Don’t Sweat the Election Night Surprises

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 10, 2018 · 11:06 AM EDT

What will be the biggest surprise on election night?

It’s a common and valid question, but I’m always a little amused by it.

If I were able to identify a completely unexpected or astonishing event that would happen a month from now, then that event shouldn’t be considered completely unexpected or…

Education Takes Leading Role in Governor’s Races

by Leah Askarinam October 4, 2018 · 1:14 PM EDT

As teacher protests in West Virginia, Arizona, Oklahoma, and Kentucky fade from the national spotlight, education continues to shine as a campaign issue as a handful of candidates bring academic credentials to high-profile elections.

Because education is largely considered a state issue, the…

2018 Election Preview: Kavanaugh Confirmation Commands Attention

September 28, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

The worst time to analyze the political fallout from an event is in the middle of it. And that’s about where we are with the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process. 

The hearing and testimony from the judge and his accuser, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford, were…

Senate Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

ARIZONA. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. The most recent NBC/Marist Poll is the latest in a series of September surveys that finds Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema narrowly leading GOP Rep. Martha McSally. Since a Sept. 5 OH Predictive Insights poll found the Republican congresswoman…

House Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has at least a narrow advantage over Republican Lea Marquez-Peterson in the race for the open seat. Republicans love their candidate and the NRCC is spending some money on the race. But…

Gubernatorial Report Shorts (Sept. 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:27 PM EDT

Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.”  In our last gubernatorial…

Candidate Conversation - Janet Garrett (D)

September 28, 2018 · 2:26 PM EDT

Ohio’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican

Interview Date: Sept. 6, 2018

Date of Birth: Feb. 23, 1953; Troy, Ohio

Education: Kent State (1995; Master’s 1980)

Elected Office: 4th District nominee (2014, 2016)

Current Outlook: In a district where Hillary Clinton couldn’t break 31 percent,…

2018 House Ratings (September 28, 2018)

September 28, 2018 · 2:25 PM EDT