Archive

Louisiana Senate: Worth Watching or Over and Done?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 23, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Like just about everyone else, I’m more than a little confused about the Louisiana Senate race.

According to OnMessage Inc., which conducts polling for Republican challenger John Kennedy in the Louisiana race, the two-term Democrat-turned-Republican state treasurer trails incumbent Sen. Mary…

Pennsylvania 11: Polling Differs on Kanjorski’s Prospects

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 22, 2008 · 11:40 AM EDT

According to nonpartisan and Republican polls, Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D-Pa.) is one of the most endangered incumbents in the country. But public Democratic polls tell an entirely different story.

A recent Oct. 8-12 Franklin & Marshall College survey showed Hazelton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) leading…

2008 House Ratings

October 22, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 25-30 seats.

Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans
^ = Newly added



PURE TOSS-UP (8 R,…

Stu Talks Politics on CNN.com

October 21, 2008 · 1:02 PM EDT

Embedded video from CNN Video

GOP House candidates struggle against McCain drag

by Stuart Rothenberg October 21, 2008 · 11:07 AM EDT

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Chris Shays of Connecticut, the last Republican in the House of Representatives from New England, is used to running against the partisan tide. But this year, the wave might be too high for the Republican congressman to overcome.

Shays is just one of many GOP candidates…

2008 Senate Ratings

October 21, 2008 · 12:06 AM EDT

Here are our latest Senate ratings. Our latest estimate is a Democratic gain of 6-9 seats.

# = Moved benefiting Democrats
* = Moved benefiting Republicans



Likely Takeover (4 R, 0 D)
  • Sununu (R-NH) #
  • CO Open (Allard, R) #
  • NM Open (Domenici, R)
  • VA Open (Warner, R)
Lean…

2008 Presidential Battleground Ratings

October 21, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Total Electoral Votes
(270 needed to win)

Obama - 235 (safe/likely) + 71 (lean) = 306
McCain - 140 (safe/likely) + 23 (lean) = 163
Toss-ups = 69

Toss-Ups


  • Florida (27)
  • Indiana (11)
  • Missouri (11)
  • Nevada (5)
  • North Carolina (15)

Lean McCain


  • Georgia (15)

Powell for Obama: Nothing More than a Real Yawner

by Stuart Rothenberg October 20, 2008 · 3:21 PM EDT

With the amount of media coverage that retired General Colin Powell’s endorsement of Barack Obama received over the weekend, you might think that it was a game-changer. It wasn’t.

Powell remains an important and widely admired political figure, and he could have had some impact on the 2008…

Should Congressional GOP Throw McCain Under the Bus?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 20, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

A dozen years ago this month, with GOP presidential nominee Bob Dole mired far back in the polls, the National Republican Congressional Committee spent millions of dollars on a television ad that urged voters not to give Bill Clinton and “liberal special interests” a “blank check” on Election Day…

2008 Gubernatorial Ratings

October 20, 2008 · 12:03 AM EDT

Here are our latest gubernatorial ratings. Democrats currently hold 28 governorships compared to 22 for the Republicans. Our current estimate is a Democratic gain of one governorship to a Republican of one governorship.

# - Moved benefiting Democrats
* - Moved benefiting Republicans