House News & Analysis

2022 House Overview (May 20, 2022): Republicans Poised for Majority

May 20, 2022 · 2:45 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

With less than six months before Election Day, Republicans remain well-positioned to win the House majority.

Midterm elections are typically a performance review on the sitting president and President Joe Biden’s job rating is negative and static. According to the latest FiveThirtyEight average,…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): Alabama - Iowa

May 20, 2022 · 2:44 PM EDT

Alabama. Current breakdown: 6R, 1D. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). 
5th District (Open; Mo Brooks, R, running for Senate). Trump 63%. The fundraising leaders in the race to replace Brooks are Madison County Commissioner Dale Strong ($1.1 million raised through May 4) and former Assistant Secretary…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): Kansas - New York

May 20, 2022 · 2:43 PM EDT

Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. 
3rd District (Sharice Davids, D). Biden 51%. The Kansas Supreme Court reinstated the GOP-controlled legislature’s map after a lower court had rejected it as a partisan and racial gerrymander. That means Davids will go from running in…

2022 House Overivew (May 20, 2022): North Carolina - Wyoming

May 20, 2022 · 2:42 PM EDT

North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat).
1st District (Open; G.K. Butterfield, D, not seeking re-election). Biden 53%. Democrats caught a break when Republicans nominated a flawed candidate, Sandy Smith, to be their standard bearer for the second cycle in a row. Smith has been accused of…

Florida Redistricting: Tallying the Hassle in Tallahassee

by Bradley Wascher May 17, 2022 · 10:30 AM EDT

Control of the House majority could very well hinge on somewhere like Florida, given its status as one of the most populated and electorally consequential states. And it was one of the last states to finalize a new congressional map this redistricting cycle. But now that we know what its…

What Happened in West Virginia and Nebraska Primaries

by Jacob Rubashkin May 12, 2022 · 10:11 AM EDT

Tuesday saw voters in West Virginia and Nebraska head to the polls to pick nominees for this fall’s midterm elections. It was also the latest battery of tests of the strength of Donald Trump’s endorsement, and one that produced mixed results for the former president. But none of the results…

Texas 34 Special: (Rio) Grande Opportunity

by Jacob Rubashkin May 6, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

With all the focus on the November midterm elections, Republicans are hoping their march to the majority starts a few months earlier, in Texas. 

In 2020, Republicans were surprised and energized by significant gains among Latino voters across the country. Nowhere was that more obvious than in South Texas, where…

Ohio Redistricting Redux: Maps, For Now

by Jacob Rubashkin April 22, 2022 · 12:35 PM EDT

Ohio’s redistricting process for the 2022 midterms appears to have ended as it began: messily.

After a tumultuous process that saw the state legislature and a backup commission fail to (or even make a good-faith attempt to) pass bipartisan maps as required by a new state law passed by voters…

Connecticut Redistricting: Testing the Edges of the Battlefield

by Jacob Rubashkin April 20, 2022 · 3:12 PM EDT

In a sea of uncertainty, some things are easy to project, such as the redistricting process in Connecticut. 

For the third time in as many redistricting cycles, Connecticut’s Supreme Court had to step in to draw new congressional maps after both the state legislature and a backup commission failed to…

Alaska At-Large Special: Frontier Fiasco

by Jacob Rubashkin April 14, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

The death of Republican Don Young, Alaska’s sole congressman and the longest-serving member of the House of Representatives, has set off what is already proving to be the most crowded, unpredictable special election in recent memory.

Young first came to Congress 49 years ago, in a 1973 special election after…