House News & Analysis

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): Kansas - New York

November 19, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if Republicans will…

2022 House Overview (November 19, 2021): North Carolina - Wyoming

November 19, 2021 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the redistricting process. North Carolina Republicans…

Report Shorts (November 19, 2021)

by Jacob Rubashkin November 19, 2021 · 2:26 PM EST

Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount that confirmed Cherfilus-McCormick won five…

Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

by Bradley Wascher November 15, 2021 · 1:09 PM EST

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan…

Iowa Redistricting: Republicans Looking for the Sweep

by Jacob Rubashkin November 11, 2021 · 10:15 AM EST

Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority. 


Candidate Conversation: Tom Toomey (R)

October 22, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting

Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)

Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)

Education: Iona College (2015)

Elected Office: None. First run for office.

Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping to take on two-term…

Ad Watch: Building Back Together Stays the Course

by Christopher Sebastian October 15, 2021 · 1:15 PM EDT

Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG.

Early last week, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer set a new October 31st deadline for the passage of the remainder of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better plan, composed of the administration’s proposed infrastructure policies not found in the earlier “American Rescue…

Maine Redistricting: Same As It Ever Was

by Jacob Rubashkin October 11, 2021 · 11:25 AM EDT

On Sept. 29, Maine became the second state to finalize its congressional districts for the next decade, capping a six-week process more notable for what it wasn’t: contentious, protracted, or extensive.

With just two districts to draw, minimal population shifts, and a redistricting scheme that encouraged compromise, the whole ordeal…

Colorado Redistricting: New District, Fortunate Incumbents

by Bradley Wascher October 4, 2021 · 9:19 AM EDT

In the late hours of Sept. 28, Colorado’s independent redistricting commission approved a new congressional map. The Centennial State was allocated an additional representative in Congress during this year’s decennial reapportionment, and (pending final approval from the state Supreme Court) we now know what the new 8th District…

Maine 2: Survivor Series

by Jacob Rubashkin September 23, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Three years later, Republicans still aren’t convinced Rep. Bruce Poliquin lost re-election in 2018. But the former GOP congressman from Maine is running again and is a key piece of the GOP path to retake the House.

Republicans need a net gain of just five seats to win back the…