Presidential Snapshot in Time (September 18, 2020)

by Bradley Wascher September 18, 2020 · 10:11 AM EDT

The race for the Oval Office remains steady — although a case could be made that there’s been slight tightening in favor of the president.

In an average of 24 polls conducted over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 6.9 points (49.1 percent to 42.2 percent).

To be sure, this is one…

Misleading Senate Ad Uses Out-of-Context Quotes to Attack Opponent

by Jacob Rubashkin September 10, 2020 · 11:01 AM EDT

Party operatives playing fast and loose with the facts is commonplace in campaign ads, but a recent TV spot in the Kansas Senate race is stretching the norms.

A recent ad from Rep. Roger Marshall, the GOP nominee, is intended to paint Marshall’s opponent, state Sen. Barbara Bollier, as a typical…

Wait for It: The Anthem of the 2020 Elections

by Jacob Rubashkin September 4, 2020 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Waiting is hard. It’s not something we do well as Americans. But waiting is prudent at this juncture of handicapping the elections and even more essential on November 3 and beyond. 

When each day seems to feature five breaking news stories, it’s easy to…

Senate Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)

September 4, 2020 · 2:29 PM EDT

Arizona. Martha McSally (R), appointed Jan. 2019. The senator’s campaign released a state of the race memo which listed grievances with public polling without detailing her own surveys. That’s usually not a great sign. She also received some negative press for suggesting that her supporters skip a…

House Report Shorts (September 4, 2020)

September 4, 2020 · 2:28 PM EDT

2nd District (Southeastern Alabama) Open; Martha Roby, R, not seeking re-election. Trump 65%. Republican nominee Barry Moore landed in hot water after he shared a meme defending alleged Kenosha murderer Kyle Rittenhouse on Facebook. After facing backlash, Moore deleted the meme and wrote…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Georgia

by Ryan Matsumoto September 4, 2020 · 2:27 PM EDT

The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters.

This trend manifested…

2020 House Ratings (September 4, 2020)

September 4, 2020 · 2:25 PM EDT