DELAWARE. John Carney (D), elected 2016 (58%). John Carney first ran for governor in 2008, but lost the Democratic primary to Jack Markell. Delaware Attorney General Beau Biden, son of Vice President Joe Biden, was expected to win Markell’s open seat in 2016, but he died of cancer in 2015.…
I love elections, particularly congressional races, but I’m just not in a hurry to jump to 2020. And I’m completely fine with holding off on releasing our race ratings until next year.
If I didn’t like elections, I would probably need to take a long look at doing something else…
Democrats gained at least 40 House seats in races across the country, but the wave’s course veered from two key states: Ohio and North Carolina.
Looking at top-of-the-ballot results, it’s no surprise that Democrats failed to chip into Ohio’s House delegation. Democratic performance statewide indicated a fundamental problem for the…
Last month, Inside Elections revealed two of our new statistics: Baseline and Vote Above Replacement (VAR).
Baseline captures a state or congressional district’s political performance by combining all federal and state election results over the last four election cycles into a single average. VAR measures the relative strength of political…
Democrats went into the 2018 cycle with just 16 governors nationwide, and came out with 23. After next year’s elections, Democrats have a longshot opportunity to occupy half of the country’s governorships.
Results for the midterms are still being certified—and in at least one case, being challenged— but 2019 won’t…
With the 2018 elections coming to an end, it’s clear that voters set a modern record for turnout in a midterm. And there’s no reason to believe voters won’t set another record two years from now.
According to the United States Election Project, turnout this year was nearly 50 percent…
When I was a kid in small-town Oregon, my family would occasionally go to King’s Table, and my sister and I would get free rein at the buffet.
I became famous in my own family for my condiment salad — an impressive collection of bacon bits, croutons, shredded cheese, sunflower…
When Donald Trump was elected president of the United States there was a temptation to declare that none of the rules of politics mattered anymore. But the 2018 midterm elections proved that the fundamentals of running campaigns in this country are still intact.
In many ways, 2018 was a classic…
Alaska. Open; Bill Walker (I), not seeking re-election. Independent Gov. Bill Walker dropped his re-election bid, boosting the prospects of former Democratic Sen. Mark Begich. The two men were at risk of dividing Democratic and left-of-center voters, which would have allowed Republican Mike Dunleavy to win with less than 50…
Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.
From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary in frequency and…
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