House News & Analysis

Aurora(s) and the Fight for the House

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 9, 2012 · 9:37 AM EDT

Aurora, Colo., is a household name because of the recent tragic movie theater shootings. But come November, the city and some of the other Auroras around the country will help decide which party controls the House of Representatives next year.

There are actually close to two dozen Auroras…

Fireworks, But No Surprises in Michigan, Missouri and Washington House Primaries

by Jessica Taylor August 8, 2012 · 10:11 AM EDT

Two more House incumbents lost on Tuesday, but it wasn’t a surprise since they faced fellow Members in primaries in Missouri and Michigan, and one of them had to lose.

In Michigan, Rep. Gary Peters prevailed over freshman Rep. Hansen Clarke in the Democratic primary in the 14th…

On a Run of Strong Congressional Candidates

by Stuart Rothenberg August 7, 2012 · 10:53 AM EDT

I’m not sure whether it’s the summer heat, a side effect of the aging process or simply dumb luck, but I’ve met a string of unusually good Congressional candidates recently.

Not all of them will win — in part because some of them are running against each other…

Polls or Fundamentals in N.Y. 1st District Race?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 3, 2012 · 10:55 AM EDT

I have been watching New York’s 1st district since I came to Washington, D.C., in 1980.

The suburban district on the east end of Long Island has often had competitive races and has flipped from one party to the other a number of times during the past 30…

Georgia Primaries: Stay Tuned for Round Two

by Jessica Taylor August 1, 2012 · 11:18 AM EDT

The Peach State provided only minimal clarity on Tuesday, with no candidate reaching the 50 percent threshold to win outright in the two most closely-watched House races.

In the 12th District contest, state Rep. Lee Anderson (34 percent) and wealthy construction company owner Rick Allen (26 percent) advanced…

Connecticut 5: Murphy’s Law

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 27, 2012 · 12:59 PM EDT

Democrats’ potential headaches in New England just won’t go away. The party already has vulnerable incumbents in Massachusetts and Rhode Island and, thanks to popular Democratic Rep. Chris Murphy’s Senate bid, has an open seat in Connecticut to worry about as well.


Barack Obama received 56…

Hawaii 2: Third Time’s a Charm

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 27, 2012 · 12:58 PM EDT

Hawaiians have a history of re-electing their incumbents over, and over, and over again, so when a seat comes open, the Democratic primary becomes extremely important in the very Democratic state.

The race for mayor of Honolulu and the open seat Senate race are taking up most of…

Arizona House: Primary Heat

by Jessica Taylor July 27, 2012 · 12:57 PM EDT

No other state in the nation saw a fight over its congressional boundaries quite like Arizona. When a bipartisan commission returned a map
last year that Republicans believed was too favorable to Democrats, Gov. Jan Brewer (R) and the GOP-controlled state Senate took unprecedented action -- impeaching the…

Two Freshmen to Watch in the Class of 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg July 25, 2012 · 12:32 PM EDT

In a political world increasingly populated by candidates who seem angry at the political opposition and promise to toe their party’s ideological line, two open-seat candidates I met recently cut interesting profiles.

While most members of the class of 2012 still have to prove their mettle in November,…

In Fight for the House, the Trajectory Is Clear

by Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2012 · 9:30 AM EDT

House races often don’t start getting attention until after Labor Day. But with the presidential contest sucking the air out of the political environment and defining the electoral landscape, House candidates may find they have an even harder time than usual defining themselves and their opponents.

That means…