Senate News & Analysis

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2014 · 4:29 PM EDT

Political brands are important. If a candidate or political party has a damaged political brand, it’s harder for them to sell themselves to voters. But sometimes a poll’s top lines can be deceiving, so you need to look a little below the surface to understand what is going on.

Bill Clinton’s Real Impact on the Kentucky Senate Race

by Stuart Rothenberg March 10, 2014 · 9:30 AM EDT

The national media’s reaction to former President Bill Clinton’s recent trip to Kentucky to boost the Senate candidacy of Democratic Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes was predictable.

Most of my colleagues in the media can’t resist a Clinton (Bill or Hillary) sighting, and Senate Minority Leader Mitch…

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 7, 2014 · 10:54 AM EST

A Republican group recently boasted about Republicans becoming “the only political party in history to run a Web ending.”

But it would be surprising if many Republican candidates are anxious to put .GOP behind their name.

The Republican State Leadership Committee led the effort to secure the…

Oregon Senate: Testing the Democratic Firewall

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 3:00 PM EST

Two forces could collide in Oregon later this year: a state shifting to the left while short-term political forces are working against Democrats nationwide. But the fact that Republicans have even a remote chance of winning the Senate race in Oregon demonstrates just what kind of cycle this is…

Michigan Senate: Evolving GOP Opportunity

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:59 PM EST

The last time Republicans won a U.S. Senate race Michigan there was an open seat in a midterm election of a Democratic president. That was 20 years ago, but Republicans believe it is a winning formula for 2014.

Michigan is one example of a Democratic seat that could…

Report Shorts (February 28, 2014) Colorado Senate, Michigan 12, Texas 33

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 2:57 PM EST

Colorado Senate. In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. The Denver Post broke the news on Wednesday and we immediately moved the race from Safe to Democrat Favored.

But in less than a day,…

There’s No Good Time for the GOP on Immigration

by Stuart Rothenberg February 27, 2014 · 1:15 PM EST

GOP leaders on Capitol Hill apparently have already decided to punt rather than push ahead with their own immigration proposal, but that hasn’t stopped the chatter from the sidelines, especially from those who don’t like the leadership’s decision.

Liberal columnist Greg Sargent and conservative icon George…

Gardner Decision Shakes Up Colorado Senate Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 26, 2014 · 4:15 PM EST

In a surprise decision, Republican Rep. Cory Gardner has decided to jump into the Colorado Senate race against incumbent Democrat Mark Udall. While there are other Republicans running already, Gardner gives the GOP an upper-tier candidate in a race that has not been considered competitive until now. The

Obamacare Can Be Complicated for Republicans Beyond the Beltway

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 25, 2014 · 10:03 AM EST

For Republicans in D.C., the Affordable Care Act is a black and white issue — you are either for it or against it. And they are all against it. But for many GOP legislators and candidates outside the Beltway, the politics of Obamacare is much more complicated.

In…

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

by Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2014 · 11:29 AM EST

You probably think the recent spat between the National Republican Senatorial Committee (and really the entire GOP establishment) and Jamestown Associates, a GOP consulting firm, is interesting because it reflects the fissure in the Republican Party. But after covering campaigns for decades, I think it’s also a fascinating story…