Senate News & Analysis
A new poll of the Democratic primary for Iowa’s U.S. Senate seat suggests that the contest between former Rep. Abby Finkenauer and retired Admiral/2020 Senate primary runner-up Michael Franken has closed to an even race.
The survey, conducted by Change Research for the Franken campaign and fielded from May 4-8,
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If you’re looking for a place to measure the size of a GOP wave or a state where a Supreme Court decision on abortion could make an impact, look at Colorado.
The agreed-upon Senate battlefield consists of seven or eight states, half held by Democrats and half held by Republicans.
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California’s 22nd District Special. Former state Assemblywoman Connie Conway finished first with 35 percent in the April 5 special election primary. She’ll face Democrat Lourin Hubbard (who received 19 percent) in the June 7 runoff in the race for the remainder of GOP Rep. Devin Nunes’ term. Republican candidates combined…
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
The clock is ticking for Democrats. With seven months to go before Election Day, there’s little sign of relief for a country facing myriad challenges, and scant evidence that President Joe Biden’s popularity will rebound significantly. Voters are primed to oust the party…
Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby (R) not seeking re-election. May 24 primary, June 21 runoff (if necessary). Rep. Mo Brooks was hoping to ride Trump’s endorsement to the GOP nomination. But Trump recently rescinded his support, blaming it on Brooks’ “woke” ideology. The congressman tried to prevent the certified presidential results…
Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. GOP state Rep. Bob McDermott is running and will try to be the first Republican to win a Hawaii senate seat since 1970. Barring something drastic, he won’t be. Solid Democratic.
Idaho.…
North Dakota. John Hoeven (R) elected 2010 (76%), 2016 (78%). April 11 filing deadline. June 14 primary. All is calm in the Peace Garden State for Hoeven, who had $3 million on hand at the end of the year, Trump’s endorsement and no remotely credible Democratic opponents. Solid Republican.
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Ohio Senate.
A recent Fox News poll of likely voters, conducted March 2-6, provides a rare nonpartisan look at the crowded GOP Senate primary in Ohio. The survey found wealthy investment banker Mike Gibbons leading the pack with 22 percent, followed closely by former state Treasurer Josh…
With the Senate evenly divided, flipping just one GOP-held state could mean the difference between Democrats maintaining and losing the party’s hard-won majority. And from the beginning, Pennsylvania’s open seat has been their best takeover opportunity and a chance to stave off potential losses elsewhere.
Throw in a rambunctious, unpredictable…
Considering President Joe Biden is on the cusp of making a lifetime appointment to the country’s top court, Associate Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer’s retirement is big news. Yet the upcoming confirmation is most likely to have a muted impact on the 2022 elections.
When evaluating the potential impact of…