House News & Analysis

Please Don’t Call It a Push Poll: Transgender Edition

Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2017 · 4:23 PM EST

Danica Roem and Bob Marshall are facing off in an unusually high-profile race for the Virginia House of Delegates — Roem, a transgender Democrat, is challenging Marshall, a conservative Republican. The race reached a new level in the final weeks when allegations of a so-called push poll came to light.

Rating Change: LoBiondo Retirement Makes GOP Seat More Vulnerable

November 7, 2017 · 3:26 PM EST

GOP Rep. Frank LoBiondo’s retirement gives Democrats a better opportunity to win New Jersey’s 2nd District. 

Democrats have had their eye on the South Jersey seat for years, particularly after President Barack Obama won the seat by 8 points in 2012. But the party has struggled to find a…

Why You Should Focus on Independents from Now to the Midterms

Stuart Rothenberg November 1, 2017 · 9:03 AM EDT

In my last column, I wrote about Donald Trump’s job approval ratings among Republicans, Democrats and Independents, noting that his standing among all groups is important. But my primary focus for 2018 should be on Independents, who are likely to be the canary in the coal mine for the…

2017-18 Gubernatorial Overview (Oct. 27, 2017) Iowa - New Mexico

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October 27, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

IOWA — Kim Reynolds (R) ascended to office May 2017. March 16 filing deadline. June 5 primary. Reynolds was the lieutenant governor when then-Gov. Terry Branstad became President Trump’s ambassador to China, launching the former state senator to the state’s top post. A former Clarke County treasurer, Reynolds is now…

Candidate Conversation - Jason Crow (D)

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October 27, 2017 · 2:25 PM EDT

Candidate for Colorado’s 6th District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: March 15, 1979; Madison, Wis.

Education: Univ. of Wisconsin (2002), Univ. of Denver Law School (2009)

Political Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Rep. Mike Coffman is one of the 23 Republicans representing districts that…

Candidate Conversation - Abigail Spanberger (D)

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October 27, 2017 · 2:24 PM EDT

Candidate for Virginia’s 7th District

Interview Date: Oct. 12, 2017

Date of Birth: Aug. 7, 1979; Red Bank, N.J.

Education: Univ. of Virginia (2001), German International School of Management and Administration/Purdue Univ. (MBA 2002)

Political Office: None; first run for office

Current Outlook: Spanberger is one of the handful of…

Candidate Conversation - Anthony Brindisi (D)

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October 27, 2017 · 2:23 PM EDT

Candidate for New York’s 22nd District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: Nov. 22, 1978; New Hartford, N.Y.

Education: Siena College (2000), Albany Law School (2004)

Political Office: State Assembly; Utica School Board (former) 

Current Outlook: Brindisi is the likely Democratic nominee against freshman GOP Rep. Claudia Tenney,…

Candidate Conversation - Christina Hartman (D)

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October 27, 2017 · 2:22 PM EDT

Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2017

Date of Birth: Aug. 12, 1977; Newburyport, Mass. 

Education: George Washington Univ. (1999); Fordham (Masters 2004)

Political Office: None; 2016 16th District nominee

Current Outlook: Hartman is the Democratic frontrunner for the right to challenge freshman GOP Rep. Lloyd Smucker in this southeast Pennsylvania district.…

Candidate Conversation - Jay Hulings (D)

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October 27, 2017 · 2:21 PM EDT

Candidate for Texas’s 23rd District

Interview Date: Oct. 11, 2017

Date of Birth: May 15, 1975; Rome, Italy

Education: Virginia Tech (1997), Harvard Law School (2000)

Political Office: None, first run for office

Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Will Hurd ousted Democratic incumbent Pete Gallego in 2014 and narrowly won a…

Comparing Trump’s Job Ratings to Obama’s

Stuart Rothenberg October 26, 2017 · 2:04 PM EDT

Nine months into their respective terms, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is substantially worse than Barack Obama’s was among both partisan groups and Independents, according to Gallup polls.

Trump’s average job approval numbers for the week of October 9 stood at 79 percent among Republicans, 8 percent among…