House News & Analysis

The Battle for the House, As Told Through Super PAC Ad Reservations

by Jacob Rubashkin April 17, 2020 · 10:34 AM EDT

Even though it’s not yet summer, there are windows…

Questioning My Boldest Projection for 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 13, 2020 · 8:13 AM EDT

Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.

I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…

Likely New Members of the 117th Congress (April 10, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin April 10, 2020 · 10:30 AM EDT

Predicting election outcomes can be a…

Will There be More Republican Women in the House Next Year?

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 9, 2020 · 4:17 PM EDT

With just 13 women on Capitol Hill, House Republicans don’t have any room for error if they want to boost their numbers. After this year’s initial batch of primaries, however, and looking ahead at primaries to come, Republicans are at risk of simply breaking even when it comes to their…

Be Careful When Explaining House Retirements

by Bradley Wascher April 7, 2020 · 11:05 AM EDT

When now-former Rep. Mark Meadows officially resigned from Congress earlier recently, there wasn’t much shock among the Republican Party. After all, Meadows, known for leading the conservative House Freedom Caucus, had initially stated his intentions to not seek re-election, as he foresaw an increased role in the Trump Administration. 

That…

Candidate Conversation - Jason Atkinson (R)

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2020 · 2:25 PM EDT

Oregon’s 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Jan. 31, 2020

Date of Birth: Nov. 6, 1970; Sacramento, Calif.

Education: Southern Oregon Univ. (1992); Willamette Univ. (MBA, MPA 1996)

Elected Office: State Senate (former); State House (former); Gubernatorial candidate (2006)

Current Outlook: Atkinson is a credible contender for the…

California House Races Shift to General Election

by Jacob Rubashkin March 20, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

In 2018, the path to the Democratic House majority ran through California, where Democrats flipped seven long-time GOP districts. If Republicans want any chance of taking back control of the House, they’ll have to win at least some of them back in November.

In 2020, California will play host to…

Candidate Conversation - Lisa Song Sutton (R)

by Jacob Rubashkin March 20, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Democratic

Interview Date: March 2, 2020

Date of Birth: March 11, 1985; Seoul, South Korea

Education: Univ. of Arizona (2006); Univ. of Miami (J.D. 2009)

Elected Office: None

Current Outlook: Song Sutton is headed toward a competitive June 9 primary against former state Assemblyman…

Coronavirus and the Elections: 7 Key Questions

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 17, 2020 · 8:45 AM EDT

Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…

House Primary Results: Alabama, North Carolina, Texas

March 6, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Alabama
1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate.
Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl and former state Sen. Bill Hightower advanced to a March 31 runoff of the GOP nomination. One of them will be a member of Congress next year. Current rating:…