President News & Analysis

Supreme Court Fight Isn’t Guaranteed Game-Changer

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 20, 2020 · 7:05 AM EDT

While Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death will go down as yet another historic event in 2020, it’s unlikely to change the fundamental trajectory of the elections.

In the middle of huge breaking news stories, it can be hard to remember that the country is incredibly polarized and the…

The Senate Deserves Your Attention

September 18, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

While the race for the White House dominates the news, the fight for the Senate is closer.

The easiest thing to do after 2016 would be to declare every race with President Donald Trump on the ballot as a toss-up. But that would…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Texas

by Ryan Matsumoto September 18, 2020 · 2:26 PM EDT

In the recent documentary film Boys State, a thousand high schoolers from across Texas gather in Austin for a whirlwind week of mock elections for various state offices including governor. Although the political parties and platforms are fictional, the participants campaigning for office often take conservative stances on real-life issues…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 18, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher September 18, 2020 · 10:11 AM EDT

The race for the Oval Office remains steady — although a case could be made that there’s been slight tightening in favor of the president.

In an average of 24 polls conducted over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 6.9 points (49.1 percent to 42.2 percent).

Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

by Ryan Matsumoto September 4, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters.

This trend manifested in traditionally Republican Georgia, where Clinton made…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 4, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher September 4, 2020 · 10:16 AM EDT

The conventions are over and the polls are trickling in: as of right now, there doesn’t appear to be much of a bounce for either now-official nominee.

In an average of 34 polls released over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 8.1 points (49.8 percent to…

Trump Needs a Convention Bounce

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 1, 2020 · 10:25 AM EDT

Whether you believe in convention bounces or not, President Donald Trump and the Republicans need one to salvage the elections this fall.

On the current trajectory, former Vice President Joe Biden is likely to win the White House and Democrats are more likely than not to take control of the…

The Election in the Mirror Is Closer Than It Appears

August 21, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

This election cycle, and even just this year, has been filled with multiple historic events: the impeachment of a president, a global pandemic, near economic collapse, a national conversation about racism in America, and the first Black woman on a presidential ticket. Through…

Presidential Snapshot in Time (August 21, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher August 21, 2020 · 10:16 AM EDT

With a slew of potentially poll-moving campaign events on the horizon, now is a great time to freeze-frame…

Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2020 · 8:31 AM EDT

The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve…