Is John Boozman Too Nice for the Republican Party?

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 6, 2021 · 9:00 AM EDT

John Boozman’s greatest sin is that he’s too nice. 

As a member of a Republican Party that rewards the provocative and sensational, the two-term senator from Arkansas has drawn three primary challengers, in part because he’s not a staple of the Fox News prime-time lineup. The fact that Boozman is…

Six Thoughts after the Ohio Special Election Primaries

by Jacob Rubashkin August 4, 2021 · 11:08 AM EDT

Voters in two Ohio congressional districts went to the polls Tuesday to select the Democratic and Republican nominees, who are now significant favorites in the special general elections on November 2. 

In Ohio’s 11th, the Cleveland-based seat most recently held by HUD Secretary Marcia Fudge,…

Senate Candidates Smashing the Fundraising Curve

by Jacob Rubashkin July 29, 2021 · 2:00 PM EDT

When fundraising reports trickle out quarter by quarter, it’s easy to lose sight of the big picture: candidate fundraising over the last couple cycles has soared.

In 2014, Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes and Republican Mitch McConnell raised a combined $49.8 million in their battle for one of…

6 Thoughts After the Texas 6 Special Election Runoff

by Jacob Rubashkin July 29, 2021 · 10:00 AM EDT

Voters in Texas’ 6th District headed to the polls on Tuesday to pick a replacement for GOP Rep. Ron Wright, who died earlier this year after being diagnosed with Covid-19. Both candidates in the race — Ron Wright’s widow Susan Wright and state Rep. Jake Ellzey — were Republicans. They advanced to a…

Alabama Senate: Brooks Battles Back

by Jacob Rubashkin July 16, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

There are a couple of states where long-shot Democratic takeover opportunities could turn into full-blown Senate headaches for the GOP. But Alabama isn’t one of them.

Sen. Richard Shelby has represented Alabama in Washington, DC for 42 years, first in the House and since 1987 in the Senate, and as…

Florida 20 Special: Delayed Democratic Successor

by Jacob Rubashkin July 16, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

When Rep. Alcee Hastings died of cancer in April, he created a rare vacancy in a South Florida Democratic stronghold after 28 years of service. With no heir apparent waiting in the wings, a large crop of local Democrats quickly announced their candidacies to succeed the former federal judge who’d…

When We’ll Know How Much Trump’s Support is Worth

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 16, 2021 · 9:05 AM EDT

Early 2022 Senate primaries will be a good test of whether Donald Trump’s strength within the Republican Party endures into the midterm elections.

Up to this point, the former president’s grip on the GOP via his popularity with base voters shows little sign of waning. Eighty-four percent of…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Defining the Battlefield

July 1, 2021 · 2:30 PM EDT

By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

More than a year before the midterms, the narrow Senate battlefield continues to solidify as the candidate fields in key states become more clear. Yet there’s still one key ingredient missing in the fight for the majority: the national political environment.…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Alabama - Georgia

July 1, 2021 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Open; Richard Shelby, R, not seeking re-election. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. Rep. Mo Brooks, the conservative firebrand and Jan. 6 Stop The Steal rally speaker, secured an early endorsement from former President Trump in the race to succeed the retiring Shelby. He also has…

2022 Senate Overview (July 1, 2021): Hawaii - North Carolina

July 1, 2021 · 2:28 PM EDT

Hawaii. Brian Schatz (D) appointed 2012, elected 2014 (70%), 2016 (74%). June 7 filing deadline. Aug. 13 primary. Hawaii was one of just seven states where Trump actually improved on his 2016 performance in the 2020 election, but that doesn’t mean Republicans are going to be seriously competing in…