Gubernatorial Ratings

August 15, 2006 · 12:02 AM EDT
2006 Rothenberg Political Report
Governors Ratings
 

Races are listed by likelihood of a party switch. For race-by-race analysis and explanation of the ratings, you must be a subscriber to the print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report. For a subscription form, click here. Republicans currently hold a 28-22 advantage in governorships nationwide. Currently, Democrats are expected to gain between 5-7 governorships. Ratings updated September 29, 2006.

LIKELY TAKEOVER (2 R, 0 D)

NY Open (R-Pataki)

OH Open (R-Taft)

LEAN TAKEOVER (4 R, 0 D)
Ehrlich (R-MD)
AR Open (R-Huckabee)
CO Open (R-Owens)
MA Open (R-Romney)
TOSS-UP (1 R, 3 D)
Pawlenty (R-MN)
Doyle (D-WI)
Granholm (D-MI)
IA Open (D-Vilsack)
 
NARROW ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (3 R, 2 D)
Carcieri (R-RI)
AK Open (R-Murkowski)
NV Open (R-Guinn)
Baldacci (D-ME)
Kulongoski (D-OR)
 
CLEAR ADVANTAGE INCUMBENT PARTY (3 R, 1 D)
Perdue (R-GA)
Riley (R-AL)
FL Open (R-Bush)
Blagojevich (D-IL)
 
CURRENTLY SAFE (9 R, 8 D)
Douglas (R-VT)
Heineman (R-NE)
Lingle (R-HI)
Perry (R-TX)
Rell (R-CT)
Rounds (R-SD)
Sanford (R-SC)
Schwarzenegger (R-CA)
ID Open (R-Risch)
Bredesen (D-TN)
Freudenthal (D-WY)
Henry (D-OK)
Lynch (D-NH)
Napolitano (D-AZ)
Rendell (D-PA)
Richardson (D-NM)
Sebelius (D-KS)