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So Much for Deal Making

Stuart Rothenberg April 5, 2017 · 9:20 AM EDT

It seemed logical. But so far it hasn’t happened.

Last year, many political observers were suggesting that new political leadership in the nation’s capital could well usher in a wave of political negotiation and compromise. No, the legislative process wouldn’t suddenly become easy, but the…

Even More Reason to Watch the House in 2018

Stuart Rothenberg March 29, 2017 · 9:20 AM EDT

Barely ten days into the Donald Trump Administration, I wrote that the new president’s “fast start” made it likely the House of Representatives would be “in play” in 2018.

Some, I’m sure, thought that suggestion ridiculous. After all, state legislatures have generally minimized the number of…

Georgia 6 Special: Club for Growth to Air TV Ad Against Handel

Nathan L. Gonzales March 28, 2017 · 12:00 PM EDT

Club for Growth Action is poised to air a television against initial GOP frontrunner Karen Handel beginning Wednesday in Georgia’s 6th District special election, according to a release first obtained by Inside Elections. 

It’s a $250,000 ad buy on Atlanta cable, according to a Club source, and…

Minnesota 1: Walz’s Gov Run Creates Vulnerable Open Seat

Nathan L. Gonzales March 27, 2017 · 1:30 PM EDT

It could be a rough round of midterm elections for Republicans next year but DFL Rep. Tim Walz gave them a little gift by vacating Minnesota’s 1st District in order to run for governor. 

The six-term congressman won re-election narrowly, 50.3-49.6 percent, last year in a race that received little…

What I Learned About Polling From a Georgia House Survey

Nathan L. Gonzales March 27, 2017 · 10:54 AM EDT

I was initially skeptical of a recent poll in the special election for Georgia’s 6th District, not because it utilized Interactive Voice Response, or IVR, technology or because it was conducted by a GOP-friendly firm or because a Democratic candidate was leading in a Republican-leaning district.…

Georgia 6 Special:Looking for a Fight

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

While some people are dreading the next elections, others are itching for a fight, and suburban Atlanta looks like ground zero for the next electoral battle. 

Democrats got knocked down in 2016, losing the White House and falling well short of expectations in the House and the Senate. But they’ve…

New Jersey Senate: Menendez Heading to Trial and Re-Election?

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

It’s never good to be on trial for bribery and up for re-election at the same time, but that doesn’t mean Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez is going to lose next year in New Jersey. 

On Monday, the United States Supreme Court declined to take up the senator’s federal corruption case, and the trial is…

Montana At-Large Special: Land of Second Chances

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

While all the special election attention is on Georgia’s 6th, where Democrats haven’t won a significant race in decades, President Donald Trump’s cabinet selections also opened up an at-large district 1,800 miles away in Montana, where Democrats have been successful as recently as last year. So why…

Ohio 16: Renacci Leaves Seat Open to Run for Governor

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Nathan L. Gonzales March 24, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

On Monday, Republican Rep. Jim Renacci announced his bid to become governor of Ohio, immediately beginning the race to replace him in Congress. 

Earlier this year, House Democrats announced an ambitious list of 59 takeover targets, but Renacci’s 16th District was not on it. And even now that the…