Governor News & Analysis

2021-22 Gubernatorial Overview (Feb. 19, 2021) Iowa - New Mexico

by Jacob Rubashkin February 19, 2021 · 2:28 PM EST

IOWA. Kim Reynolds (R), assumed office 2017, elected 2018 (50.3%). Reynolds won a narrow victory in 2018 but is better situated this time around, despite Democrats’ displeasure with her hands-off attitude toward the coronavirus pandemic. Oft-cited as a potential Democratic candidate is state Auditor Rob Sand, who narrowly defeated the…

Vote Above Replacement: 2020 Governor Elections

by Bradley Wascher February 16, 2021 · 9:35 AM EST

Last November, just 11 states elected a governor. And perhaps unsurprisingly given the slate of states, almost every race was uncompetitive, with all but one (North Carolina) decided by at least ten points. Despite such wide margins, though, it would be incorrect to say that 2020’s gubernatorial elections were boring.…

New Jersey Governor: Can Murphy Break The Curse?

by Jacob Rubashkin February 5, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

Not long ago, New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie was riding the wave of a re-election win into a top-tier presidential bid. A few years later, politics on the ground have shifted, and Garden State Republicans are grasping for power, just hoping to stay competitive in this year’s gubernatorial contest.

New…

Virginia Governor: Republican Rebound?

by Jacob Rubashkin January 22, 2021 · 2:30 PM EST

It doesn’t have the same pomp and circumstance as the presidential inauguration, but the Virginia gubernatorial election is the next big political event on the docket. As one of only two states electing a governor in 2021 (New Jersey is the other), all eyes often turn to Virginia at the…

Report Shorts (December 18, 2020)

December 18, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

California Dreamin’
Senate. Soon to be vacant due to Kamala Harris’s election as vice president.
Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom will appoint a successor to Harris, and this seat was already scheduled for an election in 2022. Various constituencies are reportedly lobbying Newsom for their preferred candidates, in the hopes…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (October 16, 2020): Missouri Governor

by Jacob Rubashkin October 16, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Missouri. Mike Parson (R) ascended to governorship June 2018. This race remains Democrats’ one legitimate pickup opportunity of the cycle. State Auditor Nicole Galloway has continued her streak of strong fundraising, matching or outraising Parson for the last several filing periods, though the outside PAC supporting Parson, backed by the…

The Senate Deserves Your Attention

September 18, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

While the race for the White House dominates the news, the fight for the Senate is closer.

The easiest thing to do after 2016 would be to declare every race with President Donald Trump on the ballot as a toss-up. But that would…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (September 18, 2020)

by Jacob Rubashkin September 18, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

Delaware. John Carney (D), elected 2016 (58%). Georgetown, Del. attorney Julianne Murray won the GOP primary against 2016 nominee Colin Bonini and several other candidates, but she won’t win the general election against the incumbent. In 2016, Carney won by 19 points  — between a better national environment and Delaware…

Politicians are the Worst (But Most Important) Political Analysts

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 11, 2020 · 8:31 AM EDT

The 2020 elections are still more than two months away, but I’ve…

Report Shorts (June 19, 2020)

June 19, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

Colorado Senate, Cory Gardner, R, elected 48%. It’s been a rough couple of weeks for former Gov. John Hickenlooper, the likely Democratic nominee. He was forced to pay a $2,750 fine after the state’s Independent Ethics Commission found him guilty of accepting two illegal gifts on trips he took as…