House News & Analysis

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30, 2019): Kansas - New York

August 30, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. 

1st District (Western Kansas) Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%. Trump 69%. The congressman is angling for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, and could create an open House seat. The most important race would be the primary. Businessman and farmer Gary Harshberger of Dodge City is a potentially strong…

2020 House Overview (Aug. 30 2019): North Carolina - Wyoming

August 30, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. 

2nd District (Raleigh exurbs) George Holding, R, re-elected 51%. Trump 53%. Some Democrats are hoping Iraq/Afghanistan war veteran Scott Cooper ($178,000 on hand on June 30) puts them over the top in the Raleigh suburbs. But Monika Johnson-Hostler just entered the Democratic race as well. Holding ($408,000) better…

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Seat Remains Solid Republican for Now

by Leah Askarinam August 26, 2019 · 12:11 PM EDT

GOP Rep. Sean Duffy of Wisconsin will resign in September, he announced Monday. His decision will likely prompt a special election, but Republicans are the early favorites to hold the seat.

“Recently, we’ve learned that our baby, due in late October, will need even more love, time, and attention due…

North Carolina 9: Back to the Future

by Leah Askarinam August 16, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

It might be August of the off-year, and presidential candidates are getting virtually all of the attention, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to ignore House elections.

North Carolina’s 9th District is holding a unique “redo” election Sept. 10, after the state Board of Elections found irregularities in Republican Mark…

House Open Seat Overview

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 16, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

After a flurry of House retirement announcements over the last few weeks, it’s tough to keep them all straight. So here’s a brief rundown of the current slate of open seats including our current race rating. 

Don’t forget, we’re still well below the average number of retirements for a cycle.…

Rating Update: Marchant Seat Already Considered Competitive

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2019 · 12:04 PM EDT

Another day, another Republican retirement. 

It might seem like there’s a flood of Members announcing they will not seek re-election, but we’re still not close to historical levels. And the location of the open seats matters more than the timing.

It's remarkable that Rep. Kenny Marchant is the fourth Texas…

Rating Change: Hurd Retirement Moves Texas District to Democratic Category

by Leah Askarinam August 2, 2019 · 1:17 AM EDT

Will Hurd of Texas has been considered one of Republicans’ strongest incumbents. He proved that point in 2018, when he was one of just three Republicans to win re-election in a district that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016.

But Hurd, who founded a cybersecurity firm before running for Congress, announced…

How Much Do Recent Retirements Change House Battleground?

July 25, 2019 · 9:57 PM EDT

Republicans Reps. Pete Olson of Texas and Paul Mitchell of Michigan recently announced they will not seek re-election, but how much does their decision impact the fight for the House majority? Open seats are usually more vulnerable than districts where an incumbent is seeking another term, but these two retirements…

Trump Admits He was a Liability in 2018

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 24, 2019 · 8:55 AM EDT

President Donald Trump still won’t publicly admit he was a significant factor in Republicans’ loss of the House in 2018. But a behind-the-scenes moment captured in a new book suggests he is more politically self-aware than he leads on.

We know that Trump doesn’t admit mistakes or commit sins. It’s…

Candidate Conversation - Ritchie Torres (D)

by Leah Askarinam July 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Ritchie Torres (D)

New York’s 15th District — Rating: Solid Democratic 

Interview Date: June 25, 2019

Date of Birth: March 12, 1988; New York, N.Y.

Education: NYU (attended 2006-2007)

Elected Office: New York City Council (elected 2013, re-elected 2017)

Current Outlook: Democratic Rep. José E. Serrano will not seek re-election…