House News & Analysis

Candidate Conversation - Jason Church (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

Wisconsin’s 7th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Nov. 15, 2019

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1989; Fort Knox, Ky.

Education: Univ. of Wisconsin La Crosse (2011), Georgetown Univ. (Masters, 2015), Univ. of Wisconsin law school (2018)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Church is facing…

Candidate Conversation - Bob Elliott (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:24 PM EST

California’s 10th District — Rating: Likely Democratic

Interview Date: Nov. 14, 2019

Date of Birth: May 8, 1949; Russell, Kansas

Education: U.S. Military Academy West Point; Naval Postgraduate School (Masters, 1985); 

Elected Office: San Joaquin Board of Supervisors; Tracy City Council (former)

Current Outlook: Elliott is battling fellow Republican/former Turlock…

Candidate Conversation - Kendall Qualls (R)

January 24, 2020 · 2:23 PM EST

Minnesota’s 3rd District — Rating: Solid Democratic

Interview Date: Dec. 11, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 16, 1963; New York City, N.Y.

Education: Cameron Univ. (1985); Univ. of Oklahoma (Masters, 1988); Univ. of Michigan (MBA, 2011); 

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Qualls is the likely GOP…

California 50: GOP Benefits from Hunter’s Absence

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 16, 2020 · 2:15 PM EST

California Republican Duncan Hunter finally left the House and took any Democratic chances of winning the 50th District with him.

Hunter won reelection in 2018 by 3 points in a Southern California seat that Republicans shouldn’t have to worry about defending, considering President Donald Trump carried it by 15 points…

Important Redistricting Process Begins with Reapportionment

by Ryan Matsumoto January 10, 2020 · 2:29 PM EST

In December, the Census Bureau released new 2019 population estimates that give us clues about which states will gain or lose congressional seats and how the Electoral College will be impacted for the next decade.

History & Process
The Reapportionment Act of 1929 outlined the process by which…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not…

South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In the wake of a historic House vote, there’s no hotter topic than impeachment and no better place to look for fallout than South Carolina’s 1st District. 

Rep. Joe Cunningham is one 30 Democrats who represent districts that Donald Trump carried in the 2016 presidential election. And among that group,…

Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 17, 2019 · 3:59 PM EST

After weeks of public hearings and the eve of a vote, I’m ready to take a stand on impeachment. Well, not quite. Actually, there are more than a few pieces of the impeachment coverage, arguments, and narrative that are driving me crazy. And writing a few hundred words seems like…

New Jersey 2: Van Drew Decision Changes GOP Prospects

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2019 · 12:15 PM EST

As if impeachment wasn’t providing enough news, New Jersey Rep. Jeff Van Drew decided to switch parties. Even though it’s not quite official, more than half of his staff resigning should be a significant clue. His decision changes the partisan makeup in the House by a seat without fundamentally…

North Carolina: New Congressional Map Boosts Democrats’ Chances

by Ryan Matsumoto December 6, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

On Monday, a panel of state judges in North Carolina ruled that a new congressional district map drawn by Republican state legislators will be used in the 2020 election. While Democrats argued that the map is still a partisan gerrymander that gives Republicans a likely 8-5 advantage, the judges unanimously…