House News & Analysis

Midterm Elections Could Set Another Turnout Record This Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2022 · 12:06 PM EDT

In a rare moment of unity, Republicans and Democrats are poised to come together to set yet another turnout record in the 2022 elections.

Remember that the country set a modern record for turnout in a midterm election in 2018 with 50.1 percent and a modern record for turnout in…

House Updates (October 7, 2022)

October 7, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large (Mary Peltola, D).
Trump 53%. The circumstances of this race haven’t changed much since the special election in August, and that’s good news for Peltola. Republicans Nick Begich III and Sarah Palin continue to attack each other, meaning nobody is attacking Peltola, who is popular across the…

New Mexico 2: New Democratic Poll Shows Tight Race

by Erin Covey October 4, 2022 · 2:00 PM EDT

After flipping New Mexico’s 2nd District in 2020, GOP Rep. Yvette Herrell is locked in a competitive race with Gabe Vasquez, a former Las Cruces city councilmember. The massive district, which stretches across the southern half of the state, is more favorable to Democrats after redistricting, making Herrell one of…

2022 Election Preview (September 23, 2022): Don’t Count Republicans Out Yet

September 23, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin

This isn’t the midterm election Republicans envisioned, but the GOP can still reach their final goals.

Democrats have seen improvement in President Joe Biden’s job rating and the national generic ballot in the wake of the Dobbs decision, and they’ve…

House Updates (September 23, 2022)

September 23, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large (Mary Peltola, D). Trump 53%. New data from the Alaska Division of Elections confirms what polling suggested: if Sarah Palin, and not Nick Begich, had been eliminated in last month’s ranked choice special election, then Begich would have handily defeated Peltola in the instant runoff. But Begich…

Primary Results: New Hampshire, Rhode Island Choose Nominees in Key Races

by Erin Covey September 14, 2022 · 11:08 AM EDT

Three of the smallest states in the country were home to several key primaries on Tuesday night, finally bringing the 2022 primary season to a close.

New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Delaware provided nominees in one competitive Senate race, three competitive House races, and a race for governor, allowing both…

2022 Election Preview (September 9, 2022): Waiting on the World to Change

September 9, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin, and Erin Covey

Labor Day is the unofficial kickoff to campaign season, yet it feels like the 2022 elections are already in a holding pattern. 

For much of the cycle, this felt like a typical midterm election. President Joe Biden’s mediocre job rating looked…

House Updates (September 9, 2022)

September 9, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Alaska.
At-Large (Mary Peltola, D).
Trump 53%. Peltola pulled off an upset in the special election to replace the late Rep. Don Young. In a three-way race, Peltola defeated former Gov. Sarah Palin and entrepreneur Nick Begich III, both Republicans. The election was conducted using ranked choice/instant runoff voting,…

Alaska At-Large: Making History

by Jacob Rubashkin September 1, 2022 · 8:55 AM EDT

Democrat Mary Peltola, a former state legislator, defeated two Republican opponents including former Gov. Sarah Palin, to win a special election to replace the late, longtime Rep. Don Young in Alaska.

It was the first time a Democrat won Alaska’s sole House seat since 1972, when Nick Begich, Sr. defeated…

Illinois 17: Open Seat Opportunity

by Jacob Rubashkin August 4, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

In 2020, Rep. Cheri Bustos was on the ascendancy. Held up as a model for how Democrats could win back the working class white voters they lost to Donald Trump, Bustos received votes for Speaker of the House, and was picked to helm the House Democrats’ campaign arm as the…