House News & Analysis

House Report Shorts (June 4, 2021): Florida & Ohio

by Jacob Rubashkin June 4, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

Florida’s 10th District
With Democratic Rep. Val Demings preparing to run for the Senate, the field to succeed her has started to take shape. Former 9th judicial district state attorney Aramis Ayala, who made national headlines several years ago when she announced she would not seek the death penalty…

Could Supreme Court Supercharge Midterms With Abortion Ruling?

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 3, 2021 · 8:58 AM EDT

If redistricting hadn’t complicated the midterm elections enough, a Supreme Court decision on one of the country’s most polarizing issues has the potential to supercharge the fight for the House and Senate.

Last month, the Supreme Court announced it would hear a challenge to a new Mississippi law —…

New Mexico 1 Special: Tale of Two Races

by Jacob Rubashkin May 21, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

After a net loss of 11 seats in 2020, House Democrats left themselves very little room for error in 2022. And with such a narrow majority, Democrats have to win special elections to maintain control of their own seats even before the midterm elections in order to maintain a working…

Special Elections in Redistricting Cycles: To Play or Not to Play?

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 21, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

Democrats aren’t lamenting getting locked out of the special election runoff earlier this month in a Texas district they targeted previously.

But did the party miss an opportunity to bounce back from a surprising 11-seat loss in the 2020 elections? Looking back a decade ago at the special elections ahead…

Republicans Should Disband If They Don’t Win Back the House in 2022

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 18, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

Failure, disappointment and embarrassment. Those three feelings should come to mind for Republicans if they don’t win the House majority in 2022. 

Democrats have their narrowest majority in more than a generation, and Republicans have redistricting and history on their side in the midterm elections. There’s really no excuse for…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting Analysis (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Six months into the 2022 midterm elections, and we still don’t know the congressional lines that will define and determine the fight for the House majority. And considering Republicans need a net gain of just five seats, literally every seat matters.

The U.S.…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (Alabama - Iowa)

May 7, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. According to pre-apportionment announcement estimates, the Yellowhammer State was at significant risk of losing a congressional seat, but Alabama will retain its 7-member delegation. No partisan changes are expected, just a competitive Republican primary to replace 5th District Rep. Mo Brooks, who is running for…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (Kansas - New York)

May 7, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. The state legislature draws Kansas’ congressional map, which is subject to gubernatorial veto. Republicans hold veto-proof majorities in both chambers, though in the state Senate the party can only afford two defections and is not always able to override Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly’s vetoes on…

2022 House Overview: State-by-State Redistricting (North Carolina - Wyoming)

May 7, 2021 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). The Tar Heel State gained a seat and Republicans control the process in one of the four most important states for redistricting. Democrats believe the new seat should include the Research Triangle- at the nexus of North Carolina State Univ., Duke…

Report Shorts (May 7, 2021)

May 7, 2021 · 2:26 PM EDT

California Governor Recall
The race to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom is (nearly) official, after organizers turned in significantly more validated signatures than necessary to put the Democrat on the ballot this fall. While there are still some procedural hoops left to jump through, the recall — just the second…