House News & Analysis

Florida 8: Magical World of Politics

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

It was bad enough last fall for Republicans to lose another 21 House seats, but they even lost Disney World. Now, GOPers are hoping out-spoken freshman Cong. Alan Grayson (D) will help make their dreams of taking back Florida’s 8th District come true by saying something outlandish.


California 32: Race Matters?

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 20, 2009 · 3:00 PM EDT

When President Barack Obama plucked Cong. Hilda Solis (D) from the House for his cabinet, he left Democrats with an open seat to defend. But unlike the special election in upstate New York, Democrats are in no danger of losing this Southern California seat.

State Sen. Gil Cedillo…

February 20, 2009 House Overview

by Stuart Rothenberg February 20, 2009 · 12:00 PM EST

The 2010 election cycle begins at such an unusual time in American history that it’s hard to know where to begin.

The nation is in a deep recession, created by a housing and financial meltdown. Congress just passed a huge spending package, and more spending by the federal…

Louisiana 4: Fight to the Finish

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 24, 2008 · 2:01 PM EST

It’s a good thing that Louisiana voters are used to going to the polls in December. Even though the state junked the jungle primary for more traditional primaries, Hurricane Gustav pushed the races back a month. Now, voters will go to the polls in Northwest Louisiana’s 4th Congressional District…

2008 House Overview (October 31, 2008)

October 31, 2008 · 11:29 AM EDT

As Election Day nears, we see no reason to veer from the view that we have held for months – that the 2008 House elections will give Democrats another big victory. Some Democratic challengers and open seat hopefuls already are over 50% in polling, but many are still in…

2008 House Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:16 PM EDT

The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican open seats…

Michigan 9: State Democrats Try to Use Palin as Wedge

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

For the last three years, the predominant Democratic strategy has been to tie every breathing Republican to unpopular President Bush. Now, Michigan Democrats believe coupling the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, with Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) will help them win his seat.

“Knollenberg and Palin…

California 3: Democratic Poll in California Shows Lungren Is Soft

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2008 · 8:42 PM EDT

Maybe it’s the crummy national environment or maybe it was the topless attack ad, but a new Democratic poll in California’s 3rd district shows that Rep. Dan Lungren (R) may not be safe.

An Oct. 4-6 survey by Fairbank, Maslin, Maullin and Associates (D) for physician Bill Durston…

2008 House Overview (October 10, 2008)

October 10, 2008 · 12:47 PM EDT

The last week to 10 days has been disastrous for GOP House candidates, with voters taking out their anger and fear of the future on Republicans.

While we may be seeing the low point for Republicans, the ongoing economic mess is likely to keep the economy on the…

Wild Cards Create Wild Scenarios in Congressional Races

by Stuart Rothenberg October 6, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

While third-party and Independent candidates for president remain largely irrelevant to the battle between Democratic Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) and Republican Sen. John McCain (Ariz.), three nontraditional candidates in other races are proving to be more important.

In Minnesota, former Sen. Dean Barkley, running as the Independence Party’s…