem like there’s a flood of Members announcing they will not seek re-election, but we’re still not close to historical levels. And the location of the open seats matters more than the timing.

It's remarkable that Rep. Kenny Marchant is the fourth Texas…

Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category

by Leah Askarinam August 2, 2019 · 1:17 AM EDT

Will Hurd of Texas has been considered one of Republicans’ strongest incumbents. He proved that point in 2018, when he was one of just three Republicans to win re-election in a district that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016.

But Hurd, who founded a cybersecurity firm before running for Congress, announced…

How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?

July 25, 2019 · 9:57 PM EDT

Republicans Reps. Pete Olson of Texas and Paul Mitchell of Michigan recently announced they will not seek re-election, but how much does their decision impact the fight for the House majority? Open seats are usually more vulnerable than districts where an incumbent is seeking another term, but these two retirements…

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2019 · 8:55 AM EDT

President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.

We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…

Candidate Conversation - Ritchie Torres (D)

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Ritchie Torres (D)

New York’s 15th District — Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: June 25, 2019

Date of Birth: March 12, 1988; New York, N.Y.

Education: NYU (attended 2006-2007)

Elected Office: New York City Council (elected 2013, re-elected 2017)

Current Outlook: Democratic Rep. José E. Serrano will not seek re-election…

Fallout from Amash’s Decision in Michigan and Beyond

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 10, 2019 · 11:45 AM EDT

Republicans didn’t shed a tear after Rep. Justin Amash jumped the GOP ship. But their exuberance for being rid of the Michigan congressman might be masking his impact on the party’s effort to recapture the House majority and regain control of his 3rd District.  

As more of a libertarian than…

If at First You Don’t Succeed, Try, Try and Run Somewhere Else

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 2, 2019 · 1:40 PM EDT

A handful of House candidates this cycle aren’t letting previous losses — or geography — get in the way of another congressional run. Dozens of members of Congress lost races before eventually winning, but some politicians are aiming their aspirations at different districts, and in some cases different states, to…

2020 Senate (June 28, 2019): Kentucky - New Mexico

June 28, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Veteran Amy McGrath is likely to challenge the majority leader. She was one of Democrats’ highest-profile House challengers in 2018, but lost to GOP Rep.…