House News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 32: North Carolina Poll, VP Debate, Election Models w/ Nathaniel Rakich of 538

October 3, 2024 · 3:13 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in North Carolina’s 1st District and analyze the vice presidential debate between Sen. J.D. Vance and Gov. Tim Walz before discussing election polls, models, and election forecasting with Nathaniel Rakich of FiveThirtyEight.

Listen to the…

House Report Shorts (September 26, 2024)

September 26, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%.
Republican Nick Begich struggled to fundraise for much of the primary, and now outside groups are coming in to bolster him with positive advertising ahead of the general election. The NRCC is also airing negative ads against Peltola, while…

Podcast Episode 31: Montana Poll, Rating Changes, Connecticut’s 5th w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

September 19, 2024 · 1:18 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Montana’s 1st District, talk about the latest rating changes, and analyze a critical House race in Connecticut with Daniela Altimari of CQ Roll Call.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket…

House Report Shorts (Sept. 12, 2024)

September 12, 2024 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large District. Mary Peltola, D, re-elected 55%. Trump 53%.
Republicans got the one-on-one matchup against Peltola (rather than a messy three-way fight) but not with the candidate preferred by national strategists or Trump. There’s still uncertainty about what two minor candidates will fill out the ballot. Two Republicans…

Podcast Episode 30: Oregon Poll, Rating Changes, Meeting the Press with Chuck Todd

September 4, 2024 · 12:10 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin unveil the latest Inside Elections/Noble Predictive Insights poll in Oregon’s 5th District and the latest rating changes, and chat with former Meet the Press moderator Chuck Todd of NBC News about interviewing candidates and covering elections. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Oregon 5 Poll: Chavez-DeRemer in the Hot Seat

by Jacob Rubashkin September 4, 2024 · 9:30 AM EDT

GOP Rep. Laurie Chavez-DeRemer enters the fall trailing a familiar Democratic opponent narrowly, according to new polling of Oregon’s 5th District from Noble Predictive Insights for Inside Elections.

When Chavez-DeRemer flipped the Democratic-held seat in 2022, she did so as the favorite, taking advantage of a fractured Democratic Party and…

Podcast Episode 29: Democratic National Convention from Chicago

August 22, 2024 · 4:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin discuss and analyze the first three days of the Democratic National Convention on location in Chicago, including the biggest themes, speeches and highlights, and the impact Vice President Kamala Harris is having on the presidential races and the fight for the House and Senate. 

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Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 7, 2024 · 12:54 PM EDT

I don’t remember much from our candidate interview with Tim Walz, but I’m going to guess I wasn’t impressed. In my defense, it was nearly 19 years ago, when Walz ran in southern Minnesota’s 1st District. 

Even though I’d look much smarter now if I said back then that he…

Podcast Episode 28: Biden Drops Out, Harris VP Pick, Ohio 9 Poll w/ Leah Askarinam

August 1, 2024 · 10:55 AM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Leah Askarinam of the Associated Press analyze the impact of President Joe Biden’s departure from the race and Vice President Kamala Harris’ ascension to the top of the Democratic ticket, talk about the various potential vice presidential picks for Harris, and release the latest exclusive…

Presidential: Biden’s Exit Steers Election Into Uncharted Waters

July 21, 2024 · 4:47 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Unthinkable even a month ago, President Joe Biden’s decision to decline the Democratic nomination upends the 2024 election 106 days before Election Day.

Biden’s exit comes after an agonizing three weeks following his dismal debate performance against former President Donald Trump, and at…