Archive

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

April 10, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

A significant number of retirements since my last Dangerous Dozen (Oct. 25, 2007) has shuffled the list and shows why the fight for the House is a one-sided battle, with Democrats having most of the targets.

Here are the dozen most vulnerable open House seats, starting with the…

New Print Edition: New Jersey 3 & New Jersey 7

April 9, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The April 7, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate…

Louisiana 6: Will Republicans Kick Away Another Special Election?

by Stuart Rothenberg April 7, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

George W. Bush won 59 percent of the vote in Louisiana’s 6th district in 2004. That year, the district’s Congressman, Richard Baker (R), was re-elected with more than 70 percent of the vote. Two years later, Baker won an 11th term without major party opposition.

Yet in the special election in…

Like Being on the Cover of Sports Illustrated?

April 4, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

A few months ago, former Harry Reid chief of staff Susan McCue was featured in Glamour magazine talking about how wonderful it was to be working for the ONE campaign. The only problem was that she had just announced that she was leaving ONE so that she could help her old boss, Reid, and Senate…

A Crop of House Candidates Worth Taking a Look At

by Stuart Rothenberg April 3, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

There is relatively little attention being paid to this year’s fight for the House of Representatives, since Republicans have no chance retaking the chamber in November.

Even more important, most reporters and observers are hypnotized by the fascinating presidential race, and those who care…

Would Obama Be Leading the Democratic Race if He Were White?

by Stuart Rothenberg March 27, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

When former Rep. Geraldine Ferraro (D-N.Y.) asserted that “if Obama was a white man, he would not be in this position,” she caused a mini media frenzy and was forced to step down from the Clinton campaign’s finance committee.

I found the comment slightly unsettling but not for the same reason…

New Print Edition: Louisiana 6 & Pennsylvania 11

March 24, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

The March 21, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and…

New York 26: Reynolds Won’t Run Again

by Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2008 · 12:23 AM EDT

WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y. is reporting that Cong. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) will not seek reelection and that the official announcement will be made on Thursday.

Reynolds’ exit means that the last two NRCC chairmen, Reynolds and Virginia Republican Tom Davis, will not seek reelection this year. The…

New York 26: Reynolds Won’t Run Again

March 20, 2008 · 12:23 AM EDT
By Stuart Rothenberg

WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y. is reporting that Cong. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) will not seek reelection and that the official announcement will be made on Thursday.

Reynolds’ exit means that the last two NRCC chairmen, Reynolds and Virginia Republican Tom Davis, will not seek reelection…

Poll Warning: Be on the Lookout for Bad Numbers, Analysis

by Stuart Rothenberg March 20, 2008 · 12:05 AM EDT

This looks like another excellent cycle for Democratic Congressional prospects, as the party benefits from strong fundraising, an impressive crop of recruits and a wind at its back that stems from a damaged GOP brand and voters’ desire for change.

Maybe that’s why two polls stand out like sore…