Nebraska’s 2nd District: High Stakes in Omaha

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:30 PM EDT

Omaha, Nebraska is not only the center of the country, but could also be the epicenter of the 2020 elections next year. Nebraska’s 2nd District is a microcosm of the growing urban and rural divide, House Republicans need to hold the seat to take back the majority, and it might be a must-win for…

Key Senate Races Continue to Take Shape

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 13, 2019 · 2:29 PM EDT

As the presidential primary and House special elections consume most of the recent media attention, there’s been significant developments in key Senate races. Democrats need to gain three seats for control of the Senate, if they win the White House, or four seats to give them an outright majority.…

Oklahoma’s 5th District: Sooners Aren’t Sleeping

by Leah Askarinam September 13, 2019 · 2:28 PM EDT

The problem with asking political handicappers, analysts, and operatives what the cycle’s sleeper races are is that, if there were an answer, those races, by definition, wouldn’t be “sleepers.”  

On election night 2018, Oklahoma’s 5th District was the only race that flipped that wasn’t on Inside…

9 Things I Think I Think After the North Carolina Redo Election

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 10, 2019 · 11:44 PM EDT

Nearly a year after the two parties fought to a draw in North Carolina’s 9th District, Republican Dan Bishop and Democrat Dan McCready ended with another close race. Bishop prevailed 51 percent to 49 percent, with absentee ballots remaining to be counted. 

A win is better than a loss (and the…

2020 House Ratings (September 10, 2019)

September 10, 2019 · 11:43 PM EDT

Texas 17: Add Another Republican to List of Retirements

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 3:30 PM EDT

It’s not a question of if more House Members will retire; it’s a question of when and where.

On Wednesday, Bill Flores became the fifth Texas Republican to announce he will not seek re-election or another office in 2020. Of the 13 total members retiring in 2020, 11 are Republicans and two are…

2020 House Ratings (September 4, 2019)

September 4, 2019 · 3:29 PM EDT

Trump Vulnerability in a Primary is More Fiction than Fact

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2019 · 9:05 AM EDT

Former South Carolina Rep. Mark Sanford is seriously considering challenging President Donald Trump in the primary, even though he called the idea “preposterous” on many levels. It’s a rare moment when you should take a politician at his word.

Even if you look past the huge hurdles of the…

North Carolina 9: Parties and Candidates Spending Big in Redo Election

by Steve Passwaiter September 3, 2019 · 11:30 AM EDT

There’s one week to go before the redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District on Sept. 10., and all indications show that Republicans and Democrats know that this is a close race. Polling remains very tight and within the margin of error.  

These off-year special elections always receive…

North Carolina 9: McCready Has Narrow Lead in New Bipartisan Poll

August 30, 2019 · 2:31 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam

Democrat Dan McCready has a narrow advantage over Republican Dan Bishop heading into the final days of the Sept. 10 redo election in North Carolina’s 9th District, according to a new bipartisan poll for Inside Elections. 

The survey, conducted Aug. 26-28…