House Ratings

May 7, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

We've updated the chart to reflect Democrat Don Cazayoux's win in the Louisiana 6 special election, making him the incumbent in November. But we're keeping the race as a Toss-up for now until we know more about the national environment and the effect of the presidential race, the potential independent bid by African-American state Rep. Michael Jackson (D), and whether or not Woody Jenkins will carry the GOP banner in November.




PURE TOSS-UP (8 R, 7 D)
  • AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
  • AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
  • CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  • FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
  • KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  • LA 6 (Cazayoux, D)
  • MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
  • MS 1 (Open; Wicker, R)
  • NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
  • NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
  • NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
  • OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
  • OH 16 (Open; Regula, R)
  • OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (6 R, 1 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • IL 10 (Kirk, R)
  • LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
  • NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
  • NC 8 (Hayes, R)
  • TX 22 (Lampson, D)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (1 R, 2 D)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (8 R, 0 D)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 24 (Feeney, R)
  • MI 7 (Walberg, R)
  • MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
  • MO 6 (Graves, R)
  • NV 3 (Porter, R)
  • OH 1 (Chabot, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
LEAN DEMOCRATIC (3 R, 8 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
  • IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  • IN 9 (Hill, D)
  • KY 3 (Yarmuth, D)
  • KS 3 (Moore, D)
  • MN 1 (Walz, D)
  • NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)
  • PA 4 (Altmire, D)
  • VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
  • WI 8 (Kagen, D)
REPUBLICAN FAVORED (13 R, 0 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R)
  • CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R)
  • CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
  • FL 8 (Keller, R)
  • FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  • IL 6 (Roskam, R)
  • KY 2 (Open; Lewis, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R)
  • NY 13 (Fosella, R)
  • PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  • PA 18 (Murphy, R)
  • WV 2 (Capito, R)
DEMOCRAT FAVORED (0 R, 6 D)
  • IL 8 (Bean, D)
  • IL 14 (Foster, D)
  • NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
  • OH 18 (Space, D)
  • PA 8 (Murphy, D)
  • PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)