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2008 House Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:16 PM EDT

The fight for the House still looks like a GOP historic bloodbath (a second straight Democratic tsunami), with some second and third-tier Democratic nominees proving to be formidable challengers to Republican incumbents. Expect a surprise or two on November 4 – as well as plenty of Republican…

2010 Senate Overview (October 24, 2008)

October 24, 2008 · 12:10 PM EDT

The only good news for the GOP is that Alaska Senator Ted Stevens continues to show life in state polls, but everything hangs on a jury’s decision. Elsewhere, the landscape looks like utter destruction for Republicans, as Democrats are poised to make gains of at least six seats. The size of the…

Bitter Primaries Lead to Cross-Party Endorsements

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2008 · 11:00 AM EDT

Within the broad scope of presidential elections, party defections aren’t all that uncommon. But this cycle, across-the-aisle endorsements have become quite the fad in Congressional contests, with three Republicans supporting Democratic candidates in a trio of high-profile races.

In each case,…

Late-breaking House races shift political playing field

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2008 · 4:41 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Every election cycle, a handful of races not taken very seriously early on become truly competitive contests, and this year is no exception.

Every candidate, of course, has a scenario. But most of those scenarios — and most of those candidates — evaporate well before October.…

Nathan Talks Politics on CNN.com

October 23, 2008 · 2:16 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

Louisiana Senate: Worth Watching or Over and Done?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Like just about everyone else, I’m more than a little confused about the Louisiana Senate race.

According to OnMessage Inc., which conducts polling for Republican challenger John Kennedy in the Louisiana race, the two-term Democrat-turned-Republican state treasurer trails incumbent Sen. Mary…

Pennsylvania 11: Polling Differs on Kanjorski’s Prospects

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2008 · 11:40 AM EDT

According to nonpartisan and Republican polls, Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.) is one of the most endangered incumbents in the country. But public Democratic polls tell an entirely different story.

A recent Oct. 8-12 Franklin & Marshall College survey showed Hazelton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) leading…

2008 House Ratings

October 22, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added



PURE TOSS-UP (8 R,…

Stu Talks Politics on CNN.com

October 21, 2008 · 1:02 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

GOP House candidates struggle against McCain drag

by Stuart Rothenberg October 21, 2008 · 11:07 AM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Chris Shays of Connecticut, the last Republican in the House of Representatives from New England, is used to running against the partisan tide. But this year, the wave might be too high for the Republican congressman to overcome.

Shays is just one of many GOP candidates…