House Ratings

May 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. For our race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.

We've changed our rating of Oregon's 5th District from Toss-Up to Lean Democratic. Wealthy businessman Mike Erickson won the Republican nomination, but allegations that he paid for a girlfriend's abortion make him an underdog in the general election, even though he still won the primary. Sen. Gordon Smith (R) declined to endorse Erickson and Oregon Right to Life is likely to sit on the sidelines. State Sen. Kurt Schrader will carry the Democratic mantle in the race to replace Cong. Darlene Hooley (D).



PURE TOSS-UP (7 R, 7 D)
  • AL 5 (Open; Cramer, D)
  • AZ 1 (Open; Renzi, R)
  • CA 11 (McNerney, D)
  • FL 16 (Mahoney, D)
  • KS 2 (Boyda, D)
  • LA 6 (Cazayoux, D)
  • MN 3 (Open; Ramstad, R)
  • MS 1 (Childers, D)
  • NJ 7 (Open; Ferguson, R)
  • NY 26 (Open; Reynolds, R)
  • NM1 (Open; Wilson, R)
  • OH 15 (Open; Pryce, R)
  • OH 16 (Open; Regula, R)
  • PA 10 (Carney, D)
TOSS-UP/TILT REPUBLICAN (7 R, 1 D)
  • AK A-L (Young, R)
  • IL 10 (Kirk, R)
  • LA 4 (Open; McCrery, R)
  • NY 13 (Open; Fosella, R)
  • NY 29 (Kuhl, R)
  • NC 8 (Hayes, R)
  • TX 22 (Lampson, D)
  • WA 8 (Reichert, R)
TOSS-UP/TILT DEMOCRATIC (1 R, 2 D)
  • GA 8 (Marshall, D)
  • NH 1 (Shea-Porter, D)
  • NJ 3 (Open; Saxton, R)
LEAN REPUBLICAN (8 R, 0 D)
  • CT 4 (Shays, R)
  • FL 24 (Feeney, R)
  • MI 7 (Walberg, R)
  • MI 9 (Knollenberg, R)
  • MO 6 (Graves, R)
  • NV 3 (Porter, R)
  • OH 1 (Chabot, R)
  • OH 2 (Schmidt, R)
LEAN DEMOCRATIC (3 R, 9 D)
  • AZ 5 (Mitchell, D)
  • AZ 8 (Giffords, D)
  • IL 11 (Open; Weller, R)
  • IN 9 (Hill, D)
  • KY 3 (Yarmuth, D)
  • KS 3 (Moore, D)
  • MN 1 (Walz, D)
  • NY 25 (Open; Walsh, R)
  • OR 5 (Open; Hooley, D)
  • PA 4 (Altmire, D)
  • VA 11 (Open; Davis, R)
  • WI 8 (Kagen, D)
REPUBLICAN FAVORED (12 R, 0 D)
  • AL 2 (Open; Everett, R)
  • CA 4 (Open; Doolittle, R)
  • CO 4 (Musgrave, R)
  • FL 8 (Keller, R)
  • FL 13 (Buchanan, R)
  • IL 6 (Roskam, R)
  • KY 2 (Open; Lewis, R)
  • MN 6 (Bachmann, R)
  • NM 2 (Open; Pearce, R)
  • PA 6 (Gerlach, R)
  • PA 18 (Murphy, R)
  • WV 2 (Capito, R)
DEMOCRAT FAVORED (0 R, 6 D)
  • IL 8 (Bean, D)
  • IL 14 (Foster, D)
  • NY 20 (Gillibrand, D)
  • OH 18 (Space, D)
  • PA 8 (Murphy, D)
  • PA 11 (Kanjorski, D)