House News & Analysis

2024 House Overview: New York, New Majority?

December 15, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Erin Covey

Start spreading the news: New York is about to be the epicenter of the fight for the House, with a special election competing with the Republican presidential race for center stage early next year.

The Long Island-based 3rd District is vacant…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Alabama - Iowa

by Jacob Rubashkin December 15, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Primary March 5. Runoff April 2.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Jerry Carl, R, re-elected 84%. Trump 75%.
Court-ordered redistricting has given Alabama two congressional districts where Black voters will have the opportunity to elect a representative of their choice in 2024. Rather than run in the now Democratic-leaning…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Kansas - New York

December 15, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Filing deadline June 3. Primary Aug. 6.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 55%. Biden 51%. Oncologist Prasanth Reddy got another stamp of establishment approval when Speaker Mike Johnson included the former LabCorp executive and Air Force Reserve officer in his joint fundraising committee. He’ll…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): North Carolina - Wisconsin

December 15, 2023 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Primary March 5. Runoff May 14.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, elected 52%. Biden 50.4%. North Carolina’s Republican-controlled legislature has transformed the state’s congressional map, allowing Republicans to easily flip three Democratic-held seats and leaving just one competitive seat: the 1st. The new…

How to Measure the Partisanship of Every House Seat

by Bradley Wascher December 8, 2023 · 11:30 AM EST

What are the most evenly-divided House districts in the country? It’s not as easy as just looking at the past presidential results, considering down ballot races can have their own unique circumstances. That’s why Inside Elections created a metric to measure partisanship in each district.

Inside Elections’ Baseline captures a…

New York 3: Santos Expulsion Triggers Special Election

by Jacob Rubashkin December 7, 2023 · 6:00 PM EST

Embattled New York Republican George Santos was expelled from the House of Representatives last Friday in a 311-114 vote. The congressman’s ousting came just less than a year after reports first broke of Santos’ serial fabrications about his background; he is also facing federal campaign finance charges and was the…

Podcast Episode 11: Santos Special Election, Nepo Babies Running in the House, GOP Presidential

December 7, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the upcoming special election in New York’s 3rd District after George Santos was expelled, talk about a the crop of Nepo Baby candidates running for the House with family connections, and look ahead to the GOP presidential primary with the Iowa caucuses…

Colorado 8: Toss-up Tussle

by Jacob Rubashkin December 1, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

On a good night for Democrats across the country last November, Colorado stood out as a particularly bright spot. Nowhere was that more clear than in Colorado’s 8th District, a newly created seat outside Denver that both Republicans and Democrats anticipated would go Republican in the midterm elections.

In a…

Washington 6: Democrats Face a Fork in the Road

by Erin Covey December 1, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

After serving in Congress for the past decade, Democratic Rep. Derek Kilmer is headed for the exits. The 49-year-old congressman spent much of his congressional career focused on attempting to make the institution more functional, and was a leader of the New Democrat Coalition, a caucus of more moderate House…

California 31: San Gabriel Showdown

by Jacob Rubashkin December 1, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

At 86 years old, Grace Napolitano must have outlived some potential successors. But now the oldest member of the House of Representatives has decided to retire.

The San Gabriel Valley Democrat has served 13 terms in Congress, and has often sat at the top of retirement watch lists, especially after…