President News & Analysis

White House Cash Likely to Diminish

by Stuart Rothenberg August 16, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

While many Americans are wrapping up their summer vacations and getting their kids ready for the upcoming school year, the 2008 presidential candidates already are thinking about third-quarter fundraising figures.

The uncertainty surrounding the date of the Iowa caucuses increases the importance of those numbers, which constitute one…

It’s Time for Them to Go

August 13, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Each party has now had at least a handful of debates consisting all of the “credible” candidates, which means that the sponsors have been “fair” and given exposure to everyone. Now it’s time to be fair to voters, which means shrinking the number of participants in the next flurry of…

It’s Time for Them to Go

August 13, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

Each party has now had at least a handful of debates consisting all of the "credible" candidates, which means that the sponsors have been "fair" and given exposure to everyone. Now it's time to be fair to voters, which means shrinking the number of participants in…

Do Endorsements Matter in Today’s Presidential Races?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 19, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

“Score another big name endorsement for Sen. Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign,” crowed CNN.com on July 5, the day the Clinton campaign announced that former House Democratic Leader Richard Gephardt (Mo.) would serve as an economic adviser and co-chairman of the presidential hopeful’s campaign.

That was the same day…

There’s Still Plenty of Uncertainty After McCain’s Shake-up

by Stuart Rothenberg July 16, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

First there were four, and now there are three — three top-tier GOP presidential candidates, at least if you count a guy who still isn’t officially a candidate. Sen. John McCain now has the second tier all to himself.

The shake-up at the McCain presidential campaign isn’t as…

Historical Perspective on Second-Quarter Fundraising Numbers

by Stuart Rothenberg July 12, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

I can’t understand why so many political observers, including those who do observing for a living, seem to ignore history, even recent history, as they offer quick analysis and assessments of presidential candidate fundraising numbers.

One political blogger recently cited Sen. Barack Obama’s (D-Ill.) impressive second-quarter fundraising numbers…

8 for ‘08: Battleground States to Watch

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 3, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales

Only six months into the election cycle, the universe of 2008 battleground states is already beginning to take shape. But an accurate list of the battlegrounds includes more than just the presidential race and takes into account states where hot House, Senate…

8 for ’08: Battleground States to Watch

by Stuart Rothenberg July 3, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Only six months into the election cycle, the universe of 2008 battleground states is already beginning to take shape. But an accurate list of the battlegrounds includes more than just the presidential race and takes into account states where hot House, Senate and even gubernatorial races also will be…

Will Voters Respond to a Message of Unity or of Division?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 2, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

For months, many commentators have argued that voters are sick and tired of partisanship and division. The years of Clinton-bashing by conservatives and Bush-bashing by liberals have taken a toll on the less polarized American public, and Americans are looking for a true uniter. At least that’s what many…

McCain’s ’08 Dilemma: Can He Recapture the Magic He Once Had?

by Stuart Rothenberg June 28, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here’s a bit of unsolicited advice for Sen. John McCain’s presidential campaign (which has plenty of smart people and doesn’t need my advice): Try to get back to McCain’s story.

It isn’t news that McCain’s campaign is staggering under the weight of weaker-than- expected fundraising and poll numbers,…