Senate Ratings

November 20, 2009 · 8:51 AM EST

Democrats are headed for a primary war between Sen. Arlen Specter (D) and Cong. Joe Sestak (D) while former Cong. Pat Toomey (R) awaits the winner. Earlier in the year, many people weren’t giving Toomey a shot at winning statewide, but he could benefit from the Democratic primary and a potentially favorable political environment and is now running even in general election polls. We’re moving the Pennsylvania Senate race from Narrow Advantage for the Incumbent Party to Toss-Up.

Here are our latest Senate ratings.
#- Moved benefiting Democrats
*- Moved benefiting Republicans

Lean Takeover (0 R, 1 D)
  • DE Open (Kaufman, D)
Toss-Up (4 R, 4 D)
  • KY Open (Bunning, R)
  • MO Open (Bond, R)
  • NH Open (Gregg, R)
  • OH Open (Voinovich, R)
  • IL Open (Burris, D)
  • Dodd (D-CT)
  • Reid (D-NV)
  • Specter (D-PA) *
Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 2 D)
  • Burr (R-NC)
  • Vitter (R-LA)
  • Bennet (D-CO)
  • Lincoln (D-AR)
Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party (2 R, 0 D)
  • Grassley (R-IA)
  • FL Open (LeMieux, R)

Currently Safe (10 R, 12 D)

  • Bennett (R-UT)
  • Coburn (R-OK)
  • Crapo (R-ID)
  • DeMint (R-SC)
  • Isakson (R-GA)
  • McCain (R-AZ)
  • Murkowski (R-AK)
  • Shelby (R-AL)
  • Thune (R-SD)
  • KS Open (Brownback, R)
  • Bayh (D-IN)
  • Boxer (D-CA)
  • Dorgan (D-ND)
  • Feingold (D-WI)
  • Gillibrand (D-NY)
  • Inouye (D-HI)
  • Leahy (D-VT)
  • Mikulski (D-MD)
  • Murray (D-WA)
  • Schumer (D-NY)
  • Wyden (D-OR)
  • MA Open (Kirk, D)