California Senate. In one of the least surprising moves of the cycle, Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein announced she will not seek re-election. Democratic Reps. Katie Porter and Adam Schiff were already in the race, and they are now joined by Rep. Barbara Lee. There’s a reasonable chance that two Democrats…
There’s no such thing as an off-year in Kentucky, Louisiana, and Mississippi, which will all elect governors this year.
The trio of states offers a little bit of everything: both a Republican and Democratic governor running for re-election, as well as an open seat. A majority of the action will…
By Erin Covey & Jacob Rubashkin
Democrats had a better-than-expected 2022 — and not just in Washington, D.C. Though the party was defending seats won in the 2018 “Blue Wave” election, including in GOP-leaning and swing states, they managed to increase their number of governors nationwide.
But fresh off their…
For the first time since 1986, the president’s party netted gubernatorial seats in a midterm election, as Democrats gained three new governorships in 2022 and Republicans flipped only one. Although it wasn’t much of a surprise that Massachusetts and Maryland moved into the Democrats’ column, Arizona (another Democratic flip) and…
With the 2022 midterm elections (almost) in the books, we can begin putting the results into the broader context of past results to see how much states and districts shifted. One of the best ways to identify shifts in partisanship is through our Baseline metric.
Baseline captures a state or…
Updated as of Nov. 28, 2022 at 11:30am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.
Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and the…
The least surprising results of the cycle might have been in gubernatorial races, with each party winning all the races they were favored to win. But similar to the House and the Senate, Democrats won a disproportionate number of toss-up races, including Kansas, Oregon, Wisconsin, and Arizona, while Republicans won…
Updated as of Nov. 16, 2022 at 10am ET
By Jacob Rubashkin, Erin Covey and Nathan Gonzales
Elections are humbling, and this time it’s Republicans’ turn for some soul searching.
Republicans were handed a tremendous opportunity in 2022. Midterm elections are typically a referendum on the party in power, and…
Updated as of Nov. 14, 2022 at 10am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that…
Updated as of Nov. 11, 2022 at 9am ET
By Erin Covey, Jacob Rubashkin, and Nathan Gonzales
Apparently, there aren’t any normal elections.
While there are still a couple dozen consequential races to be called and the fight for both the House or Senate majorities is ongoing, it’s clear that…
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