Redistricting News & Analysis

Florida Redistricting: Tallying the Hassle in Tallahassee

by Bradley Wascher May 17, 2022 · 10:30 AM EDT

Control of the House majority could very well hinge on somewhere like Florida, given its status as one of the most populated and electorally consequential states. And it was one of the last states to finalize a new congressional map this redistricting cycle. But now that we know what its…

Ohio Redistricting Redux: Maps, For Now

by Jacob Rubashkin April 22, 2022 · 12:35 PM EDT

Ohio’s redistricting process for the 2022 midterms appears to have ended as it began: messily.

After a tumultuous process that saw the state legislature and a backup commission fail to (or even make a good-faith attempt to) pass bipartisan maps as required by a new state law passed by voters…

Connecticut Redistricting: Testing the Edges of the Battlefield

by Jacob Rubashkin April 20, 2022 · 3:12 PM EDT

In a sea of uncertainty, some things are easy to project, such as the redistricting process in Connecticut. 

For the third time in as many redistricting cycles, Connecticut’s Supreme Court had to step in to draw new congressional maps after both the state legislature and a backup commission failed to…

Massachusetts Redistricting: A Common Story in the Commonwealth

by Bradley Wascher April 14, 2022 · 2:27 PM EDT

Democrats are poised to take over the governorship of Massachusetts from Republicans and will likely hold all of the Bay State’s U.S. House seats, yet potentially lose control of Congress.

The Massachusetts congressional map received minimal modifications in redistricting. Not only will the state keep its nine seats, but those…

Minnesota Redistricting: Land of a Couple Interesting Races

by Jacob Rubashkin April 7, 2022 · 11:58 AM EDT

In Minnesota, reapportionment cut a little too close for comfort. Had New York State counted just 89 more people in the 2020 Census, it would have retained its 27th seat — and Minnesota would have lost its eighth seat.

But that didn’t happen, and the Land of 10,000 Lakes will…

Rhode Island Redistricting: Open Seat Opportunity

by Jacob Rubashkin March 28, 2022 · 11:04 AM EDT

Last year, Rhode Island appeared poised to lose its second congressional district due to reapportionment, and Democrats were girding for a primary melee between Reps. David Cicilline and Jim Langevin for the remaining at-large seat.

But thanks to stronger-than-expected census numbers the Ocean State retained both…

Mississippi Redistricting: Minimum Magnolia Modifications

by Jacob Rubashkin March 21, 2022 · 1:24 PM EDT

Mississippi was one of just three states to see its population decrease from 2010 to 2020, according to data released by the Census last year. But unlike the other two states that lost population over the decade (Illinois and West Virginia), Mississippi’s loss was not great enough to cost it…

Fight for the House Starting to Take Shape

March 18, 2022 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Jacob Rubashkin

Election Day is less than eight months away and a handful of states still haven’t finished drawing new congressional lines. But even with that uncertainty, the fight for the House majority is getting more clear. 

The overall trajectory of the midterm elections remains…

North Carolina Redistricting: Redistricting Re-Do

by Bradley Wascher March 18, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

After North Carolina’s first and second proposals for a new congressional map were struck down, the court-ordered third map finally made it official. The state’s redrawn districts will now create opportunities for Democrats to pick up seats in 2022, even if Republicans have the national environment in their favor.


Hawaii Redistricting: Blue Islands in a Blue Ocean

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 18, 2022 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii is one of the only states with more than one House seat where congressional district lines don’t matter all that much. 

At the most basic level, Hawaii is a very Democratic state. Joe Biden won it by 30 points, 64 percent to 34 percent, in 2020 and the GOP…