House News & Analysis

New York 27: Less Vulnerable With Collins Departure

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 30, 2019 · 4:03 PM EDT

Not all House departures are created equal. Rep. Chris Collins’ resignation should make it easier for Republicans to hold his Buffalo-area seat, because the GOP should have a nominee without legal problems. But New York’s multiple ballot lines could complicate a special election, as it has in the past. 

Minnesota 7: Republicans Gopher It Again

by Leah Askarinam September 27, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

Another cycle, another GOP run at Minnesota’s 7th District. But this time, it could be different.

No other Democrat is defending a seat in which Donald Trump received more support than Collin Peterson. And it’s not even close. Next in line is Rep. Anthony Brindisi in New York’s 22nd District,…

Candidate Conversation - Carl DeMaio (R)

September 27, 2019 · 2:27 PM EDT

Carl DeMaio (R)

California’s 50th District — Rating: Lean Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 11, 2019

Date of Birth: Sept. 14, 1974; Dubuque, Ia.

Education: Georgetown Univ. (1996)

Elected Office: San Diego city council (former); 52nd District nominee (2014)

Current Outlook: DeMaio is a credible contender in a complicated race. GOP…

Candidate Conversation - Don Sedgwick (R)

September 27, 2019 · 2:26 PM EDT

Don Sedgwick (R)

California's 45th District — Rating: Likely Democratic

Interview Date: Sept. 25, 2019

Date of Birth: Dec. 31, 1964; Encino, Calif.

Education: BYU (1989)

Elected Office: Laguna Hills City Council; Saddleback Valley Unified School District board member (1997-2014)

Current Outlook: Sedgwick looks like the early Republican frontrunner to…

Luke Skywalker and the Politics of Impeachment

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 26, 2019 · 8:44 AM EDT

As House Democrats move closer to impeaching President Donald Trump, I’m amazed by the collective certainty about how the storyline will play out. It’s assumed that history will repeat itself. But I can’t help but think of Luke Skywalker’s words of caution.

Up to this point, everyone is assuming that…

Nebraska’s 2nd District: High Stakes in Omaha

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Omaha, Nebraska is not only the center of the country, but could also be the epicenter of the 2020 elections next year. Nebraska’s 2nd District is a microcosm of the growing urban and rural divide, House Republicans need to hold the seat to take back the majority, and it might…

Oklahoma’s 5th District: Sooners Aren’t Sleeping

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

The problem with asking political handicappers, analysts, and operatives what the cycle’s sleeper races are is that, if there were an answer, those races, by definition, wouldn’t be “sleepers.”  

On election night 2018, Oklahoma’s 5th District was the only race that flipped that wasn’t on Inside Elections’ list of competitive…

9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 10, 2019 · 11:44 PM EDT

Nearly a year after the two parties fought to a draw in North Carolina’s 9th District, Republican Dan Bishop and Democrat Dan McCready ended with another close race. Bishop prevailed 51 percent to 49 percent, with absentee ballots remaining to be counted. 

A win is better than a loss…

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s not a question of if more House Members will retire; it’s a question of when and where.

On Wednesday, Bill Flores became the fifth Texas Republican to announce he will not seek re-election or another office in 2020. Of the 13 total members retiring in 2020, 11 are…

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

by Steve Passwaiter September 3, 2019 · 11:30 AM EDT

There’s one week to go before the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District on Sept. 10., and all indications show that Republicans and Democrats know that this is a close race. Polling remains very tight and within the margin of error.  

These off-year special elections always receive oversized coverage…