Gubernatorial Ratings

October 9, 2009 · 1:30 PM EDT

According to the latest Washington Post survey, former Attorney General Bob McDonnell (R) leads state Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) 53%-44% with a little more than three weeks before Election Day. The poll confirms that Deeds has squeezed everything he can out of the controversy surrounding McDonnell’s graduate school thesis, but is still trailing the Republican. We’re moving the race from Toss-Up to Lean Takeover.

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. 2009 races in italics.
# – Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (4 R, 6 D)
  • CA Open (Schwarzenegger, R)
  • HI Open (Lingle, R)
  • RI Open (Carcieri, R)
  • VT Open (Douglas, R)
  • KS Open (Parkinson, D)
  • Corzine (D-NJ)
  • OK Open (Henry, D)
  • TN Open (Bredesen, D)
  • VA Open (Kaine, D) *
  • WY Open (Freudenthal, D)
Toss-Up (4 R, 6 D)
  • Brewer (R-AZ)
  • Gibbons (R-NV)
  • FL Open (Crist, R) *
  • MN Open (Pawlenty, R)
  • Culver (D-IA) *
  • Paterson (D-NY)
  • Ritter (D-CO)
  • MI Open (Granholm, D)
  • PA Open (Rendell, D)
  • WI Open (Doyle, D)
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (1 R, 2 D)
  • GA Open (Perdue, R)
  • Patrick (D-MA)
  • Strickland (D-OH)
Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (3 R, 3 D)
  • Rell (R-CT)
  • AL Open (Riley, R)
  • SC Open (Sanford, R)
  • Quinn (D-IL)
  • ME Open (Baldacci, D)
  • NM Open (Richardson, D)
Currently Safe (6 R, 4 D)
  • Herbert (R-UT) *
  • Heineman (R-NE)
  • Otter (R-ID)
  • Parnell (R-AK)
  • Perry (R-TX)
  • SD Open (Rounds, R)
  • Beebe (D-AR)
  • Lynch (D-NH)
  • O’Malley (D-MD)
  • OR Open (Kulongoski, D)