Archive

Mood   Money   GOP Retirements = Democratic Bonanza

by Stuart Rothenberg October 22, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Still more than a year out from the 2008 elections, only a fool would assert unequivocally which party will gain House seats and how large that gain will be. But even with more retirements likely and candidate recruitment still far from over, it is starting to look like another potentially very…

Louisiana Governor: Jindal Poised to Crack 50%

October 19, 2007 · 12:00 PM EDT

It ain’t over til it’s over, but Republican Bobby Jindal now appears likely to get at least 50% of the votes cast in Saturday’s Louisiana gubernatorial election. If he does, he will avoid a runoff and be elected governor, taking the office from the Democrats.

Jindal faces a handful of other…

Edwards, Clinton and Questions About Their Electability in ’08

by Stuart Rothenberg October 18, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

For weeks now, the campaign of former Sen. John Edwards (D-N.C.) has been hammering away about New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton’s greatest alleged vulnerability: her electability. It’s a good strategy, at least in theory, since Democratic voters will not nominate someone for president who…

Say What? Obama’s Word Games

October 17, 2007 · 10:44 AM EDT

In at least one way, “incumbency” is like being pregnant. You can’t be “a little pregnant,” and you can’t be partially an incumbent.

But that pesky fact hasn’t gotten in the way of Sen. Barack Obama, or his campaign, and their awkward attempts to label Hillary Clinton as such.

On October 12,…

Say What? Obama’s Word Games

October 17, 2007 · 10:44 AM EDT
By Nathan L. Gonzales & Stuart Rothenberg

In at least one way, “incumbency” is like being pregnant. You can’t be “a little pregnant,” and you can’t be partially an incumbent.

But that pesky fact hasn’t gotten in the way of Sen. Barack Obama, or his campaign, and their awkward attempts…

Have the Republicans Picked Another Losing Fight on SCHIP?

by Stuart Rothenberg October 15, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

The Republicans’ circular firing squad is now assembled. All that’s left is for someone — President Bush, House Minority Leader John Boehner (Ohio) or Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) — to yell the appropriate command: “Fire!”

With their House and Senate caucuses deeply divided,…

For Incumbents, 2008 Is Shaping Up as the Year of the Primary

by Stuart Rothenberg October 11, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

With a strong majority of voters dissatisfied with the performance of President Bush and Congress, and with seven in 10 Americans telling pollsters that the country is on the wrong track, it isn’t entirely surprising that a dozen serious primaries could develop for Republican House incumbents…

2008 House Ratings

October 10, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

Here are our latest House ratings. Any seats not listed are currently considered to be at limited risk for the incumbent party. Democrats currently hold a 233-202 majority in the House. For race-by-race analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition of the Report.




PURE TOSS-UP (5 R, 4…

Washington 8: Outcome of Northwest Rerun Could Rest on the National Mood

by Stuart Rothenberg October 9, 2007 · 10:16 AM EDT

Darcy Burner is back, and the former Microsoft employee is understandably optimistic about her rematch against GOP incumbent Rep. Dave Reichert.

Burner, 36, came out of nowhere to draw almost 49 percent against Reichert last year in a suburban Seattle district that has been inching away from…

Biden and Dodd: Still Looking for Their Opening

by Stuart Rothenberg October 4, 2007 · 12:05 AM EDT

As the World Series approaches, two U.S. Senators, Connecticut’s Chris Dodd and Delaware’s Joseph Biden, find themselves roughly in the same place that they were at the beginning of spring training: second-tier hopefuls for the Democratic presidential nomination regarded by journalists and most…