Senate News & Analysis

Nebraska Senate: Back to Republican Favored After Kerrey Decision

February 29, 2012 · 3:26 PM EST

Former Sen. Bob Kerrey’s last-minute reversal to get into the Nebraska Senate race is reason to re-evaluate our rating.

In the last week’s edition of RPR, we moved the Nebraska race to Safe for the Republicans based on the lack of credible Democratic candidates, but we also wrote…

Claire McCaskill’s Mountain: A Tough Climb to Victory

by Stuart Rothenberg February 29, 2012 · 8:15 AM EST

Sen. Claire McCaskill (Mo.) knows exactly where she needs to be positioned. And she has done about as good a job as possible to sell herself to Show-Me State voters as an “independent” Democrat who doesn’t always agree with her party or her president.

But even veteran party…

Snowe’s Decision Shakes Senate Landscape

February 28, 2012 · 6:14 PM EST

Republican Sen. Olympia Snowe’s surprise retirement announcement on Tuesday dramatically shifts her Maine seat from the Safe Republican column and places it firmly in the center of the fight for the Senate majority.

The moderate Snowe had burnished her own independent credentials so deeply that the only real…

Senate Control Hangs in the Balance

by Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2012 · 1:00 PM EST

The fight for control of the United States Senate changed only slightly, but still noticeably, over the past three months, as President Barack Obama’s poll numbers improved and the focus on the GOP presidential race further damaged an already weak Republican brand.

With the focus of political discussion…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Arizona - Michigan

February 24, 2012 · 12:58 PM EST

ARIZONA – Open; Jon Kyl (R), not seeking reelection. August 28 primary.

Democrats remain optimistic about their chances of picking up this open seat, predicated largely on what they see as a strong recruit in former U.S. Surgeon General (under George W. Bush) Richard Carmona, who jumped into…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Minnesota - Ohio

February 24, 2012 · 12:57 PM EST

MINNESOTA – Amy Klobuchar (D), elected 2006 (58%). August 14 primary.

GOP operatives privately admit that Sen. Klobuchar is an excellent politician. Pete Hegseth, executive director of Vets for Freedom, just got into the race. Klobuchar ended December with about $4.6 million in the bank and is a…

2012 Senate Overview (February 24, 2012) Pennsylvania - Wyoming

February 24, 2012 · 12:57 PM EST

PENNSYLVANIA – Bob Casey (D), elected 2006 (59%). April 24 primary.

Casey isn’t charismatic, but his positioning as a pro-union, cultural moderate is a good one for a Democrat in the Keystone State. And the Casey name (his father was governor) is still a plus in parts of…

Nevada, Massachusetts Key to Senate Control

by Stuart Rothenberg February 17, 2012 · 9:10 AM EST

It is a little more than eight months until Election Day, but even now two Republican-held Senate seats look increasingly like the keys to whether Democrats can hold their narrow majority in November.

Republican strategists are overwhelmed with opportunities and potential opportunities this cycle, and even a modest…

Indiana Senate: Lugar’s Legacy

by Nathan L. Gonzales February 10, 2012 · 2:58 PM EST

The Super Bowl is over but Indiana is getting ready for the fourth quarter of a giant U.S. Senate race.

Very few people question that Sen. Richard Lugar is vulnerable in the Republican primary. His longevity in Washington, close (at least at one time) relationship with President Obama,…

Wisconsin Senate: Overshadowed by the Recall

by Jessica Taylor January 27, 2012 · 2:00 PM EST

Under normal circumstances, Wisconsin’s first open Senate seat since 1988 would be the biggest political game in town this cycle. Sen. Herb Kohl announced his retirement in May, and though the four-term Democrat had faced easy reelections, his move sets up a competitive race that is even more complicated…