2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): Kentucky-New Mexico

January 10, 2020 · 2:27 PM EST

Kentucky. Mitch McConnell (R), elected 1984 (50%), 1990 (52%), 1996 (55%), 2002 (65%), 2008 (53%) and 2014 (56%). Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 19 primary. Just looking at the fundraising, you’d think control of the Senate hinged on the outcome in Kentucky. But that’s not the case. Because of his…

2020 Senate Overview (January 10, 2020): North Carolina - Wyoming

January 10, 2020 · 2:26 PM EST

North Carolina. Thom Tillis (R), elected 2014 (49%). March 3 primary. Tillis received some good news when his wealthy primary opponent, Garland Tucker, dropped out of the race, and Rep Mark Walker, who was left without a winnable district, declined to run. But Tillis (who had $4.9 million in the…

Kansas Senate: Pompeo Decision Makes Seat More Vulnerable

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 8, 2020 · 3:30 PM EST

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s decision not to run for Senate in Kansas creates a legitimate scenario for Democrats to win a seat in a Republican state and increases the chances Democrats win control in November.

Pompeo has long been viewed as the Republicans’ easiest path to keeping retiring…

2020 Senate and House Outlook Looks a Lot Like It Did at the Start of 2019

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 7, 2020 · 4:46 PM EST

More than a year into the election cycle and with less than a year to go, how much has the political landscape changed? The answer: not a lot. And that’s not particularly good news for Republicans.

Thus far, we know that a year’s worth of news (including impeachment) has not fundamentally altered…

South Carolina 1: Top Race in the Lowcountry

by Nathan L. Gonzales December 19, 2019 · 2:30 PM EST

In the wake of a historic House vote, there’s no hotter topic than impeachment and no better place to look for fallout than South Carolina’s 1st District. 

Rep. Joe Cunningham is one 30 Democrats who represent districts that Donald Trump carried in the 2016 presidential election. And among that…

Presidential Battlegrounds: Wisconsin

by Ryan Matsumoto December 19, 2019 · 2:29 PM EST

In 2016, Wisconsin was the state that arguably won President Donald Trump the election. Ranking all the states Trump carried from highest margin of victory to lowest margin of victory, Wisconsin was the “tipping-point state” that gave Trump his 270th electoral vote. As the 2020 presidential…

2019 Ad Spending Offers Clues to 2020

by Steve Passwaiter December 19, 2019 · 2:28 PM EST

Eye-popping total advertising spending numbers draw the headlines, but the distribution of that spending — looking beyond geographic targeting, and party advantage — can also reveal important insights into the campaign. In particular, where political ad buyers are putting their money can tell us a…

Candidate Conversation - Theresa Greenfield (D)

December 19, 2019 · 2:27 PM EST

Iowa Senate — Rating: Lean Republican 

Interview Date: Nov. 5, 2019

Date of Birth: Oct. 20, 1963; Blue Earth, Minn.

Education: Minnesota State Univ. (1987); Iowa Lakes Community College (attended); College of Saint Benedict (attended); Iowa State Univ. (attended).

Elected Office: None; 2018 3rd…