Year Archive: 2015
- Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?
December 28, 2015 - Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat
December 23, 2015 - New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans
December 21, 2015 - 2016 House Ratings (December 21, 2015)
December 21, 2015 - Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)
December 21, 2015 - Colorado Senate: Republicans Waiting for Challenger To Emerge
December 18, 2015 Premium - Pennsylvania House: Democrats Searching for Key Contenders
December 18, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: New Hampshire
December 18, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (December 18, 2015)
December 18, 2015 - And the GOP Nominee Will Be…
December 18, 2015 - Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year
December 17, 2015 - GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates
December 15, 2015 - Republicans Need More Than More Hispanic Voters to Win White House
December 14, 2015 - An Independent Candidacy Would Make Trump the Biggest Loser
December 11, 2015 - What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?
December 10, 2015 - Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards
December 9, 2015 - 4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections
December 6, 2015 - Louisiana Senate: In the Wake of David Vitter
December 4, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Wisconsin
December 4, 2015 Premium - Illinois House: Filing Deadline Passes, Along with Two Democratic Takeover Opportunities
December 4, 2015 Premium - Florida House: New Lines Change Outlook in 5 Races
December 4, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (December 4, 2015) California Senate, Florida Senate, Maryland Senate
December 4, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (December 4, 2015)
December 4, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (December 4, 2015)
December 4, 2015 - Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?
December 4, 2015 - Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush
December 3, 2015 - Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers
November 30, 2015 - Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race
November 25, 2015 - Imperfect Candidates Get Elected
November 24, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (November 21, 2015)
November 21, 2015 - New Hampshire Senate: Clash of the Titans
November 20, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Virginia
November 20, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (November 20, 2015) Arizona 1, Arkansas, Kentucky Senate, New York 22
November 20, 2015 Premium - Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense
November 20, 2015 - Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’
November 18, 2015 - House Retirement Rush Still Short of Average
November 17, 2015 - Outsider Bevin Hires Insider Chief of Staff
November 14, 2015 - EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful
November 13, 2015 - Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx
November 12, 2015 - Is Vitter on the Verge of Losing Everything?
November 11, 2015 - Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race
November 8, 2015 - 2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear
November 6, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama - Kansas
November 6, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico
November 6, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York - Wyoming
November 6, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Ratings (November 6, 2015)
November 6, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (November 6, 2015)
November 6, 2015 - Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh
November 6, 2015 - What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?
November 4, 2015 - Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination
November 4, 2015 - Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War
October 30, 2015 - Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances
October 29, 2015 - Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush
October 28, 2015 - Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana
October 27, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 27, 2015)
October 27, 2015 - Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now
October 26, 2015 - What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?
October 21, 2015 - John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet
October 20, 2015 - Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t
October 18, 2015 - Democrats Divided in Fight for Maryland Senate Seat
October 16, 2015 Premium - Democrats Battle for Open House Seats in Maryland
October 16, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Colorado
October 16, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (October 16, 2015)
October 16, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 16, 2015)
October 16, 2015 - 2016 House Ratings (October 16, 2015)
October 16, 2015 - Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz
October 15, 2015 - Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich
October 9, 2015 - Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones
October 8, 2015 - Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems
October 7, 2015 - State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus
October 6, 2015 - Hassan’s Decision Changes Outlook in Two New Hampshire Races
October 5, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (October 5, 2015)
October 5, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 5, 2015)
October 5, 2015 - Boehner’s Exit Leaves House Republicans With Challenging Next Chapter
October 1, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Ohio
October 1, 2015 Premium - House Democrats Desperate to Make up Ground in New York
October 1, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)
October 1, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (October 1, 2015)
October 1, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (October 1, 2015)
October 1, 2015 - Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?
September 29, 2015 - Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas
September 24, 2015 - Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency
September 21, 2015 - Florida Senate: Too Big to Fail
September 18, 2015 Premium - Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida
September 18, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)
September 18, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (September 18, 2015)
September 18, 2015 - Post-CNN Debate Thoughts
September 18, 2015 - And the News Gets Worse for Clinton
September 17, 2015 - No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan
September 16, 2015 - More House Retirements Likely to Come
September 14, 2015 - A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race
September 10, 2015 - Wisconsin Senate: Badger State Battle, Part 2
September 4, 2015 Premium - Colorado 6: Can Carroll Cause Coffman to Stumble?
September 4, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (Minnesota 2, North Dakota Governor Senate, Washington 8 Governor
September 4, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (September 3, 2015)
September 3, 2015 - Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race
September 3, 2015 - Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?
September 2, 2015 - Parties Play Politics With FEC Complaints
August 28, 2015 - Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others
August 27, 2015 - Missing the Boat on the Big Political News
August 26, 2015 - Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House
August 25, 2015 - Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate
August 21, 2015 Premium - Indiana 3: Home is Where the Heart Is
August 21, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Parties Brace for Bigger Battles Ahead
August 21, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (August 21, 2015) Florida 5, Illinois 15, Texas 16, Iowa 1 & 4
August 21, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (August 21, 2015)
August 21, 2015 - Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election
August 19, 2015 - A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts
August 17, 2015 - Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement
August 14, 2015 - 2016 House Overview: Democrats Struggle To Gain Ground
August 11, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Alabama - Illinois
August 11, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) Indiana - New Jersey
August 11, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (August 11, 2015) New Mexico - Wyoming
August 11, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (August 11, 2015)
August 11, 2015 - Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany
August 7, 2015 - One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?
August 6, 2015 - A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen
July 31, 2015 - More Democratic Losses Could Be on the Horizon
July 30, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (July 31, 2015)
July 30, 2015 - Chris Christie’s Conundrum
July 29, 2015 - 2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus
July 24, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Alabama - Kansas
July 24, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico
July 24, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (July 24, 2015) New York - Wyoming
July 24, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Ratings (July 24, 2015)
July 24, 2015 - The Politics of Identity Politics
July 24, 2015 - Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota
July 23, 2015 - Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?
July 17, 2015 - Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean
July 10, 2015 - The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All
July 8, 2015 - Heck’s Decision Prompts Rating Change in Two Nevada Races
July 6, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (July 6, 2015)
July 6, 2015 - 2016 House Ratings (July 6, 2015)
July 6, 2015 - North Carolina Senate: Life After Hagan
July 2, 2015 Premium - Pennsylvania 6: Suburban Districts Elude Democrats
July 2, 2015 Premium - When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm
July 2, 2015 - Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?
June 26, 2015 - Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future
June 25, 2015 - The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart
June 22, 2015 - Roll Call at the Big 6-0
June 18, 2015 - Michigan 7: Democrats Target Walberg (Again)
June 17, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (June 17, 2015) Colorado Senate, Georgia Senate, Indiana Senate, Nevada Senate
June 17, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings June 17, 2015)
June 17, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (June 17, 2015)
June 17, 2015 - Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP in 2016?
June 16, 2015 - Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field
June 12, 2015 - Party’s History of Establishment Picks Could Be Over
June 8, 2015 - 14 Open House Seats, Few Takeover Opportunities
June 2, 2015 - Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country
May 29, 2015 Premium - Arizona Landscape Shifts in Two Races
May 29, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (May 29, 2015) Indiana Governor, Indiana Senate, Kentucky Governor, Nevada Senate
May 29, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Ratings (May 29, 2015)
May 29, 2015 - How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System
May 28, 2015 - Kirkpatrick’s Decision Prompts Ratings Changes in Two Arizona Races
May 26, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (May 26, 2015)
May 26, 2015 - 2016 House Ratings (May 26, 2015)
May 26, 2015 - 500 Attack Emails Couldn’t Take Down Thom Tillis
May 26, 2015 - Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?
May 21, 2015 - Nevada Senate: Republicans Hope for Heck of a Race
May 15, 2015 Premium - Nevada House: Republicans on the Defensive
May 15, 2015 Premium - Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa
May 15, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (May 15, 2015)
May 15, 2015 - Report Shorts (May 15, 2015) California Senate, California 25, Indiana Senate, Indiana 3
May 15, 2015 Premium - Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal
May 15, 2015 - Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too
May 13, 2015 - Parties Divide and Conquer Independent Spending
May 8, 2015 - Senate Races, Pro Salaries and Perspective on Spending
May 7, 2015 - How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?
May 6, 2015 - Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?
May 4, 2015 - What Kind of Senate Candidates Will Do Well in 2016?
May 1, 2015 Premium - Texas 23: Hurd(ing) Voters
May 1, 2015 Premium - Maine 2: Bruce Almighty?
May 1, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (May 1, 2015) Indiana Governor, Oregon Governor, West Virginia Governor
May 1, 2015 Premium - Hillary Rodham Romney? Keep an Eye on O’Malley
April 30, 2015 - DSCC Preferred Chairman’s Opponent in 2006 Primary
April 28, 2015 - ‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections
April 24, 2015 - Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue
April 22, 2015 - Context for Facebook Chatter About Presidential Candidates
April 21, 2015 - The What Ifs of the 2016 GOP Presidential Race
April 20, 2015 - Senate Overview: Retirements and Primaries Matter for Majority
April 17, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Alabama - Kansas
April 17, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico
April 17, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (April 17, 2015) New York - Wyoming
April 17, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Ratings (April 17, 2015)
April 17, 2015 - The Young and the Restless of 2016
April 16, 2015 - Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real
April 13, 2015 - Adding Context to GOP Gains at State Level
April 10, 2015 - 2016 House Overview: Democrats Begin Long Road Back to Majority
April 3, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Alabama - Illinois
April 3, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) Indiana - New Jersey
April 3, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Overview (April 3, 2015) New Mexico - Wyoming
April 3, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (April 3, 2015) Florida Senate, Indiana Senate, Illinois Senate, Nevada Senate
April 3, 2015 Premium - 2016 House Ratings (April 3, 2015)
April 3, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (April 3, 2015)
April 3, 2015 - How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted
April 3, 2015 - Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?
April 2, 2015 - Democrats Start With Narrow Advantage in Nevada Open Seat
March 27, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (March 27, 2015)
March 27, 2015 - It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact
March 26, 2015 - Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority
March 25, 2015 - Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat
March 24, 2015 - Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe
March 24, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (March 24, 2015)
March 24, 2015 - Why Primaries Aren’t All Bad
March 23, 2015 - Illinois 18: Who Will Replace Aaron Schock?
March 20, 2015 Premium - Looking for Retirements in All the Wrong Places
March 20, 2015 Premium - Iowa 1: Freshman in the City
March 20, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate
March 20, 2015 Premium - So Long, Curtis
March 19, 2015 - The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio
March 18, 2015 - Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog
March 12, 2015 - What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016
March 11, 2015 - Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais
March 10, 2015 - Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States
March 6, 2015 Premium - Why Electoral Waves Are Rarer in a Presidential Year
March 6, 2015 Premium - Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo
March 6, 2015 Premium - Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat
March 6, 2015 Premium - 2016 Presidential Ratings (March 6, 2015)
March 6, 2015 - Report Shorts (March 6, 2015) CA Senate, FL Senate, MO Governor, NC Senate
March 6, 2015 Premium - Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?
March 5, 2015 - Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches
March 4, 2015 - 2016 Senate Ratings (March 2, 2015)
March 2, 2015 - Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016
March 2, 2015 - Remembrance of Shutdowns Past
February 27, 2015 - Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse
February 24, 2015 - How Much Money Does it Take to Defeat a Senator?
February 20, 2015 Premium - New York 19: Top-Tier Holding Pattern
February 20, 2015 Premium - California Senate: Boxer’s Retirement Complicates Contenders’ Plans to Move Up the Ladder
February 20, 2015 Premium - Oregon: Brown Takes the Helm as Kitzhaber Resigns
February 20, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (February 20, 2015) California 44, Mississippi 1, Missouri Senate
February 20, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (February 20, 2015)
February 20, 2015 - Past and Precedent: What Makes This Mississippi Special Election Interesting
February 19, 2015 - What to Expect When You’re Expecting to Run
February 17, 2015 - Why Early Senate Polling Is Usually Useless
February 13, 2015 - Why Special Elections Really Matter
February 12, 2015 - Is Ben Carson Really a Viable Presidential Candidate?
February 11, 2015 - Democrats Might Need to Lose the White House to Win the House Majority
February 9, 2015 - Ohio Senate: Portman Shifts from Offense to Defense
February 6, 2015 Premium - Noah’s Ark and the Republican Race for President
February 6, 2015 Premium - Democrats Gamble With New York Special Election
February 6, 2015 Premium - When Activists Run for Office
February 5, 2015 - Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field
February 4, 2015 - Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst
February 2, 2015 - First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?
January 29, 2015 - Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election
January 28, 2015 - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview: Washington Gridlock Puts Governors in the Spotlight
January 23, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Overview (January 23, 2015) Delaware - West Virginia
January 23, 2015 Premium - Pennsylvania 8: Democrats Looking Forward to Open Seat
January 23, 2015 Premium - Report Shorts (January 23, 2015) California Senate, Iowa Senate, Pennsylvania Senate
January 23, 2015 Premium - 2015-16 Gubernatorial Ratings (January 23, 2015)
January 23, 2015 - Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren
January 22, 2015 - When a House Member Should Retire
January 20, 2015 - Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’
January 19, 2015 - Can Democrats Win the House in 2016?
January 15, 2015 - Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?
January 12, 2015 - 2016 Senate Overview: Republicans Start on the Defensive
January 9, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Alabama - Kansas
January 9, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico
January 9, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Overview (January 9, 2015) New York - Wyoming
January 9, 2015 Premium - 2016 Senate Ratings (January 9, 2015)
January 9, 2015 - What Happened to The Rothenberg Political Report?
January 9, 2015 - Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?
January 7, 2015 - Republican to Retire from Competitive House Seat in New York
January 5, 2015 - Very Early Handicapping on Special Election in New York’s 11th District
January 2, 2015
