Senate News & Analysis

Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?

by Stuart Rothenberg December 4, 2015 · 10:09 AM EST

There is little doubt about the identity of the most vulnerable senator seeking re-election next year. It’s Illinois Republican Mark S. Kirk, who hopes to win a second term in a very Democratic state in a presidential year. His prospects are bleak.

But who ranks just behind Kirk as…

Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 30, 2015 · 9:23 AM EST

Political reporters have a fever and the only prescription appears to be fundraising numbers.

It’s a time-honored tradition: Every month, the House and Senate campaign committees release fundraising totals in a regular effort to claim momentum and financial supremacy, and political reporters can’t resist the temptation to report them.

New Hampshire Senate: Clash of the Titans

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 20, 2015 · 2:30 PM EST

Voters in New Hampshire are so consumed by the presidential primary that they may not even realize they’re also hosting one of the most competitive senate races in the country. 

Republican Kelly Ayotte kept the seat in GOP hands with her convincing victory in 2010. But that was a…

Report Shorts (November 20, 2015) Arizona 1, Arkansas, Kentucky Senate, New York 22

November 20, 2015 · 2:28 PM EST

Arizona’s 1st District. Democratic state Sen. Barbara McGuire decided not to run, but party insiders weren’t pushing her anyway. Former 2nd District Rep. Ron Barber endorsed former GOP state Sen. Tom O’Halleran in yet another sign of who Democrats prefer to be their nominee to try to keep Ann Kirkpatrick’s…

EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 13, 2015 · 8:58 AM EST

Pam Keith is a pro-choice Democratic woman running in one of the most competitive Senate races in the country, but the first-time candidate is having trouble getting EMILY’s List interested in her candidacy in Florida.

EMILY’s List was founded 30 years ago to elect pro-choice Democratic women to office.…

2016 Senate Overview: Playing Field Comes Into Focus, But Climate is Unclear

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 6, 2015 · 3:30 PM EST

A year out from the 2016 elections, control of the Senate is up for grabs.

The playing field is starting to solidify around a batch of seven states, including Illinois, Wisconsin, Florida, Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Ohio, which are likely to decide the majority in the next congress. Five…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Alabama - Kansas

November 6, 2015 · 3:29 PM EST

ALABAMA – Richard Shelby (R) elected 1986 (50%), 1992 (65%), 1998 (63%), 2004 (68%), 2010 (65%). Shelby continues to stockpile money for a future institute for politics at the University of Alabama when he leaves office. The senator had $19 million in his campaign account at the end of September…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) Kentucky - New Mexico

November 6, 2015 · 3:28 PM EST

KENTUCKY – Rand Paul (R) elected 2010 (56%). Paul’s run for president hasn’t caught fire but his re-election prospects received a boost after this week’s election results. Republicans took over the governorship and defeated state Auditor Adam Edelen, who was regarded as the most likely Democratic challenger to Paul next…

2016 Senate Overview (November 6, 2015) New York - Wyoming

November 6, 2015 · 3:27 PM EST

NEW YORK – Chuck Schumer (D) elected 1998 (55%), 2004 (71%), 2010 (66%). Schumer will win a fourth term. The only question is whether he will be the majority or minority leader in the next congress. Safe for Democrats.

NORTH CAROLINA – Richard Burr (R) elected 2004 (52%), 2010 (55%).…

What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 4, 2015 · 7:07 PM EST

Matt Bevin’s victory in the Kentucky governor’s race is yet another sobering reminder that polling is a risky business. And for some Republicans, Kentucky could be a glimmer of hope for GOP Sen. David Vitter’s gubernatorial bid in Louisiana.

Bevin’s victory wasn’t the political shockwave on par with Eric…