Governor News & Analysis

Expect Record Turnout in 2020

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 13, 2018 · 2:53 PM EST

With the 2018 elections coming to an end, it’s clear that voters set a modern record for turnout in a midterm. And there’s no reason to believe voters won’t set another record two years from now.

According to the United States Election Project, turnout this year was nearly 50 percent…

The 2018 Midterms as the Buffet Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 3, 2018 · 8:55 AM EST

When I was a kid in small-town Oregon, my family would occasionally go to King’s Table, and my sister and I would get free rein at the buffet.

I became famous in my own family for my condiment salad — an impressive collection of bacon bits, croutons, shredded cheese, sunflower…

2018 Midterms Review: Back to Normal

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 20, 2018 · 10:59 AM EST

When Donald Trump was elected president of the United States there was a temptation to declare that none of the rules of politics mattered anymore. But the 2018 midterm elections proved that the fundamentals of running campaigns in this country are still intact.

In many ways, 2018 was a classic…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Nov. 1, 2018)

November 1, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska. Open; Bill Walker (I), not seeking re-election. Independent Gov. Bill Walker dropped his re-election bid, boosting the prospects of former Democratic Sen. Mark Begich. The two men were at risk of dividing Democratic and left-of-center voters, which would have allowed Republican Mike Dunleavy to win with less than 50…

Republican Migraines and the Midterm Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 14, 2018 · 8:45 AM EDT

Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.

From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary in frequency and…

2018 Election Preview: GOP Bump or Trend?

October 12, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

With less than a month before Nov. 6, the fundamentals of these midterm elections are set and broadly good news for Democrats. But with dozens of close races around the country, a shift of just a couple points across the board is the…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Oct. 12, 2018)

October 12, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Arizona. Doug Ducey (R), elected 2014 (53%). The governor and his GOP allies are enjoying a tremendous spending advantage on television in the final weeks of the campaign — $13 million to $500,000. It’s tough to see how Democrat David Garcia is going to overcome that dynamic in a state…

Education Takes Leading Role in Governor’s Races

by Leah Askarinam October 4, 2018 · 1:14 PM EDT

As teacher protests in West Virginia, Arizona, Oklahoma, and Kentucky fade from the national spotlight, education continues to shine as a campaign issue as a handful of candidates bring academic credentials to high-profile elections.

Because education is largely considered a state issue, the fallout from teacher strikes throughout the country…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 31, 2018): Mix and Match Opportunities

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 31, 2018 · 11:00 AM EDT

By now it should be clear that the fights for the House and Senate majorities are being played out on two politically different maps. But the race to collect governorships is being fought on yet another battleground.

Democrats need to defend and win GOP-leaning states in order to take back…

2018 Gubernatorial Overview (Aug. 31, 2018): Alabama - Illinois

August 31, 2018 · 10:59 AM EDT

ALABAMA. Kay Ivey (R), assumed governorship April 2017. *Redistricting role. Ivey, the first female governor of Alabama since the late 1960s, ascended to the office when GOP Gov. Richard Bentley resigned in disgrace, so she hasn’t been elected in her own right. But Ivey won the June Republican primary outright…