Senate News & Analysis

Three Trump Campaign Aides Who Could Get Elected to Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2017 · 10:14 AM EST

During the campaign, there probably weren’t enough full-throated Donald Trump supporters on Capitol Hill to fill a minivan. But two Trump campaign aides could get elected in House special elections later this year, while another adviser may challenge a Republican senator in a primary next year.

Their candidacies will test…

Ohio Senate: Bull’s-eye on the Buckeye State

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2017 · 4:20 PM EST

No, you don’t have vertigo from the 2016 elections. Some candidates have already announced their campaigns for the 2018 midterm elections, including Ohio Republican Josh Mandel. And no, you’re not experiencing déjà vu, Mandel faced Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in 2012, and is on track to do so again next…

Women’s March: A Moment or a Movement?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 27, 2017 · 4:18 PM EST

Less than 24 hours after Donald Trump took the oath of office, hundreds of thousands of women descended onto the streets of Washington, D.C. in protest of the new president. 

There were immediate comparisons to the Tea Party movement that began in 2009 with rallies against new President Barack Obama,…

How President Trump Can Avoid President Obama’s Biggest Mistake

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 25, 2017 · 11:23 AM EST

Donald Trump’s critics believe the new president is clueless (or worse), but he might be on track to avoid repeating former President Barack Obama’s biggest political mistake. 

Trump’s pre-inaugural press conference was widely panned, but his comments on the future of health care legislation were instructive.

“The easiest thing would…

Does the NRSC Have the Right Message for 2018?

by Stuart Rothenberg January 24, 2017 · 10:40 AM EST

The National Republican Senatorial Committee’s assault on Democratic senators up for re-election in 2018 has already begun.

That committee has sent out more than half a dozen press releases since the beginning of the year attacking Democratic senators facing re-election from states carried by Donald Trump in November or generally…

The First Time I Met Illinois Senate Candidate Barack Obama

by Stuart Rothenberg January 17, 2017 · 8:30 AM EST

With the end of the Obama Administration approaching, I recently looked back at the notes from my two meetings with Barack Obama during his run for the United States Senate.  Obama was not well known then, and he was regarded as nothing more than a long-shot for the Democratic nomination. 

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Alabama-Maine

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:59 PM EST

ARIZONA - Jeff Flake (R) elected 2012 (49%). Compared to fellow Grand Canyon State Sen. John McCain, whom grassroots Republicans regard as insufficiently conservative, Flake has generally toed the conservative line, except on immigration. But because of his private clashes with Trump during the 2016 race, including his refusal to…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Maryland-Ohio

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:58 PM EST

MARYLAND -    Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). Unless popular GOP Gov. Larry Hogan decides to challenge Cardin instead of seeking re-election (which he’s not going to do), Republicans aren’t going to win this seat. In 2016, Clinton defeated Trump 60-34 percent and Democrat Chris Van Hollen defeated…

2018 Senate Overview (January 13, 2017) Oklahoma-Wyoming

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 13, 2017 · 1:57 PM EST

PENNSYLVANIA - Bob Casey, Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). With Trump’s 49-48 percent win over Clinton and Sen. Pat Toomey’s re-election in 2016, Republicans are feeling emboldened about their chances of defeating Casey next year. There was a moment when Casey’s 2012 race looked to be in some…

Montana Senate: GOP Chances Left in Zinke’s Wake?

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 20, 2016 · 4:00 PM EST

Nearly two years before Election Day 2018, some Republicans have already thrown in the towel on one of their top Senate takeover targets.  

Donald Trump’s selection of GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke to become the Secretary of the Interior creates yet another House open seat but essentially takes a potential…