Senate News & Analysis

Is Michelle Obama Democrats’ Secret Weapon?

by Stuart Rothenberg August 17, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

“The White House is hoping that Michelle can do for Barack what Laura did for George and the GOP four years ago,” wrote Washington Post political reporter Nia-Malika Henderson recently, in an August 11, 2010 article that reported on efforts to get the First Lady heavily involved in this…

Wisconsin Senate: Declaration of Independence

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 13, 2010 · 4:00 PM EDT

Wisconsin’s Russ Feingold (D) is one of the Senate’s long-standing mavericks, but after 18 years, Republicans think the brand is wearing thin.

Feingold’s vulnerability is evidence of a dramatically shifting landscape. At the beginning of the cycle, the Democratic senator wasn’t close to being mentioned as vulnerable. But…

Smoot’s Charge: Hold at Least 50 Senate Seats

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 12, 2010 · 10:01 AM EDT

Last in a series of profiles of committee independent expenditure directors.

Democratic operative Brian Smoot has been in tough spots before, but preserving the Democratic majority in the Senate this fall tops the list.

As director of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s independent expenditure effort, Smoot will…

Ratings Changes in WV, FL, NV, & WI Senate races

August 9, 2010 · 2:47 PM EDT

West Virginia (Open; Goodwin, D) -- Add as Democrat Favored

Senator Robert Byrd’s death has created a special election to fill the remaining two years of his term. Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin is likely to win his party’s nomination in the August 28 primary, while businessman/former state GOP…

Jersey Native Looks to Shore up GOP Senate Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 6, 2010 · 12:47 PM EDT

Third in a series of profiles of committee independent expenditure directors.

“If it wasn’t for Mike DuHaime, I wouldn’t be a Senator today,” New Jersey state Sen. Anthony Bucco (R) recalled recently about a campaign that took place almost 13 years ago.

After this year’s elections, more…

Kentucky Senate: Paul Campaign clear about bio in Report interview

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 5, 2010 · 12:30 PM EDT

If reporters wanted to know whether Kentucky GOP Senate nominee Rand Paul graduated from Baylor University, they probably should have asked his campaign. That’s what I did, and I got the answer, ten months ago.

Wednesday’s story in the Lexington Herald-Leader “Contrary to some media reports, Rand Paul…

New Hampshire Senate: Stone Cold Competitive

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 30, 2010 · 3:29 PM EDT

The New Hampshire Senate race is a great example as to why early handicapping can be a futile exercise.

At the very beginning of the cycle, Sen. Judd Gregg (R) didn’t look particularly vulnerable. Then he announced his retirement in early 2009, leaving Democrats in prime position to…

Nevada Senate: Sharron Angle’s Pink Slip to Harry Reid

July 27, 2010 · 5:12 PM EDT

Republican Sharron Angle is trying to raise money by asking people to send a Pink Slip to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid. It's not going to win any awards for creativity, but with amount of money she's raising, it's tough to criticize.

Senate Is in Play, but GOP Has Reasons to Worry

by Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2010 · 9:31 AM EDT

Until about 10 days ago, I agreed with the conventional wisdom that control of the House of Representatives was up for grabs this fall but that Republicans had yet to put the Senate into play. I no longer believe that.

The chances that the next Senate will have…

Oregon Senate: The Memo Said “Wyden Is Vulnerable in 2010”

by Stuart Rothenberg July 22, 2010 · 3:13 PM EDT

Last week, the folks at Moore Information, a long-time GOP survey research firm based in Portland, Oregon, distributed a poll memo asserting that Democratic Senator Ron Wyden, who has been in the Senate since winning a special election in 1996, is vulnerable this year.

Was I skeptical? Sure.…