House Ratings

October 14, 2008 · 1:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added



PURE TOSS-UP (7 R, 5 D)
  • AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R) #
  • FL 16 (Mahoney, D) *
  • FL 21 (L. Diaz-Balart, R)
  • LA 6 (Cazayoux, D) #
  • MI 7 (Walberg, R) #
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R) #
  • NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
  • OH 1 (Chabot, R) #
  • OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
  • PA 11 (Kanjorski, D) *
TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (10 R, 0 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R) #
  • FL 25 (M. Diaz-Balart, R) #
  • IL 10 (Kirk, R) #
  • KY 2 (Open; Lewis, R) #
  • LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
  • MD 1 (Open; Gilchrest, R) #
  • MO 9 (Open; Hulshof, R) #
  • NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
  • VA 2 (Drake, R) #
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (10 R, 4 D)
  • CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  • CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
  • FL 8 (Keller, R) #
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  • KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  • MI 9 (Knollenberg, R) #
  • MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R) #
  • NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
  • NM1 (Open; Wilson, R) #
  • NY 29 (Kuhl, R) #
  • NC 8 (Hayes, R) #
  • PA 3 (English, R) #
  • PA 10 (Carney, D) #
LEAN REPUBLICAN (4 R, 1 D)
  • CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R) #
  • ID 1 (Sali, R) #
  • MO 6 (Graves, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
  • TX 22 (Lampson, D)
LEAN DEMOCRATIC (5 R, 2 D)
  • AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R) #
  • FL 24 (Feeney, R) #
  • NV 3 (Porter, R) #
  • OH 16 (Open; Regula, R) #
  • PA 4 (Altmire, D)
  • VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
  • WI 8 (Kagen, D) #
REPUBLICAN FAVORED (9 R, 0 D)
  • AZ 3 (Shadegg, R) ^
  • CA 46 (Rohrabacher, R) ^
  • FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  • IL 6 (Roskam, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NE 2 (Terry, R) ^
  • PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  • WV 2 (Capito, R)
  • WY A-L (Open; Cubin, R) ^
DEMOCRAT FAVORED (3 R, 6 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D) #
  • AZ 8 (Giffords, D) #
  • IN 9 (Hill, D)
  • KY 3 (Yarmuth, D) #
  • MS 1 (Childers, D)
  • NY 13 (Open; Fossella, R)
  • NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)
  • OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D) #

Dropped :
IL 14 (Foster, D) #,
KS 3 (Moore, D) #,
NY 20 (Gillibrand, D) #