2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not fundamentally altered…

South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In the wake of a historic House vote, there’s no hotter topic than impeachment and no better place to look for fallout than South Carolina’s 1st District. 

Rep. Joe Cunningham is one 30 Democrats who represent districts that Donald Trump carried in the 2016 presidential election. And among that…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin

by Ryan Matsumoto December 19, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

In 2016, Wisconsin was the state that arguably won President Donald Trump the election. Ranking all the states Trump carried from highest margin of victory to lowest margin of victory, Wisconsin was the “tipping-point state” that gave Trump his 270th electoral vote. As the 2020 presidential…

2019 Ad Spending Offers Clues to 2020

by Steve Passwaiter December 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

Eye-popping total advertising spending numbers draw the headlines, but the distribution of that spending — looking beyond geographic targeting, and party advantage — can also reveal important insights into the campaign. In particular, where political ad buyers are putting their money can tell us a…

Candidate Conversation - Theresa Greenfield (D)

December 19, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Iowa Senate — Rating: Lean Republican 

Interview Date: Nov. 5, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 20, 1963; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: Minnesota State Univ. (1987); Iowa Lakes Community College (attended); College of Saint Benedict (attended); Iowa State Univ. (attended).

Elected Office: None; 2018 3rd…

2020 House Ratings (December 19, 2019)

December 19, 2019 · 2:26 PM EST

Impeachment’s No ‘Game Changer’ and Other Pet Peeves

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 17, 2019 · 3:59 PM EST

After weeks of public hearings and the eve of a vote, I’m ready to take a stand on impeachment. Well, not quite. Actually, there are more than a few pieces of the impeachment coverage, arguments, and narrative that are driving me crazy. And writing a few hundred words seems like a semi-healthy way…

New Jersey 2: Van Drew Decision Changes GOP Prospects

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 16, 2019 · 12:15 PM EST

As if impeachment wasn’t providing enough news, New Jersey Rep. Jeff Van Drew decided to switch parties. Even though it’s not quite official, more than half of his staff resigning should be a significant clue. His decision changes the partisan makeup in the House by a seat without fundamentally…