Archive

How Different Will the 2008 White House Map Look From ‘04 and ‘00?

by Stuart Rothenberg June 9, 2008 · 12:07 AM EDT

Illinois Democratic Sen. Barack Obama talks about changing the map in this year’s presidential contest. So do Republicans, who argue that Obama’s poor showing among some Democratic constituencies gives Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) an opportunity to pilfer a couple of traditionally Democratic states…

Arizona 3: New Poll Reveals Little

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 7, 2008 · 3:08 PM EDT

Polling memos are only as valuable as the numbers in them. A May 27 Bennett, Petts & Normington memo in Arizona’s 3rd district claims that Rep. John Shadegg (R) is “extremely vulnerable” but provides few and flimsy numbers from the actual survey to support the claim.

The May 18-20 survey,…

New Mexico 2: Turnout Down in Competitive District

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 6, 2008 · 3:39 PM EDT

There has been plenty of talk about Democratic excitement and turnout exceeding Republican turnout this year and how that bodes well for Democratic prospects in November. But in New Mexico’s open 2nd Congressional district on Tuesday, something odd happened: Republican turnout remained largely…

When Running Is a Family Affair

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 5, 2008 · 4:00 PM EDT

Former Rep. Jim Slattery (D) officially filed his long-shot bid to unseat Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.).

It’s common for candidates to make their announcement with family in tow, but Tuesday’s event was different because Slattery’s son, Mike, is simultaneously running for the state House. Both…

California 4: Brown’s Poll Signals Tough Road Ahead

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 5, 2008 · 3:45 PM EDT

As California state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) was on his way to a primary win over former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) in the Golden State’s 4th district, a new poll released by the likely Democratic nominee, Charlie Brown, showed him leading both Republicans in hypothetical general election matchups.

California 4: Brown’s Poll Signals Tough Road Ahead

June 5, 2008 · 3:45 PM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales

As California state Sen. Tom McClintock (R) was on his way to a primary win over former Rep. Doug Ose (R-Calif.) in the Golden State’s 4th district, a new poll released by the likely Democratic nominee, Charlie Brown, showed him leading both Republicans in hypothetical…

Will Bob Barr and the Libertarians Be a Factor in the Presidential Race?

by Stuart Rothenberg June 5, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

It was sometime toward the end of Saturday afternoon, May 24, that I concluded that the Libertarian Party is about as politically tone-deaf as anyone or any organization that I have ever observed.

I had just watched a few hours of the party’s presidential nominating convention on C-SPAN and…

New York 20: Treadwell to Go on the Air in New York Race

by Nathan L. Gonzales June 4, 2008 · 11:15 AM EDT

Former New York Secretary of State Sandy Treadwell (R) is set to air his first television ads of the campaign in the Empire State’s 20th District, according to a knowledgeable GOP source.

Treadwell still has to secure the Republican nomination on Sept. 9, but his willingness to go on television…

McCain: No Special Interest

by Stuart Rothenberg June 2, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

Republicans nationwide are expecting Arizona Sen. John McCain to save their party and bring hope to the entire ballot this fall. But he hardly lifted a finger in three recent special elections where his party lost seats.

In 2006, McCain’s presence on the campaign trail was a prized commodity as…

New Print Edition: Virginia 11 & Kentucky Senate

May 30, 2008 · 3:21 PM EDT

The May 30, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…