Gubernatorial Ratings

March 4, 2009 · 8:08 AM EST

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. We've updated Kansas to reflect Gov. Kathleen Sebelius appointment to the Obama cabinet. But since incoming Gov. Mark Parkinson (D) reiterated his decision not to run in 2010, the race remains a Lean Takeover for Republicans. 2009 races in italics.



Lean Takeover (3 R, 3 D)

  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • KS Open (Parkinson, D)
  • OK Open (Henry, D)
  • WY Open (Freudenthal, D)
Toss-Up (2 R, 4 D)

  • Gibbons (R-NV)
  • SD Open (Rounds, R)
  • MI Open (Granholm, D)
  • PA Open (Rendell, D)
  • TN Open (Bredesen, D)
  • VA Open (Kaine, D)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 2 D)

  • Brewer (R-AZ)
  • Douglas (R-VT)
  • Pawlenty (R-MN)
  • Corzine (D-NJ)
  • NM Open (Richardson, D)
Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (4 R, 6 D)

  • Rell (R-CT)
  • AL Open (Riley, R)
  • GA Open (Perdue, R)
  • SC Open (Sanford, R)
  • Blagojevich (D-IL)
  • Doyle (D-WI)
  • Paterson (D-NY)
  • Strickland (D-OH)
  • ME Open (Baldacci, D)
  • OR Open (Kulongoski, D)
Currently Safe (5 R, 6 D)

  • Crist (R-FL)
  • Heineman (R-NE)
  • Otter (R-ID)
  • Palin (R-AK)
  • Perry (R-TX)
  • Beebe (D-AR)
  • Culver (D-IA)
  • Lynch (D-NH)
  • O'Malley (D-MD)
  • Patrick (D-MA)
  • Ritter (D-CO)