House News & Analysis

Why You Should Focus on Independents

by Stuart Rothenberg June 1, 2018 · 8:53 AM EDT

I don’t trust anyone who tells me they already know the makeup of the midterm electorate. We can’t possibly know who will vote in the fall, let alone how they will cast their ballots.

If I were going to focus on a handful of variables to understand how the cycle…

3 Ways Nancy Pelosi Won’t Be Speaker Next Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 25, 2018 · 9:21 AM EDT

Nancy Pelosi is a drug that Republicans just can’t quit, and the GOP hopes that the threat of her becoming speaker of the House again will awaken any potentially apathetic base voters. While that might work for Republicans for yet another cycle, it might be the last cycle with their…

Texas Runoffs: Likely New Members Chosen in Four Districts

May 23, 2018 · 1:16 AM EDT

Governor. Greg Abbott (R) elected 2014 (59%). Former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez won the Democratic runoff over Andrew White, son of former Democratic Gov. Mark White (1983-1987). Valdez will face the governor, who won renomination easily with 90 percent in the March 6 primary. If Democrats are going to…

Georgia Primaries: Democrats Choose Abrams while GOPers Move to Runoff

May 23, 2018 · 1:05 AM EDT

Governor. Open; Nathan Deal (R) term-limited. Democrats believed that demographics were shifting Georgia into their column right up until Donald Trump won it 51-46 percent in 2016. Now Democrats are hoping a midterm backlash against the president will give them their first gubernatorial victory in 20 years. House Minority Leader…

Arkansas Primaries: Tucker vs. Hill in Competitive 2nd District

May 22, 2018 · 11:03 PM EDT

Governor. Asa Hutchinson (R), elected 2014 (55%). The governor defeated FOX News contributor/indoor shooting range owner Jan Morgan in the Republican primary. Hutchinson will face former NASA scientist and nonprofit executive Jared Henderson in the general election in a state President Donald Trump won by 27 points in 2016. Rating:…

Kentucky Primaries: McGrath vs. Barr in Competitive 6th District Race

May 22, 2018 · 9:42 PM EDT

6th District (Andy Barr, R, re-elected 61%). Trump 55%. Retired Marine Lt. Col. Amy McGrath, who went viral among Democrats nationwide with her introductory video last year and raised more than $2 million through May 2, won the Democratic primary over Lexington Mayor Jim Gray. Gray defeated GOP Sen.…

DCCC Makes Initial TV Reservations for Fall Fight

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 22, 2018 · 12:05 PM EDT

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has reserved more than $12.6 million in broadcast television ad time for the last month of the fall campaigns, according to a source familiar with the committee’s independent expenditure buy.

More ad reservations are certainly to come, considering the DCCC spent more than $66 million…

After Nebraska, Democrats’ Health Care Battles Extend to Texas Runoffs

by Leah Askarinam May 22, 2018 · 9:27 AM EDT

Last week’s primary results gave progressives a shot of hope in regaining some momentum in the Democratic civil war. In Nebraska’s 2nd District, an advocate for Medicare for All defeated a former congressman running as a moderate in a district that President Donald Trump narrowly carried in 2016. But a…

Famous Names on the Ballot? Sure, We Got ’Em

by Stuart Rothenberg May 21, 2018 · 9:15 AM EDT

Every election cycle, at least a few “semi-celebrities” (or those with connections to semi-celebrities) run for office. This cycle is no exception.

Actress Cynthia Nixon of “Sex in the City” fame is running for the Democratic nomination for governor of New York, while Greg Pence, the vice president’s brother, won…

2018 House Overview: The Expanding Playing Field

by Nathan L. Gonzales May 16, 2018 · 9:00 AM EDT

With six months to go before Election Day and their national generic ballot lead slipping to 5 points in the Real Clear Politics average, Democrats are still likely to have a good night in the House. It’s less clear whether Democrats will have a great night or an historic one.